What is M Munch's strike rate?

M Munch has won 14 of 250 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Munch do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 74 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M Munch's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Munch

250 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

14–250

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=250

50 (20%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=250 · 0.72 incl. margin

−96.35

£1 level stake

n=250 at SP · −38.5%

£511k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 250 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (2.3% over 88 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (16.1%, n=31) and off a 31-60-day break (12%, n=50). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.43 across 102 runners (2.9% strike, −63.20 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Gladiateur at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2026, £36,600).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−1.1

n=88 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −21.70

Debutants · first career start

0%−5.6

n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%+1.1

n=15 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +4.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.6

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

40%

n=5 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +1.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.8%−0.8

n=42 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −10.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.9%−0.7

n=41 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −1.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m5f – 2m 16.1% vs 5.6% · n=31

Off a 31-60-day break 12% vs 5.6% · n=50

With debutants 0% vs 5.6% · n=31

At Chantilly 2.3% vs 5.6% · n=88

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.9% vs 5.6% · n=102

At Saint-Cloud 2.3% vs 5.6% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 75 6 8% −0.05

Standard (AW) 68 4 5.9% −21.80

Soft 67 3 4.5% −47.40

Good 21 1 4.8% −8.10

Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 88 2 2.3% −72.30

Longchamp (FR) 74 4 5.4% −19.05

Saint-Cloud 43 1 2.3% −31.20

Deauville (AW) 19 3 15.8% +24.40

Vichy (FR) 6 3 50% +13.60

Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +5.20

Toulouse (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Amiens (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 41 2 4.9% −1.40

Class 3 6 2 33.3% +0.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.35 +0.00

2nd–3rd fav 29 4 13.8% 0.95 −4.75

4th–6th fav 96 6 6.3% 0.86 −14.20

7th+ in betting 119 2 1.7% 0.57 −77.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Euboa (FR) 22 0 7 18 Oct 26

Cameron (FR) 16 2 3 16 Oct 25

Cosmas (FR)then N Caullery 15 1 4 16 Sep 23

Amrita (FR) 14 1 4 5 Mar 26

Reshabar (FR) 14 1 2 29 Oct 23

Odemar (FR) 13 3 6 10 Sep 26

Max Zorin (FR) 10 0 2 26 Apr 24

St Marksman (IRE) 9 0 0 6 Aug 26

Palaimon (FR) 8 2 2 13 Jun 24

Boorga (FR) 8 0 2 20 Aug 23

Bogliasco (GB) 7 0 1 15 Sep 26

Oleron (IRE) 7 0 0 28 Jun 26

All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 42 had their first archived run here.

5 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00075072046513

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTheo Bachelot

17% of all rides
2.3% SR · A/E 0.32

RiderRWSR£1

Theo Bachelot 43 1 2.3% −30.10

Rosario Mangione 36 3 8.3% −13.70

C Demuro 30 2 6.7% −19.85

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.31m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 4 wins

Odemar (FR) — Prix Gladiateur Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026 · Group 3

£36,600

Spectre (FR) — Prix Imprudence (3yo Fillies) (Straight) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Apr 2016 · Group 3

£29,412

Reshabar (FR) — Prix de Montretout () (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2021 · Listed

£23,214

Notable horses

Reshabar (FR) Kathinka (GER) Blue Tango (GER) Elliot Carver (FR) Odemar (FR) Palaimon (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Soldier Hollow (GB) 7.6% · 9–118

Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,905 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 484. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 380.

Iffraaj (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,950 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.

Dabirsim (FR) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.

Siyouni (FR) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 13% of 8,320 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.1% from 453.

St Mark's Basilica (FR) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 13.6% of 617 runs since 2008 (141 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.7% from 102. Weakest on Good going: 9.2% from 152. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 17.3% from 214.

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 595 · newest first

The latest 50 of 595 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2010 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Embiez (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 11/4

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Euboa (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Embiez (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De Pont-de-vivaux12f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Mendoza (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Palluat De Besset8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 12/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Loria (IRE)J: Glen Meury Prix Florent GerouxClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 2/1F

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Sonny Angel (GB)J: Glen Meury Px Du Pdv Pmu Le Chalet Les Attaques (62) (Px Du Stade De La Licorne)11f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 28/1

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Bogliasco (GB)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Vineux12f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 11/2

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Odemar (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix GladiateurClass 1 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 25/1

15 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Euboa (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Jra Prix Alec Head (Prix De Pomone)Class 1 · 12.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 22/1

07 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Bogliasco (GB)J: Dorian Provost Genybet - Prix KenmareClass 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 20/1

06 Aug 26 Vichy (FR) Odemar (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Parc Napoleon IiiClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 2/1F

06 Aug 26 Vichy (FR) St Marksman (IRE)J: Dorian Provost Prix De Saint-palais9f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 20/1

22 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Euboa (FR)J: Dorian Provost Grand Prix De Vichy (group 3)10f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 22/1

13 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) St Marksman (IRE)J: D Provost Prix De La Valette7f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 33/1

10 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) OleronJ: C Demuro Prix De Bonneuil-en-valois Claiming Stakes3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 5/1

09 Jul 26 Longchamp (FR) AmritaJ: C Demuro Prix Du Village Claiming Stakes3 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

09 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) LoriaJ: C Lecoeuvre Prix De Bon Abri Stakes4 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Munch's strike rate?: M Munch has won 14 of 250 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Munch do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 74 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M Munch in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Munch's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.