What is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro's strike rate?

Roberto-Carlos Montenegro has won 15 of 171 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roberto-Carlos Montenegro do best at?

Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roberto-Carlos Montenegro

171 runners in the last 5 seasons · 64 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

15–171

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=171

40 (23%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=170 · 0.89 incl. margin

−70.72

£1 level stake

n=171 at SP · −41.4%

£276k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 171 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

The read

The record is strongest at Toulouse (FR) (23.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also reads well on Soft going (22.9%, n=35) and over 6f – 7f (18.4%, n=38). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3.4% over 59 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Pontarme at Longchamp (FR) (May 2026, £21,870).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−5.9

n=35 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −28.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%+1.2

n=10 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

7.5%−1.3

n=53 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −30.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%+1.5

n=29 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +0.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

55.6%

n=9 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +4.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.7%−2.1

n=15 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −10.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+1.2

n=10 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 22.9% vs 8.8% · n=35

At Toulouse (FR) 23.3% vs 8.8% · n=30

Over 6f – 7f 18.4% vs 8.8% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 3.4% vs 8.8% · n=59

On Standard (AW) going 4.5% vs 8.8% · n=44

Off a 15-30-day break 13.2% vs 8.8% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 169 15 8.9% −68.72

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 44 3 6.8% −16.40

Standard (AW) 44 2 4.5% −35.70

Good 38 2 5.3% −23.00

Soft 35 8 22.9% +14.38

Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Toulouse (FR) 30 7 23.3% +2.98

Deauville (AW) 28 2 7.1% −19.70

La Teste De Buch (FR) 21 0 0% −21.00

Chantilly (FR) 19 0 0% −19.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 19 3 15.8% +11.00

Dax (FR) 12 1 8.3% −6.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Vichy (FR) 6 1 16.7% +2.50

Pau (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Longchamp (FR) 4 1 25% +11.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Tarbes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 19 2 10.5% −2.50

Class 3 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Class 1 10 1 10% +5.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 6 54.5% 1.91 +6.78

2nd–3rd fav 27 4 14.8% 1.02 −2.50

4th–6th fav 54 3 5.6% 0.78 −28.00

7th+ in betting 79 2 2.5% 0.79 −47.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Belinskov (FR)from S Wattel 12 0 4 4 Jul 26

Canalejas (FR) 9 1 3 26 Aug 26

Spanish Light (FR) 7 0 2 30 Oct 26

Lauper (IRE) 6 1 1 1 Nov 26

Fille D'Argentine (FR) 6 1 1 29 Oct 26

Orangette (FR) 6 2 4 26 Oct 26

Wathab (FR)from Simone Brogi 5 1 2 1 Nov 26

Abacur (FR) 5 1 1 30 Oct 26

Beautiful Mess (FR) 5 1 2 26 Oct 26

La Pepa (FR) 5 0 2 21 Oct 26

Frejulfe (FR) 5 2 3 16 Oct 26

Becho (FR) 5 0 1 16 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0000140768131825

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMaxime Foulon

18% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 1.27

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Foulon 31 3 9.7% −15.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£293k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 12 wins

Canalejas (FR) — Prix de Pontarme () (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2026 · Listed

£21,870

Orangette (FR) — Prix De Saint-felix Vichy (FR) · Jul 2026

£10,100

Frejulfe (FR) — Prix Motrico Dax (FR) · Aug 2026

£9,600

Notable horses

Orangette (FR) Frejulfe (FR) Halandjila (FR) Canalejas (FR) Lauper (IRE) Fille D'Argentine (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,214 runs since 2020 (752 horses).

City Light (FR) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 13.6% of 978 runs since 2023 (160 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.6% from 323. Weakest on Soft going: 10.3% from 223. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.7% from 181.

Armor (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11% of 118 runs since 2025 (26 horses).

Flintshire (GB) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 9.8% of 328 runs since 2020 (41 horses).

Intello (GER) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,493 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.

Hunter's Light (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,342 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.3% from 168. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 183 · newest first

The latest 50 of 183 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 September 2020 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Halandjila (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De La Gironde12f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/5F

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Mode Al Maury (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Hayyan8f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 28/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Wathab (FR)J: A Ferland Prix Colonel NoeClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 22/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Lauper (IRE)J: Mr Sebastien Bouyssou Prix Colonel NoeClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 17/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Abacur (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 7/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Spanish Light (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Du Buste De Francois-AndreClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 10/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Fille D'argentine (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Philippe MartinClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 9/2

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Beautiful Mess (FR)J: Mme Anaelle Mekouche Prix De Dax10f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 25/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Orangette (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De La Croix Occitane8f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/6F

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) La Pepa (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix De Billere7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Balma (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix D'arudy10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 25/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Florencia (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix D'arudy10f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Agandjir (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Rmmas10f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Spanish Light (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Jean-claude Guerin12f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Frejulfe (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Fille D'argentine (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De La Ville De BlagnacClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Wathab (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Comite Regional D'equitation OccitanieClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 20/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Orangette (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix De Nexon8f · Very Soft · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Boudechou (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De Nexon8f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 11/4F

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Beautiful Mess (FR)J: Martin Protti Prix Du Hong Kong Jockey ClubClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro's strike rate?: Roberto-Carlos Montenegro has won 15 of 171 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roberto-Carlos Montenegro do best at?: Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Roberto-Carlos Montenegro's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.