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Jockey profile

Mr Nathan Brennan

54 rides in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2023 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–54
Wins / Runs
9.3%
Strike rate
n=54
13 (24%)
Placed
0.69
Fair A/E
n=54 · 0.60 incl. margin
−34.22
£1 level stake
n=54 at SP · −63.4%
£73,683
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 9.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.1%+1.8
n=27 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −12.88
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.5%+3.2
n=8 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −4.88
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
15.4%+6.1
n=13 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −6.88
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −3.55
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.4%+0.1
n=53 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −33.22
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 13.9% vs 9.3% · n=36
When claiming 9.4% vs 9.3% · n=53 · A/E 0.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 46 5 10.9% −26.22
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 36 5 13.9% −16.22
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 6 0 0% −6.00
Kempton 5 1 20% −0.67
Bangor-on-Dee 4 1 25% −1.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 4 0 0% −4.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Wincanton 3 0 0% −3.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Catterick 2 1 50% −0.67
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Taunton 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Plumpton 2 1 50% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 23 2 8.7% −17.34
Class 5 19 1 5.3% −16.00
Class 3 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Class 2 4 1 25% −0.88
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.81 −3.55
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.63 −4.67
4th–6th fav 18 1 5.6% 0.65 −10.00
7th+ in betting 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.5% completed · 51 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 46 76.1% 2 2 5 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
American Gerry (IRE) 11 2 4 28 May 23
Jack The Farmer (GB) 4 0 0 12 Nov 22
Roccstar Bay (GB) 3 0 1 27 Jan 23
Lelantos (IRE) 3 1 2 22 Nov 22
Robin Des Mana (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Apr 23
Mr Harp (IRE) 2 0 0 30 Dec 22
Theatre Glory (IRE) 2 1 1 26 Nov 22
Starsky (IRE) 2 0 0 28 Sep 22
Texan Nomad (GB) 2 0 0 18 Sep 22
Scarpia (IRE) 2 1 1 10 Feb 22
Tanit River (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Mar 23
Pentland Hills (IRE) 1 0 0 14 Jan 23
All 31 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
131420250010000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Nicky Henderson 21 3 14.3% −6.88
Hughie Morrison 11 2 18.2% −5.34
Ben Lund 5 0 0% −5.00
Ronald Harris 3 0 0% −3.00
Thomas Gallagher 2 0 0% −2.00
Phil York 2 0 0% −2.00
Barry Brennan 2 0 0% −2.00
William de Best-Turner 1 0 0% −1.00
Alan Jones 1 0 0% −1.00
Sean Curran 1 0 0% −1.00
Hannah James 1 0 0% −1.00
John Cornwall 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
18
Archived wins
£162k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 7 wins
Theatre Glory (IRE) — Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2022 · Class 2
£26,015
Scarpia (IRE) — Betting.Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Jan 2022 · Class 3
£8,332
Little Rory Mac (IRE) — Download The MansionBet App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Dec 2019 · Class 4
£6,498
Notable horses
American Gerry (IRE) Mount Windsor (IRE) Torrent Des Mottes (FR) Invincible Cave (IRE) Emmas Dilemma (IRE) Lelantos (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Americain (USA) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 5.8% of 120 runs since 2016 (9 horses).
Kalanisi (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,750 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Presenting (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Telescope (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,916 runs since 2019 (298 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 106. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 284.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Fame And Glory (GB) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 155 · newest first

The latest 50 of 155 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 October 2019 to 28 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 May 23 Uttoxeter American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Kev Tilling Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 6/1
18 May 23 Fontwell American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Play With The Finest Bookmaker, Fitzdares..... Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran UR 13/2
21 Apr 23 Fontwell American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Southern Cranes & Access Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 4th 8/1
16 Apr 23 Wincanton Robin Des Mana (IRE)T: Phil York Dot Tolson Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1
06 Mar 23 Southwell Tanit River (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Read Davy Russell On Starsports.Bet Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 28/1
06 Mar 23 Southwell Robin Des Mana (IRE)T: Phil York Download The Star Sports App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 4th 22/1
13 Feb 23 Catterick American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 5/2F
27 Jan 23 Doncaster Roccstar Bay (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Sky Bet UKs No.1 Betting App Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
14 Jan 23 Kempton Pentland Hills (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21f · Soft · 20 ran PU 33/1
30 Dec 22 Haydock Mr Harp (IRE)T: Thomas Gallagher Betfred Nifty Fifty Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 6/1
27 Dec 22 Kempton Paros (FR)T: Nicky Henderson Ladbrokes Fanzone 'Your Team Your Game' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran PU 33/1
26 Dec 22 Wincanton Easy Rider (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Wincanton Racing, Events, Golf And Footgolf Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 15f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 6th 15/2
26 Dec 22 Wincanton Roccstar Bay (GB)T: Nicky Henderson John Heathcock Service To Racing Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 13 ran RO 14/1
21 Dec 22 Taunton American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Stables Business Park Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1
20 Dec 22 Ludlow Scarpered (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Tanners Wines EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 150/1
26 Nov 22 Newbury Theatre Glory (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Gerry Feilden) (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 4/1
24 Nov 22 Lingfield Mr Harp (IRE)T: Thomas Gallagher Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/1
22 Nov 22 Southwell Lelantos (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Follow Vickers.Bet For Tommo's Daily Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/2
21 Nov 22 Kempton American Gerry (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 2/1F
15 Nov 22 Hereford Luscifer (GB)T: Ronald Harris Cazoo Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran F 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Nathan Brennan's strike rate?
Mr Nathan Brennan has won 5 of 54 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Nathan Brennan's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 54 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).