Mickael Forest
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). When claiming the record reads 35% (49 rides).
The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (19.4%, n=67), clear of the rider's 8% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4% over 252 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 34.7% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.00), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.92). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −167.37 to a £1 stake over 682 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mme G Rarick supplies 14% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5.2% vs 8%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (17.1%, n=41). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2022, £29,412). The standout partner of the record: Singapore Ma (FR) — 5 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,119 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 November 2005 to 11 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mickael Forest's strike rate?
- Mickael Forest has won 89 of 1,111 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mickael Forest do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 67 rides (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mickael Forest ride most for?
- Mme G Rarick, with 155 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.2%).
- Is Mickael Forest in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mickael Forest's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 951 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.