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Trainer profile

Barry Brennan

342 runners in the last 5 seasons · 86 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
25–342
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=342
70 (21%)
Placed
1.15
n=342 · 1.00 incl. margin
+80.61
£1 level stake
n=342 at SP · +23.6%
£256k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 342 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Isabelle Ryder: 12.1% from 58 Claiming riders: 8.5%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +126.45 to a £1 stake over 164 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Isabelle Ryder rides 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.1% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (13%, n=54) and in Chase races (12.8%, n=39). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.6% over 111 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Hope's Wishes (GB) — 5 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−1.4
n=85 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +72.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.7%−2.6
n=64 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +41.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%−2.5
n=21 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −12.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −2.14
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.5%+1.2
n=164 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +126.45
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kieran O'Neill 19.4% vs 7.3% · n=31
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 13% vs 7.3% · n=54
In Chase races 12.8% vs 7.3% · n=39
With Isabelle Ryder 12.1% vs 7.3% · n=58
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.6% vs 7.3% · n=111
With horses switching code 3.3% vs 7.3% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 152 7 4.6% −68.80
Flat 134 12 9% +60.91
Chase 39 5 12.8% +96.50
NH Flat 17 1 5.9% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 135 9 6.7% +41.70
Standard (AW) 96 10 10.4% +55.16
Good to Soft 52 4 7.7% −1.00
Soft 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Firm 17 2 11.8% +26.75
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 4 13.8% +21.16
Lingfield (AW) 27 1 3.7% +40.00
Worcester 23 1 4.3% −20.80
Kempton (AW) 21 1 4.8% −14.50
Newton Abbot 18 2 11.1% +89.00
Fontwell 16 3 18.8% +8.50
Stratford 15 1 6.7% −2.00
Uttoxeter 15 1 6.7% −4.00
Fakenham 14 1 7.1% −7.00
Market Rasen 12 2 16.7% +27.50
Bangor-on-Dee 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Leicester 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell (AW) 9 2 22.2% +5.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 9 1 11.1% −0.50
Plumpton 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 152 14 9.2% +81.00
Class 4 106 7 6.6% −3.89
Class 6 55 3 5.5% +29.75
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.96 −4.14
2nd–3rd fav 42 9 21.4% 1.27 +8.75
4th–6th fav 120 8 6.7% 1.02 +4.00
7th+ in betting 169 5 3% 1.32 +72.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Seahouses (GB)from Ralph Beckett 17 2 6 8 Sep 26
Whispering Royal (IRE)from Alan King 9 0 2 27 Nov 25
Great D'ange (FR)from M Osborne · then Alexander Gibbons 9 1 4 20 Jul 25
Bigz Belief (IRE)from Matthew J Smith · then Fergal O'Brien 9 0 3 25 Mar 25
Provision (GB)from Paul Midgley 8 1 4 10 Oct 26
Tara Iti (GB)from James Owen 8 0 0 7 Jul 26
Vesalius (IRE) 8 0 0 29 Jun 26
Crem Fresh (GB)from Polly Gundry 8 1 3 6 Apr 24
Brodie's Boy (FR) 7 1 3 13 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Osborne (3) and Ralph Beckett (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal O'Brien (3) and Paul Attwater (3); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8131070497153140
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderIsabelle Ryder
17% of all rides
12.1% SR · A/E 1.23
RiderRWSR£1
Isabelle Ryder 58 7 12.1% +34.20
Tom Broughton 44 3 6.8% −11.50
Kieran O'Neill 31 6 19.4% +70.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
81
Archived wins
£630k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 13 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Worth (GB) — Prix De La Vie (Claimer) (3yo) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Mar 2012
£7,917
Sergeant Dick (IRE) — Coolmore National Hunt Sires Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Ffos Las · Nov 2013 · Class 3
£7,798
Dunstan (IRE) — Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 4
£7,642

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Massaat (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,200 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Sea The Moon (GER) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 12.1% of 4,538 runs since 2008 (500 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,514 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
Adaay (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,957 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.
Estidhkaar (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,586 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 227.
Sixties Icon (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 5,665 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,331.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2007 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Barry Brennan's strike rate?
Barry Brennan has won 25 of 342 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Barry Brennan?
Isabelle Ryder, with 58 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.1%).
Is Barry Brennan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Barry Brennan's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 342 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).