What is Ruth Carr's strike rate?

Ruth Carr has won 240 of 2,304 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ruth Carr do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 19 wins from 104 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ruth Carr?

James Sullivan, with 1,174 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 113 (9.6%).

Is Ruth Carr in form?

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 10.4% since 2022.

What is Ruth Carr's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 2,295 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ruth Carr

2,304 runners in the last 5 seasons · 124 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.1% of 565 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

240–2,304

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=2,304

637 (28%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=2,295 · 0.94 incl. margin

−378.39

£1 level stake

n=2,304 at SP · −16.4%

£2.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 460 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (59 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,304 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan 29.3% when favourite James Sullivan: 9.6% from 1,174 Headgear returns: 13.6% Claiming riders: 11.5% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Pontefract (18.3%, n=104), clear of the yard's 10.4% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (3.1% over 98 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=59, Fair A/E 1.30), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6% (n=84, Fair A/E 1.08). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (4.5%, 5.9pts below the 10.4% baseline). James Sullivan rides 51% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.3%, n=177). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Apr 2017, £93,375). The stable star of the record: Red Cape (FR) — 17 wins from 148 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.8%−2.6

n=218 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −26.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

6%−4.4

n=84 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −21.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−10.4

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.1%−4.3

n=33 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −4.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.6%+3.2

n=59 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +41.00

When favourite

29.3%

n=167 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −6.24

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.5%+1.1

n=270 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −37.72

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 20.3% vs 10.4% · n=177

On last-time-out winners 18.3% vs 10.4% · n=240

At Pontefract 18.3% vs 10.4% · n=104

At Doncaster 3.1% vs 10.4% · n=98

With Kaiya Fraser 18.5% vs 10.4% · n=54

With Luke Morris 3.3% vs 10.4% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,052 114 10.8% −106.93

Good 503 50 9.9% −152.74

Good to Firm 427 42 9.8% −30.75

Soft 155 16 10.3% −39.55

Good to Soft 139 16 11.5% −40.42

Heavy 28 2 7.1% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 380 41 10.8% −44.37

Wolverhampton (AW) 284 38 13.4% +11.58

Southwell (AW) 278 23 8.3% −53.47

Thirsk 141 10 7.1% −62.50

Catterick 132 17 12.9% −13.68

Beverley 126 16 12.7% −14.67

Redcar 112 5 4.5% −56.00

Pontefract 104 19 18.3% +38.66

Ripon 101 12 11.9% −40.60

Doncaster 98 3 3.1% −68.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 77 9 11.7% −14.92

Hamilton 66 9 13.6% −3.25

Ayr 57 6 10.5% −26.00

Musselburgh 52 6 11.5% −6.17

Nottingham 47 4 8.5% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,074 127 11.8% −133.71

Class 5 625 63 10.1% −56.59

Class 4 423 37 8.7% −149.34

Class 3 110 10 9.1% −29.75

Class 2 72 3 4.2% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 213 59 27.7% 1.13 −8.91

2nd–3rd fav 411 67 16.3% 1.01 −46.48

4th–6th fav 739 83 11.2% 1.27 +54.00

7th+ in betting 941 31 3.3% 0.89 −377.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Reigning Profit (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 76 10 24 15 Sep 26

Hostelry (GB)from Michael Dods 69 11 34 21 Sep 26

Bobby Joe Leg (GB) 68 11 26 20 Apr 26

Jojo Rabbit (GB)from Archie Watson 61 8 16 8 Oct 26

Newyorkstateofmind (GB)from William Muir & Chris Grassick 58 4 13 3 Sep 26

Spanish Angel (IRE)from Andrew Balding 53 4 17 25 Feb 25

Daytona Lady (IRE)from John Ryan 48 6 18 19 Oct 26

Reputation (IRE)from John Quinn 48 5 15 30 Jul 26

Swiss Ace (GB)from A P O'Brien 46 3 9 17 Mar 26

Copper And Five (GB)from John Gosden 45 3 8 16 Sep 26

Foreseeable Future (FR)from James Tate 44 8 18 2 Oct 24

Next Second (GB)from Roger Charlton 42 4 9 3 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 124 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 55 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (5) and David O'Meara (3); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 22 4.5% · −5.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.5%

5-season base10.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

171011109712101181415

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Sullivan

51% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

James Sullivan 1,174 113 9.6% −262.28

Joanna Mason 255 33 12.9% +21.33

William Pyle 75 10 13.3% −3.63

Jason Hart 65 7 10.8% −17.25

Luke Morris 60 2 3.3% −51.00

Kaiya Fraser 54 10 18.5% +8.75

Paul Mulrennan 53 6 11.3% +0.50

Miss Charli Parker 45 7 15.6% +1.37

Warren Fentiman 39 4 10.3% +16.33

Tom Eaves 38 1 2.6% −17.00

Christian Howarth 33 2 6.1% −23.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

718

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.09m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 63 wins

Sovereign Debt (IRE) — Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2017 · Class 2

£93,375

Sovereign Debt (IRE) — Bet365 Mile (group 2) Sandown · Apr 2017 · Group 2

£53,875

Poyle Vinnie (GB) — Qatar Stewards' Sprint Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2019 · Class 2

£46,688

Notable horses

Red Cape (FR) Bobby Joe Leg (GB) Dubai Dynamo (GB) San Cassiano (IRE) Amazing Blue Sky (GB) Ellaal (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Profitable (IRE) 17.2% · 27–157

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,408 runs since 2008 (356 horses).

Kingman (GB) 12.7% · 15–118

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,470 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 13.9% · 14–101

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,216 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Brazen Beau (AUS) 6.7% · 6–89

Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,472 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.

Mehmas (IRE) 14.7% · 11–75

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 12.9% · 9–70

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,972 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,972 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2008 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Magic Runner (GER)J: Taryn Langley bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Invincible Crown (IRE)J: James Sullivan Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Daytona Lady (IRE)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Sharja (GB)J: James Sullivan Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Accrual (GB)J: William Pyle William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Barleybrown (GB)J: James Sullivan Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Fiscal Policy (IRE)J: William Pyle William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 7th 17/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Woodstock (GB)J: Joanna Mason William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/4

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kinetic Force (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 13/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Star Start (IRE)J: Miss Charli Parker Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 5th 11/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Filey Beach (IRE)J: Joanna Mason racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 11th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Men Of Honour (IRE)J: James Sullivan Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Light Speed (IRE)J: James Sullivan Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Pureis King (FR)J: James Sullivan racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 25/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kats Bob (GB)J: William Pyle Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 4/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Havanagreattime (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 40/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Invincible Crown (IRE)J: James Sullivan Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 10/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Star Start (IRE)J: Miss Charli Parker Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wise Crack (IRE)J: James Sullivan Pepsi Max Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dumfries (GB)J: James Sullivan Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ruth Carr's strike rate?: Ruth Carr has won 240 of 2,304 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ruth Carr do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 19 wins from 104 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ruth Carr?: James Sullivan, with 1,174 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 113 (9.6%).
Is Ruth Carr in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 10.4% since 2022.
What is Ruth Carr's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 2,295 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.