No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−1.5
n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.5%+0.0
n=66 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −60.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.9%+0.4
n=54 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −48.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
When claiming1.5% vs 1.5% · n=66 · A/E 0.43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat2500%−25.00
Hurdle2000%−20.00
Chase1715.9%−11.50
Flat400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft2414.2%−18.50
Good1700%−17.00
Heavy1400%−14.00
Good to Soft600%−6.00
Good to Firm400%−4.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown1200%−12.00
Wexford900%−9.00
Cork500%−5.00
Gowran Park500%−5.00
Downpatrick4125%+1.50
Sligo400%−4.00
Tramore300%−3.00
Kilbeggan200%−2.00
Tipperary200%−2.00
Thurles200%−2.00
Navan200%−2.00
Limerick200%−2.00
Leopardstown200%−2.00
Fairyhouse200%−2.00
Down Royal200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav3133.3%3.16+2.50
4th–6th fav1000%0.00−10.00
7th+ in betting5300%0.00−53.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m2600%−26.00
2m1f – 2m4f2000%−20.00
2m5f – 3m1715.9%−11.50
Over 3m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082414.2%−18.50
20092200%−22.00
2010800%−8.00
2011600%−6.00
2012100%−1.00
2013200%−2.00
2014300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps700%−7.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2713.7%−21.50
17+ runners2700%−27.00
11-13 runners800%−8.00
8-10 runners300%−3.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 44 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001100000·0·0
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
1
Archived wins
£12,865
Prize money
2008
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Loggan Lass (IRE) — Toals Frank Magee Memorial Maiden Hunters Chase Downpatrick · Mar 2008
Progeny have won 7% of 398 runs since 2008 (43 horses).
Insatiable (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.3% of 372 runs since 2008 (36 horses).
Rudimentary (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Definite Article (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Exit To Nowhere (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 74 · newest first
The latest 50 of 74 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2006 to 10 May 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr A J Walsh's strike rate?
Mr A J Walsh has won 1 of 66 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr A J Walsh's Fair A/E?
0.43, from 66 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr A J Walsh·SR 1.5%·A/E 0.43
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