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Jockey profile

Miss Tilly Evans

34 rides in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 50 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–34
Wins / Runs
14.7%
Strike rate
n=34
6 (18%)
Placed
2.29
Fair A/E
n=33 · 1.87 incl. margin
+22.00
£1 level stake
n=34 at SP · +64.7%
£22,325
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
40%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
16.7%+2.0
n=24 · A/E 2.58 · £1 +6.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−14.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−14.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%−2.2
n=32 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +15.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−14.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
When claiming 12.5% vs 14.7% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 18 2 11.1% −1.00
Good 6 1 16.7% +2.50
Good to Soft 4 1 25% +22.00
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 2 50% +13.00
Carlisle 4 1 25% +22.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Lingfield (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Redcar 2 2 100% +11.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Ayr 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 20 3 15% −1.00
Class 5 12 2 16.7% +25.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 2 50% 3.20 +6.50
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.78 +4.50
7th+ in betting 15 1 6.7% 2.30 +11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Broughtons Flare (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Mar 24
Fristel (IRE) 3 0 0 22 Jun 23
Andalprofit (IRE) 2 1 1 9 Jun 26
First Company (IRE) 2 1 1 29 May 25
Crafter (IRE) 2 0 1 22 May 25
King Of Speed (IRE) 2 1 1 11 Mar 25
Apache Star (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Oct 24
Glory Nights (IRE) 2 1 1 23 Jan 24
Soul Warrior (IRE) 1 1 1 23 Sep 26
Theme Park (GB) 1 0 0 27 Jun 26
Yurinov (GB) 1 0 0 18 Jun 26
Whiskey Pete (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Oct 25
All 24 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000330005033330
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Mark Loughnane 27 3 11.1% +16.00
Nigel Tinkler 5 2 40% +8.00
Philip Kirby 1 0 0% −1.00
Ruth Carr 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
5
Archived wins
£22,325
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
King Of Speed (IRE) — Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2024 · Class 6
£4,470
First Company (IRE) — Cumberland Show Saturday 7th June Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1) Carlisle · May 2025 · Class 5
£3,974
Glory Nights (IRE) — Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1) Wolverhampton (AW) · Oct 2023 · Class 5
£3,676
Notable horses
Andalprofit (IRE) First Company (IRE) King Of Speed (IRE) Glory Nights (IRE) Soul Warrior (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,888 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Fast Company (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,603 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2014 (324 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Cotai Glory (GB) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,971 runs since 2021 (391 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,433. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 34 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Miss Tilly Evans's 34 archived rides, from 11 May 2023 to 23 September 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Sep 26 Redcar Soul Warrior (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 15/2
27 Jun 26 York Theme Park (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 18/1
18 Jun 26 Ripon Yurinov (GB)T: Philip Kirby Ripon Racecourse Ladies' Derby Handicap (Female Amateur Jockeys)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 80/1
09 Jun 26 Carlisle Andalprofit (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Racing TV Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 13/2
26 May 26 Redcar Andalprofit (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 7/2
13 Oct 25 Musselburgh Whiskey Pete (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Ray Hawthorne Memorial Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good · 9 ran 6th 13/2
06 Jul 25 Ayr Beaumadier (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Hadley's Nursery Run Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 20/1
29 May 25 Carlisle First Company (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Cumberland Show Saturday 7th June Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 25/1
22 May 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Crafter (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane bet365 Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 10/1
23 Apr 25 Lingfield (AW) Crafter (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 8/1
11 Mar 25 Southwell (AW) King Of Speed (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane BetMGM: It's Showtime Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 13/2
29 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Ciotog (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Unibet More Extra Place Races Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 3rd 7/2
15 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Heartrate (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 7th 14/1
13 Dec 24 Southwell (AW) First Company (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
16 Nov 24 Wolverhampton (AW) King Of Speed (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 5/1
07 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Wakai Umi (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 9/1
16 Oct 24 Nottingham Apache Star (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane TrustATrader Approved And Reviewed Trades People Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 10/1
05 Aug 24 Carlisle Triggered (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Sara Gadd Appreciation Handicap (Pro-Am Female Jockeys)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 33/1
17 Jun 24 Chepstow City Escape (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane BJLlewellyn Racing In Memory Of Gwilym Llewellyn Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 18/1
07 Jun 24 Haydock Starfighter (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Betfred 'Bet Builder' Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Tilly Evans's strike rate?
Miss Tilly Evans has won 5 of 34 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Tilly Evans's Fair A/E?
2.29, from 33 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).