Mickael Forest
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.46). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 7% (72 rides).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a positive signal at 6.9% (n=72, Fair A/E 1.13). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.46 and −80.47 to a £1 stake over 107 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Carmen Bocskai supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.5%, A/E 0.53). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 53 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.29 across 63 rides (1.6% strike, −45.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2022, £29,412). The standout partner of the record: Singapore Ma (FR) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,097 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,097 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 November 2005 to 16 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mickael Forest's strike rate?
- Mickael Forest has won 6 of 190 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mickael Forest do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 rides (5.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mickael Forest ride most for?
- Carmen Bocskai, with 57 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.5%).
- Is Mickael Forest in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mickael Forest's Fair A/E?
- 0.46, from 190 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.