C A Murphy
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). In Group and Graded company the record reads 20% (40 runs).
It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 20% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.49), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=225, Fair A/E 0.55). Brian Hayes rides 24% of the entries and beats the yard's average (19.1% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.70) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 1 (20%, n=40). 56 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2006, £202,683). The stable star of the record: Big Zeb (IRE) — 13 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,409 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,409 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 9 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is C A Murphy's strike rate?
- C A Murphy has won 34 of 389 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does C A Murphy do best at?
- Naas by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for C A Murphy?
- Brian Hayes, with 94 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (19.1%).
- Is C A Murphy in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is C A Murphy's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.