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Jockey profile

Mr Jonathan Bailey

53 rides in the lifetime window · 34 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2018 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–53
Wins / Runs
18.9%
Strike rate
n=53
19 (36%)
Placed
1.50
Fair A/E
n=53 · 1.31 incl. margin
−3.35
£1 level stake
n=53 at SP · −6.3%
£25,476
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 19.6%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
14.7%−4.2
n=34 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −7.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+31.1
n=10 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +10.05
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
15.4%−3.5
n=26 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −6.15
When favourite
66.7%
n=6 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +4.90
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
19.6%+0.7
n=51 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −1.35
Big fields · 14+ runners
14.3%−4.6
n=7 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −3.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 14.7% vs 18.9% · n=34
In Chase races 21.7% vs 18.9% · n=46
When claiming 19.6% vs 18.9% · n=51 · A/E 1.52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 46 10 21.7% +3.65
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 3 12.5% −9.50
Soft 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Good to Soft 9 3 33.3% +8.25
Good to Firm 6 3 50% +2.90
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 11 3 27.3% −2.10
Leicester 10 2 20% −0.75
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 3 1 33.3% +0.75
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheltenham 3 1 33.3% +0.25
Fontwell 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 1 50% +6.00
Fakenham 2 1 50% +5.50
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 0 0% −1.00
Kelso 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 28 8 28.6% +10.40
Class 5 12 2 16.7% −0.75
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 5 55.6% 1.83 +5.15
2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 0.83 −4.00
4th–6th fav 14 3 21.4% 2.79 +10.50
7th+ in betting 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72.5% completed · 51 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 46 71.7% 1 1 11 0 0
Hurdle 5 80% 0 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Picabo Kid (USA) 6 1 1 8 Mar 13
Full Trottle (IRE) 4 3 4 29 Jan 18
Coolefind (IRE) 4 3 3 9 May 11
Galway Jack (IRE) 3 0 2 9 Mar 12
Earl Of Thomond (IRE) 3 0 1 9 Mar 12
Alfstar (GB) 2 0 1 23 Mar 18
Chapel House (GB) 2 1 1 8 Mar 13
Restless D'artaix (FR) 2 1 1 17 Apr 12
Pass The Parsel (IRE) 2 1 1 17 Mar 11
Man Of Steel (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Feb 18
Bivouac (FR) 1 0 0 25 Jan 18
Swingbridge (IRE) 1 0 0 18 May 17
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00144022····00·
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Caroline Bailey 7 0 0% −7.00
G T H Bailey 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Stuart Morris 6 2 33.3% +2.10
Mrs C H Covell 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Miss L Thomas 5 3 60% +15.25
Ms A E Embiricos 4 0 0% −4.00
W J Warner 3 2 66.7% +2.55
Joanne Priest 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Harper 2 1 50% +1.25
Paul Webber 2 0 0% −2.00
J P Owen 1 0 0% −1.00
Fleur Hawes 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
10
Archived wins
£25,476
Prize money
2010
Best season · 4 wins
Full Trottle (IRE) — Magnus-Allcroft Memorial Open Hunters' Chase Ludlow · Apr 2017 · Class 5
£2,496
Full Trottle (IRE) — GX Landrover Open Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2017 · Class 6
£2,340
Chapel House (GB) — Leicestershire And Derbyshire Yeomanry Handicap Chase (amateur Riders) Leicester · Mar 2012 · Class 5
£2,184
Notable horses
Full Trottle (IRE) Coolefind (IRE) Picabo Kid (USA) Chapel House (GB) Restless D'artaix (FR) Pass The Parsel (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lemon Drop Kid (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 12.8% of 1,419 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.6% from 198.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Phardante (FR) 75% · 3–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 131 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Vertical Speed (FR) 75% · 3–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 784 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 139.
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Beneficial (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 53 · newest first

The latest 50 of 53 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2009 to 23 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Mar 18 Newbury Alfstar (GB)T: Joanne Priest Bjp Insurance Brokers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 8/1
19 Feb 18 Lingfield Man Of Steel (IRE)T: Alan Hill TTS Networks 'Grassroots' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 7/2
09 Feb 18 Bangor-on-Dee Alfstar (GB)T: Joanne Priest John Hewitt Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 66/1
29 Jan 18 Hereford Full Trottle (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas Festival Preview Night 1st March Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 4/1
25 Jan 18 Warwick Bivouac (FR)T: J P Owen Willoughby De Broke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 10/1
18 May 17 Fontwell Swingbridge (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas Porto Racing Specialist Horse Racing Saddlery Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/2
05 May 17 Cheltenham Full Trottle (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas GX Landrover Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 1st 9/4J
03 Apr 17 Ludlow Full Trottle (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas Magnus-Allcroft Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 7/1
20 May 16 Stratford Midnight King (GB)T: Mrs J M Mann pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1
17 Mar 16 Towcester Legal Legend (GB)T: Christopher Henn Towcester Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 3/1
14 May 15 Fontwell Full Trottle (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas starspreads.com Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Cuckoo Maiden Challenge Cup)Class 6 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 8/1
12 May 15 Southwell Play The Market (IRE)T: Stuart Morris T Frost Racing Saddlers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 20/1
06 May 15 Uttoxeter Parthian Empire (GB)T: W M Wanless Mount Argus Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 22.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 80/1
12 Mar 15 Towcester Catch Tammy (IRE)T: Mrs I Barnett 32red Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 8 ran UR 28/1
26 May 13 Uttoxeter Morning Moment (GB)T: Caroline Bailey Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 13/2
16 May 13 Fontwell Can't Agree (GB)T: Stuart Morris 32RedBingo.com Open Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Cup)Class 6 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 25/1
14 May 13 Southwell Roby De Cimbre (FR)T: S Robinson Savills Open Hunters' Chase (Midlands Point-To-Point Area)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
01 May 13 Cheltenham Gunmoney (IRE)T: G T H Bailey Bonhams Men's Open Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 20/1
20 Apr 13 Bangor-on-Dee Windy Arbour (GB)T: Gary Hanmer David Higham Memorial Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
08 Mar 13 Leicester Chapel House (GB)T: Richard Harper Leicestershire And Derbyshire Yeomanry Handicap Chase (amateur Riders)Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran PU 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Jonathan Bailey's strike rate?
Mr Jonathan Bailey has won 10 of 53 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Jonathan Bailey's Fair A/E?
1.50, from 53 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).