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Jockey profile

Mr P J McMahon

91 rides in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2011
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–91
Wins / Runs
13.2%
Strike rate
n=91
24 (26%)
Placed
1.38
n=91 · 1.06 incl. margin
−1.93
£1 level stake
n=91 at SP · −2.1%
£119k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.8%
KTB at a glance First rides: 18.8% Claiming: 13.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
18.8%+5.6
n=32 · A/E 2.67 · £1 +36.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
30%+16.8
n=10 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +0.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.7%+3.5
n=24 · A/E 2.09 · £1 −7.25
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −0.68
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
13.3%+0.1
n=90 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −0.93
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.3%−6.9
n=48 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 18.8% vs 13.2% · n=32
In Flat races 11.1% vs 13.2% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m 14.5% vs 13.2% · n=62 · A/E 1.44
In NH Flat races 14.5% vs 13.2% · n=55 · A/E 1.43
When claiming 13.3% vs 13.2% · n=90 · A/E 1.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 55 8 14.5% −0.93
Flat 36 4 11.1% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 28 2 7.1% −3.00
Good to Firm 17 3 17.6% −9.18
Soft 17 4 23.5% +26.00
Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −8.75
Firm 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 11 1 9.1% +10.00
Naas 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Leopardstown 8 2 25% −1.25
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 5 3 60% +8.25
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 1 33.3% −1.43
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 2 66.7% +16.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 1 50% +1.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.31 +0.57
2nd–3rd fav 22 6 27.3% 1.68 +4.50
4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.60 −12.00
7th+ in betting 37 2 5.4% 1.75 +5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Double Double (FR) 6 2 3 2 Oct 11
The Last Don (IRE) 6 1 1 26 Aug 11
Fantasy King (GB) 6 2 4 25 Jul 11
Paddy The Celeb (IRE) 5 0 2 10 Sep 11
Cebuano (GB) 5 0 3 14 May 11
Kaiser So Say (GB) 5 0 0 13 Jul 10
Ballet Boy (IRE) 5 1 2 27 Aug 08
Clondaw Warrior (IRE) 4 3 4 15 Oct 11
Streets Of Newyork (GB) 4 0 0 1 Aug 11
Fitzcarraldo (IRE) 4 0 1 8 Jun 11
Spencer's Hill (IRE) 4 0 1 24 Jun 10
Murchu (IRE) 3 1 1 23 Oct 11
All 33 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00250202380142700
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Charles O'Brien 29 7 24.1% +42.75
M Halford 27 1 3.7% −21.00
Michael G Cleary 11 0 0% −11.00
John Joseph Hanlon 7 4 57.1% +4.32
James Leavy 6 0 0% −6.00
A J McNamara 4 0 0% −4.00
T J Taaffe 3 0 0% −3.00
Eugene M O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Edward U Hales 1 0 0% −1.00
H Rogers 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
15
Archived wins
£144k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ballet Boy (IRE) — Kingdom (qr) Race Listowel · Jun 2008
£10,365
Medical Debenture (IRE) — Jim Ryan Racecourse Services INH Flat Race Tipperary · Jul 2006
£9,329
The Last Don (IRE) — Bryan Macmahon (Q.R.) Race Listowel · Jun 2011
£8,625

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Acclamation (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Redback (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Sadler's Wells (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
Sakhee (USA) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.
Fraam (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since 2008 (136 horses).
Kahyasi (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,120 runs since 2008 (185 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 109 · newest first

The latest 50 of 109 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2006 to 23 October 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Jul 11 Galway Paddy The Celeb (IRE)T: M Halford Tote Trifecta (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 12/1
05 Jun 11 Listowel The Last Don (IRE)T: M Halford Bryan Macmahon (Q.R.) Race14f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 1st 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr P J McMahon's strike rate?
Mr P J McMahon has won 12 of 91 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr P J McMahon's Fair A/E?
1.38, from 91 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).