What is Nicky Henderson's strike rate?

Nicky Henderson has won 407 of 1,998 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nicky Henderson do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 49 runners (30.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nicky Henderson?

Nico de Boinville, with 1,028 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 234 (22.8%).

Is Nicky Henderson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nicky Henderson's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nicky Henderson

1,998 runners in the last 5 seasons · 331 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.6% of 396 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 4 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

407–1,998

Wins / Runs

20.4%

Strike rate

n=1,998

797 (40%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,995 · 0.88 incl. margin

−330.89

£1 level stake

n=1,997 at SP · −16.6%

£11.6m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 400 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 20% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). New recruits from other yards win at 32% first time out (54 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,998 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 23.2% 41.4% when favourite Nico de Boinville: 22.8% from 1,028 New recruits: 31.5% Group/Graded: 25.6% Sends off the favourite in 27% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (33.3%, n=45) and Ffos Las (33.3%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 20.4% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 31.5% (n=54, Fair A/E 1.10), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.48). Nico de Boinville rides 51% of the entries and edges the yard's average (22.8% vs 20.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 338 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2013, £313,225). The stable star of the record: Altior (IRE) — 21 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

23.2%+2.8

n=654 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −29.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

31.5%+11.1

n=54 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −13.39

Debutants · first career start

22%+1.6

n=164 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −40.83

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%−3.7

n=78 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −24.98

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−14.5

n=34 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

41.4%

n=536 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −57.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.8%−5.6

n=155 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −74.97

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25.6%+5.2

n=317 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −40.54

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 29.2% vs 20.4% · n=414

With headgear back on 5.9% vs 20.4% · n=34

At Exeter 33.3% vs 20.4% · n=45

At Ffos Las 33.3% vs 20.4% · n=42

With new recruits 31.5% vs 20.4% · n=54

With Paul O'Brien 10% vs 20.4% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,306 259 19.8% −236.72

Chase 471 102 21.7% −45.92

NH Flat 170 32 18.8% −46.81

Flat 51 14 27.5% −1.44

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 735 179 24.4% −6.27

Good to Soft 690 123 17.8% −195.80

Soft 460 83 18% −91.46

Heavy 69 12 17.4% −23.04

Standard (AW) 30 7 23.3% −9.82

Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 220 34 15.5% −16.18

Newbury 179 35 19.6% −8.54

Kempton 163 40 24.5% −0.97

Warwick 104 24 23.1% −15.86

Sandown 91 15 16.5% −41.34

Ascot 88 19 21.6% −16.36

Aintree 88 14 15.9% −37.07

Huntingdon 87 12 13.8% −40.85

Uttoxeter 81 13 16% −28.39

Doncaster 76 16 21.1% −28.99

Ludlow 59 11 18.6% −31.42

Hereford 49 15 30.6% −1.35

Wincanton 48 10 20.8% −7.96

Worcester 46 10 21.7% −0.53

Southwell 45 12 26.7% −7.86

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 617 139 22.5% −149.98

Class 3 451 91 20.2% −54.71

Class 1 410 89 21.7% −68.21

Class 2 301 44 14.6% −35.70

Class 5 201 43 21.4% −7.54

Class 6 5 1 20% −1.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 585 241 41.2% 1.06 −38.25

2nd–3rd fav 642 110 17.1% 0.93 −134.64

4th–6th fav 484 45 9.3% 1.07 −103.00

7th+ in betting 286 10 3.5% 0.93 −55.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.3% completed · 1,777 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 471 73.9% 12 9 99 2 1

Hurdle 1,306 83.9% 20 12 175 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hyland (FR) 26 7 14 10 Mar 26

Jonbon (FR) 25 17 25 12 Mar 26

Lelantos (IRE) 24 3 9 20 Jul 26

Goblet Of Fire (GB)from Nigel Tinkler 23 8 15 24 Sep 26

First Street (GB) 20 3 7 3 May 25

Arclight (GB)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 19 6 8 2 Feb 26

Therapist (GB)from Andrew Balding · then Peter Niven 19 5 9 31 Jan 26

Ile De Jersey (FR) 19 5 9 13 Dec 25

Iberico Lord (FR) 18 5 6 2 May 26

Mister Coffey (FR)from Harry Whittington 18 0 9 20 Mar 26

Fantastic Lady (FR) 18 4 5 16 May 25

Bhaloo (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 17 4 9 19 Jun 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 331 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

181918202321131428162820

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNico de Boinville

51% of all rides
22.8% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Nico de Boinville 1,028 234 22.8% −147.22

James Bowen 449 96 21.4% −24.61

Freddie Gordon 56 11 19.6% −17.73

Daryl Jacob 53 6 11.3% +3.50

Paul O'Brien 50 5 10% −27.59

Aidan Coleman 34 10 29.4% −8.66

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,490

Archived wins

338

Pattern / graded wins

£49.6m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 189 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bobs Worth (IRE) — Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2013 · Class 1

£313,225

Long Run (FR) — totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2011 · Class 1

£285,050

Buveur D'air (FR) — Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2018 · Grade 1

£266,384

Notable horses

Altior (IRE) Jonbon (FR) Sprinter Sacre (FR) Oscar Whisky (IRE) Buveur D'air (FR) Top Notch (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 32.1% · 34–106

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 22.7% · 20–88

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,489 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Milan (GB) 19.1% · 13–68

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Getaway (GER) 19.7% · 12–61

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Sholokhov (IRE) 23.6% · 13–55

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,841 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,841 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Madam Speaker (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Williams QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/9F

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Independent Lady (GER)J: Nico de Boinville We Buy Cars On The Go Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester That's Nice (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Williams Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Goblet Of Fire (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Coastal Command (GB)J: Nico de Boinville Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Constitution Hill (GB)J: Billy Loughnane William Hill September Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 4th 9/2

04 Sep 26 Worcester That's Nice (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/2

22 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Goblet Of Fire (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Blackwell Earthmoving 70th Anniversary Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 6/4F

20 Jul 26 Cartmel Lelantos (IRE)J: James Bowen Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

18 Jul 26 Cartmel Viscountess Nelson (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Williams Hadwins Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 4th 4/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter La Pinsonniere (FR)J: James Bowen Bravo Benefits Celebrations Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 4th 5/2

10 Jul 26 Newmarket Goblet Of Fire (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Betway Trophy (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter That's Nice (IRE)J: Harry Cobden CopyBet Daily World Cup Profit Boost Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 4th 11/1

19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Bhaloo (IRE)J: James Bowen Associated British Ports 'Summer Plate Trial' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 5/2

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot La Pinsonniere (FR)J: Nico de Boinville St. Austell Brewery Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 5/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester Ideal Des Bordes (FR)J: Nico de Boinville CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 8 ran PU 6/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester Excello (FR)J: James Bowen CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 8 ran PU 7/2

10 Jun 26 Fontwell Viscountess Nelson (IRE)J: James Bowen Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 10/11F

04 Jun 26 Uttoxeter That's Nice (IRE)J: Harry Cobden JMI Planning 10 Years In Business Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 10/3

24 May 26 Uttoxeter Cruikshank (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Wrights 100 Year Dash Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicky Henderson's strike rate?: Nicky Henderson has won 407 of 1,998 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicky Henderson do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 49 runners (30.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nicky Henderson?: Nico de Boinville, with 1,028 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 234 (22.8%).
Is Nicky Henderson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nicky Henderson's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.