What is Philip Kirby's strike rate?

Philip Kirby has won 169 of 2,115 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Philip Kirby do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 14 wins from 70 runners (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Philip Kirby?

Joe Williamson, with 449 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (11.1%).

Is Philip Kirby in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Philip Kirby's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 2,104 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Philip Kirby

2,115 runners in the last 5 seasons · 200 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.2% of 451 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

169–2,115

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,115

490 (23%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=2,104 · 0.77 incl. margin

−919.66

£1 level stake

n=2,115 at SP · −43.5%

£1.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 420 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,115 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 32.2% when favourite Joe Williamson: 11.1% from 449 Claiming riders: 9% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (20%, n=70) and Sedgefield (18.6%, n=118) — all clear of the yard's 8% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.2% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.27). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −141.75 to a £1 stake over 284 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joe Williamson rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.1% vs 8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.3%, n=103) and in Chase races (16.3%, n=141). 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Mansionbet Yorkshire Silver Vase Mares' Chase at Doncaster (Dec 2018, £44,193). The stable star of the record: Lady Buttons (GB) — 15 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.2%−4.8

n=284 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −141.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.2%−6.8

n=82 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −71.00

Debutants · first career start

4.5%−3.5

n=67 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +18.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.8%−3.2

n=62 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −47.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.3%−0.7

n=55 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −17.75

When favourite

32.2%

n=143 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −25.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%+1.0

n=726 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −293.93

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23.3% vs 8% · n=103

On last-time-out winners 21.6% vs 8% · n=176

At Musselburgh 20% vs 8% · n=70

At Sedgefield 18.6% vs 8% · n=118

In Chase races 16.3% vs 8% · n=141

With Cam Hardie 1.2% vs 8% · n=169

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,368 92 6.7% −719.50

Hurdle 534 51 9.6% −179.69

Chase 141 23 16.3% −27.38

NH Flat 72 3 4.2% +6.91

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 702 51 7.3% −340.28

Good 601 54 9% −123.41

Good to Soft 280 23 8.2% −116.66

Soft 280 21 7.5% −172.94

Good to Firm 191 13 6.8% −134.44

Heavy 60 7 11.7% −30.93

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 321 18 5.6% −229.41

Catterick 212 14 6.6% −102.82

Wolverhampton (AW) 179 22 12.3% +11.71

Southwell (AW) 152 9 5.9% −91.58

Sedgefield 118 22 18.6% −1.96

Carlisle 76 5 6.6% −49.75

Wetherby 70 2 2.9% −31.00

Musselburgh 70 14 20% +15.69

Newcastle 64 9 14.1% −19.12

Ripon 51 5 9.8% −4.62

Market Rasen 51 7 13.7% −2.88

Redcar 49 3 6.1% −39.50

Ayr 49 3 6.1% −37.00

Thirsk 49 5 10.2% −29.92

Kelso 47 4 8.5% −20.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 782 61 7.8% −318.46

Class 5 702 67 9.5% −327.03

Class 4 424 31 7.3% −204.67

Class 3 78 7 9% −18.50

Class 2 63 3 4.8% +15.00

Class 1 24 0 0% −24.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 174 54 31% 1.02 −26.91

2nd–3rd fav 377 67 17.8% 1.04 −39.25

4th–6th fav 650 38 5.8% 0.79 −188.50

7th+ in betting 914 10 1.1% 0.40 −665.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fircombe Hall (GB) 62 7 25 18 Jun 26

Busby (IRE)from Ivan Furtado 48 5 14 17 Apr 26

Clean Getaway (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 47 8 16 18 Oct 26

