What is Francis-Henri Graffard's strike rate?

Francis-Henri Graffard has won 447 of 1,919 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Francis-Henri Graffard do best at?

Chantilly by strike rate: 157 wins from 558 runners (28.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Francis-Henri Graffard?

M Barzalona, with 764 runners since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 211 (27.6%).

Is Francis-Henri Graffard in form?

In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 28%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2022.

What is Francis-Henri Graffard's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 1,917 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Francis-Henri Graffard

1,919 runners in the last 5 seasons · 525 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.1% of 569 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

In form — 7 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

447–1,919

Wins / Runs

23.3%

Strike rate

n=1,919

968 (50%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=1,917 · 0.92 incl. margin

−42.86

£1 level stake

n=1,918 at SP · −2.2%

£29.6m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

27%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 23% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). The yard is in form now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,919 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Fresh horses: 24.6% 39.3% when favourite M Barzalona: 27.6% from 764 Sends off the favourite in 34% of races

The read

It is weakest at Ascot (13.2% over 38 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 9.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.46). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 19.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +33.20 to a £1 stake over 171 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 7 winners from 25 runners in the last 14 days (28%, 4.7pts above the 23.3% baseline). M Barzalona rides 40% of the entries and edges the yard's average (27.6% vs 23.3%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good going (31.1%, n=222). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 13% over 54 runners, 10.3pts below the baseline. 217 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £2,857,000). The stable star of the record: The Revenant (GB) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 23.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

24.6%+1.3

n=501 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +34.81

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.8%−13.5

n=51 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −36.20

Debutants · first career start

21.2%−2.1

n=433 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −98.06

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.3%−4.0

n=275 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −33.84

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.6%−9.7

n=22 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −9.64

When favourite

39.3%

n=657 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −55.72

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

19.9%−3.4

n=171 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +33.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

21.6%−1.7

n=679 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +30.01

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 23.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Leonard Plommee 43.3% vs 23.3% · n=30

With new recruits 9.8% vs 23.3% · n=51

On Good going 31.1% vs 23.3% · n=222

Off a 8-14-day break 13% vs 23.3% · n=54

With Hugo Journiac 14.5% vs 23.3% · n=69

At Ascot 13.2% vs 23.3% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 611 127 20.8% −105.28

Soft 511 113 22.1% −26.19

Standard (AW) 405 107 26.4% +64.69

Good 222 69 31.1% +35.90

Heavy 129 25 19.4% −17.91

Good to Firm 39 6 15.4% +7.93

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 558 157 28.1% +140.31

Longchamp (FR) 415 90 21.7% −13.11

Deauville 363 72 19.8% −16.14

Saint-Cloud 358 71 19.8% −108.97

Ascot 38 5 13.2% +6.98

Compiegne (FR) 28 7 25% −13.21

Clairefontaine (FR) 28 8 28.6% +1.54

Vichy (FR) 25 9 36% −0.69

Dieppe (FR) 22 9 40.9% −5.49

Lyon Parilly (FR) 13 4 30.8% −3.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 12 3 25% −2.50

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 8 3 37.5% −3.34

Fontainebleau (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

York 4 0 0% −4.00

Craon (FR) 4 1 25% +0.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 694 148 21.3% +16.26

Class 2 39 11 28.2% +1.87

Class 3 9 6 66.7% +2.36

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 688 266 38.7% 1.12 −62.09

2nd–3rd fav 702 130 18.5% 1.04 −93.17

4th–6th fav 364 38 10.4% 1.14 +11.30

7th+ in betting 164 13 7.9% 1.89 +101.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Le Nomade (IRE) 18 5 8 14 Feb 25

Calandagan (IRE) 16 8 15 17 Oct 26

Goliath (GER) 15 7 10 25 Jul 26

Melo Melo (GB) 15 3 7 13 Sep 24

Cankoura (FR) 13 5 7 4 Oct 26

Rayevka (IRE) 13 3 8 13 Sep 26

Mont De Soleil (IRE) 13 5 6 5 Sep 26

Map Of Stars (GB) 13 6 9 15 Aug 26

Daryz (FR) 12 9 11 4 Oct 26

Behtar (FR) 12 1 9 5 Nov 23

Parachutiste (IRE) 11 4 9 8 Aug 26

Magellan (FR)from J De Mieulle 11 1 4 26 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 525 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

7 from 25 28% · +4.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days28%

5-season base23.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

223224292020332018202532

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderM Barzalona

40% of all rides
27.6% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

M Barzalona 764 211 27.6% −49.07

C. Soumillon 268 63 23.5% −32.80

Stephane Pasquier 128 25 19.5% −35.50

C Lecoeuvre 126 25 19.8% +11.60

Maxime Guyon 97 25 25.8% +38.30

Hugo Journiac 69 10 14.5% +47.50

Tony Piccone 67 12 17.9% −23.30

Marie Velon 64 11 17.2% −6.70

Luca Carboni 63 11 17.5% +28.20

Leonard Plommee 30 13 43.3% +23.61

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

717

Archived wins

217

Pattern / graded wins

£40.9m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 137 wins

Daryz (FR) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 1

£2,857,000

Daryz (FR) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3yo+ No Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2025 · Group 1

£2,361,157

Calandagan (IRE) — King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jul 2025 · Group 1

£850,650

Notable horses

The Revenant (GB) Daryz (FR) Calandagan (IRE) Goliath (GER) True Romance (FR) Silver Quartz (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 24.8% · 57–230

Progeny have won 13% of 8,321 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 454.

Frankel (GB) 34.7% · 33–95

Progeny have won 18% of 7,499 runs since 2008 (875 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Dubawi (IRE) 24.4% · 20–82

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,936 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 20.5% · 15–73

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,637 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 16.9% · 11–65

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,152 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Kingman (GB) 26.6% · 17–64

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,471 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,555 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,555 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2011 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Mutant King (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix #equidayscalvados (Prix De La Couture Bardin)8f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 4/9F

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Vardif (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Le Calvados Fete Le Cheval (Prix Ashmore)8f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 4/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Touessrok (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Px Merci A La Boutique Gourmande Expl. Des Resto De Cf (Px Filiberto)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 11/8F

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Another Light (GB)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Daliasir (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De La Villa Les Abeilles9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 1/2F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Vadirouma (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 13/2

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Eklleel (GB)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Casimir Delamarre9f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 16/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Shuwaib (IRE)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De Belleville9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 3/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Calandagan (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Rayif (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 10/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Tajlina (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 5th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Samangan (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 9th 22/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Extreme Dream (AUS)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Du Jardin Anglais6f · Good · 6 ran 1st 6/4

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Katsioux (GB)J: Marie Velon Prix D'hotot-en-auge8f · Good · 8 ran 8th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Vadaja (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix D'hotot-en-auge8f · Good · 8 ran 1st 4/6F

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Sterle (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Saint-desir8f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/10F

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Heroiste (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 1st 14/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Rumpumpel (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Du Champ De Mars9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/4F

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Regal Resolve (GB)J: Colin Keane Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 100/30F

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Vignelli (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Criterium De Maisons-laffitteClass 1 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francis-Henri Graffard's strike rate?: Francis-Henri Graffard has won 447 of 1,919 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 23.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francis-Henri Graffard do best at?: Chantilly by strike rate: 157 wins from 558 runners (28.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Francis-Henri Graffard?: M Barzalona, with 764 runners since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 211 (27.6%).
Is Francis-Henri Graffard in form?: In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 28%. That is above the baseline of 23.3% since 2022.
What is Francis-Henri Graffard's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 1,917 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.