No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glancePatrick J Flynn: 3.8% from 53
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−3.4
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.4%+0.0
n=59 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −39.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.1%−1.3
n=47 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −34.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse0% vs 3.4% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft2500%−25.00
Heavy1100%−11.00
Good to Firm10220%+9.50
Good to Soft700%−7.00
Good500%−5.00
Standard (AW)100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cork1000%−10.00
Curragh1000%−10.00
Gowran Park900%−9.00
Naas7114.3%−0.50
Tipperary700%−7.00
Leopardstown500%−5.00
Limerick3133.3%+10.00
Clonmel200%−2.00
Dundalk (AW)100%−1.00
Wexford100%−1.00
Bellewstown100%−1.00
Fairyhouse (IRE)100%−1.00
Killarney100%−1.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav4125%2.37+2.50
4th–6th fav100%0.00−1.00
7th+ in betting5411.9%0.61−41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f2314.3%−16.50
1m2f – 1m4f1815.6%−5.00
6f – 7f1400%−14.00
Under 6f400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082600%−26.00
20091616.3%−3.00
20101715.9%−10.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4324.7%−23.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners2500%−25.00
14-16 runners2214.5%−9.00
11-13 runners8112.5%−1.50
8-10 runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 35 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··00017110000·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
2
Archived wins
£16,783
Prize money
2010
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
Observatory (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Tomba (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 847 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.1% from 216.
Imperial Ballet (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.
Talkin Man (CAN)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 5.6% of 324 runs since 2008 (44 horses).
Beat of Drums (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 65 runs since 2009 (6 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 82 · newest first
The latest 50 of 82 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2006 to 11 October 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Maria Quinlan's strike rate?
Maria Quinlan has won 2 of 59 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Maria Quinlan ride most for?
Patrick J Flynn, with 53 rides since 2008 — 90% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.8%).
What is Maria Quinlan's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 59 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Maria Quinlan·SR 3.4%·A/E 0.94
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