Lady Bouquet (GB) 47 6 17 2 Oct 26

Lone Star (GB)from Philip Hobbs 46 6 12 4 Oct 26

Peripeteia (GB)from George Boughey 42 5 11 4 Nov 24

Red Force One (GB)from Paul Nicholls 41 8 13 15 Oct 25

Achnamara (GB)from Harry Fry 38 4 6 25 May 26

Casa Luna (IRE)from Roger Varian 37 2 8 27 Mar 25

Caracristi (GB)from Stef Keniry 36 3 13 4 Nov 24

Misemerald (IRE) 35 3 11 30 Sep 26

Lord Torranaga (FR)from Alain Couetil 35 2 14 19 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 200 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Evans (2) and David O'Meara (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

71012669107461111

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJoe Williamson

21% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Joe Williamson 449 50 11.1% −112.84

Cam Hardie 169 2 1.2% −146.00

Thomas Dowson 142 12 8.5% −18.69

Aiden Brookes 103 9 8.7% −0.88

Kevin Stott 68 10 14.7% +3.13

Dale Swift 65 2 3.1% −46.00

Connor Beasley 63 8 12.7% −2.04

Andrew Mullen 60 3 5% −43.25

Graham Lee 44 3 6.8% −32.25

Hollie Doyle 43 7 16.3% −6.95

Madi Patzelt 42 1 2.4% −34.00

Billy Garritty 37 5 13.5% +8.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

611

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.06m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 62 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lady Buttons (GB) — Mansionbet Yorkshire Silver Vase Mares' Chase (Listed) Doncaster · Dec 2018 · Listed

£44,193

Lady Buttons (GB) — MansionBet At Doncaster Yorkshire Silver Vase Mares' Chase (Listed) Doncaster · Dec 2019 · Listed

£42,285

Platinum (IRE) — Betfred 'Goals Galore' Old Borough Cup (Handicap) Haydock · Sep 2013 · Class 2

£38,814

Notable horses

Lady Buttons (GB) Fircombe Hall (GB) Red Force One (GB) Goldan Jess (IRE) Amazing King (IRE) Clean Getaway (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 8.8% · 9–102

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Mondialiste (IRE) 3.8% · 3–80

Progeny have won 6.5% of 905 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 131. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.2% from 283.

Charming Thought (GB) 11.3% · 7–62

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,001 runs since 2008 (75 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 5.7% · 3–53

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 5.8% · 3–52

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Lethal Force (IRE) 16.7% · 8–48

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,263 runs since 2008 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.2% from 356.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,672 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,672 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2007 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Bathgate (GB)J: Joe Williamson Download The www.betvickers.com App Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 7th 20/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Asa (FR)J: Miss Natasha Cookson Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran F 25/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Clean Getaway (IRE)J: Joe Williamson Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Wasthatok (GB)J: Rhys Elliott Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 7th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Kings Merchant (GB)J: Kevin Stott William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 8th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kitaab (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Fordham Flyer (GB)J: Clifford Lee Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 50/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) The Green Man (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 17/2

10 Oct 26 York Glen In Rome (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Dementia Forward U&Me Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 125/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Starlet Du Brizais (FR)J: Joe Williamson Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 7th 50/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Clean Getaway (IRE)J: Joe Williamson Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/2

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Bathgate (GB)J: Joe Williamson Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Speechman (USA)J: Joe Williamson Mowden Park Rfc Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran PU 250/1

04 Oct 26 Kelso Lone Star (GB)J: Oscar Palmer Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 7/2

03 Oct 26 Redcar Recobella (FR)J: Kevin Stott Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 4th 13/2

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Bouquet (GB)J: M. P. Sheehy Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fordham Flyer (GB)J: M. P. Sheehy Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1

02 Oct 26 Hexham Time Was (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Project Kinsman (USA)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall bet365 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 40/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Skirt Around (USA)J: Charlie Tucker bet365 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Philip Kirby's strike rate?: Philip Kirby has won 169 of 2,115 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Philip Kirby do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 14 wins from 70 runners (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Philip Kirby?: Joe Williamson, with 449 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (11.1%).
Is Philip Kirby in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Philip Kirby's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 2,104 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.