What is P J Rothwell's strike rate?

P J Rothwell has won 156 of 2,559 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P J Rothwell do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 13 wins from 107 runners (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P J Rothwell?

Mr T Power Roche, with 539 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (8.2%).

Is P J Rothwell in form?

In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 6.1% since 2022.

What is P J Rothwell's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 2,559 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P J Rothwell

2,559 runners in the last 5 seasons · 284 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 20.7% of 806 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

156–2,559

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=2,559

580 (23%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=2,559 · 0.77 incl. margin

−860.76

£1 level stake

n=2,559 at SP · −33.6%

£2.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 510 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (90 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,559 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 14.9% when favourite Mr T Power Roche: 8.2% from 539 Headgear returns: 8.9% Claiming riders: 6.9% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (12.1%, n=107), clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Navan (1.1% over 88 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=175, Fair A/E 0.97). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −80.75 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr T Power Roche rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.2% vs 6.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 62 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2005, £108,600). The stable star of the record: Ricky Langford (IRE) — 7 wins from 71 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−0.2

n=442 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −80.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.1%−1.0

n=59 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −18.75

Debutants · first career start

2.3%−3.8

n=175 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −75.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−2.5

n=111 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −80.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.9%+2.8

n=90 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −14.75

When favourite

14.9%

n=87 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −39.05

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%+0.8

n=1,543 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −439.96

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.4%−2.7

n=58 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −40.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ballinrobe 12.1% vs 6.1% · n=107

In Flat races 0% vs 6.1% · n=62

With Darragh O'Keeffe 11.7% vs 6.1% · n=77

With Dylan Robinson 1.4% vs 6.1% · n=141

At Navan 1.1% vs 6.1% · n=88

On last-time-out winners 10.5% vs 6.1% · n=152

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,782 118 6.6% −534.51

Chase 636 35 5.5% −233.75

NH Flat 79 3 3.8% −30.50

Flat 62 0 0% −62.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,021 53 5.2% −416.55

Good 673 51 7.6% −87.04

Good to Soft 443 23 5.2% −199.50

Heavy 414 29 7% −149.67

Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 229 12 5.2% −79.67

Wexford 215 15 7% −75.00

Limerick 172 12 7% −34.87

Downpatrick 157 10 6.4% −77.67

Thurles 151 11 7.3% −67.50

Fairyhouse 151 7 4.6% −107.25

Kilbeggan 150 10 6.7% −32.50

Clonmel 142 9 6.3% −59.50

Tramore 134 11 8.2% −35.50

Cork 118 6 5.1% −46.00

Naas 110 6 5.5% −15.00

Ballinrobe 107 13 12.1% +28.00

Gowran Park 90 5 5.6% −24.00

Navan 88 1 1.1% −75.00

Killarney 81 4 4.9% −28.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 60 2 3.3% −42.50

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 22 17.3% 0.82 −37.34

2nd–3rd fav 350 48 13.7% 0.96 −87.92

4th–6th fav 623 50 8% 1.06 −37.50

7th+ in betting 1,459 36 2.5% 0.95 −698.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 2,418 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 636 78.1% 14 19 103 3 0

Hurdle 1,782 87.9% 24 18 163 4 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Warm In Gorey (IRE) 45 2 17 23 Sep 26

Game And Glory (IRE) 42 2 12 22 May 26

Ricky Langford (IRE) 42 4 11 6 Jun 25

Union Park (FR) 40 4 10 28 Apr 26

El Champo (IRE) 37 5 14 18 Oct 26

Baltinglass Hill (IRE)from M C Grassick 36 1 6 18 Sep 26

That's About Right (IRE) 35 5 9 8 Oct 26

Galon De Vauzelle (FR) 34 3 11 6 Apr 26

Cullenwaine (IRE)then David O'Sullivan 32 2 4 5 Aug 25

Robindevidastar (IRE)from Steven E Ryder 31 2 8 29 Mar 26

Prince Zaltar (FR)then Dan Skelton 29 4 12 23 Aug 25

Future Proof (IRE)from Noel Meade 28 1 2 26 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 284 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from N Dooly (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for David O'Sullivan (2) and Joanne Foster (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 21 4.8% · −1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.8%

5-season base6.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

674666597586

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr T Power Roche

21% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Mr T Power Roche 539 44 8.2% −66.54

Simon Torrens 374 18 4.8% −119.50

James O'Sullivan 329 14 4.3% −214.55

P J O'Hanlon 213 14 6.6% −93.50

Miss P Elvin 145 9 6.2% −28.67

Dylan Robinson 141 2 1.4% −129.00

Conor Owens 112 8 7.1% −19.50

Shane O'Callaghan 93 8 8.6% +5.75

Darragh O'Keeffe 77 9 11.7% −12.75

Mr R Sugrue 51 3 5.9% −20.00

Jack Foley 44 4 9.1% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

404

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.65m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 42 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Black Apalachi (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase (0-145) Leopardstown · Dec 2005 · Grade B

£108,600

Divine Rhapsody (IRE) — Goffs Land Rover Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2010

£59,000

Jamies Choice (IRE) — Alchemy Properties Handicap Chase Cork · Oct 2008 · Grade B

£39,060

Notable horses

Ricky Langford (IRE) Paddy O Dee (GB) Union Park (FR) Beneficial Spirit (IRE) El Champo (IRE) That's About Right (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doyen (IRE) 7.9% · 10–127

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Sageburg (IRE) 4% · 5–125

Progeny have won 10% of 3,471 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.4% from 352.

Califet (FR) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,787 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Getaway (GER) 4.7% · 4–85

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Mahler (GB) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 6.8% · 4–59

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,065 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,065 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) El Champo (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Coolboy Christy (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 16/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Rockymountainbleu (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Moon Mission (GB)J: Mr R Sugrue TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 4th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Two Grand Sweeney (GB)J: Tiernan Power Roche Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Pat's Prodigies (IRE)J: Miss P Elvin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gatehouse Boy (FR)J: Mr R Sugrue William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 11th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Piper Street (FR)J: Tiernan Power Roche William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 13th 66/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Pilgrims Walk (IRE)J: Conor Clarke William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 9/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Conor'salwaysright (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) John Dixen (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 6/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Modcon (IRE)J: Miss P Elvin Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Zaryagle (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Kilt (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 7/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Youknowme (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 1st 5/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Young Doran (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/2

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Dark Berkshire (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 9/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Speakasyoufind (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Denis Macauley Memorial Novice Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 10/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Colossal Impact (GB)J: Miss P Elvin Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 7/2

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Calm Flight Ahead (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P J Rothwell's strike rate?: P J Rothwell has won 156 of 2,559 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P J Rothwell do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 13 wins from 107 runners (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P J Rothwell?: Mr T Power Roche, with 539 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (8.2%).
Is P J Rothwell in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 6.1% since 2022.
What is P J Rothwell's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 2,559 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.