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Trainer profile

Edward U Hales

259 runners in the lifetime window · 64 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2018
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
13–259
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=259
45 (17%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=259 · 0.56 incl. margin
−159.17
£1 level stake
n=259 at SP · −61.5%
£182k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Debutants are a strength: 10% on first career starts (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 259 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

Debutants strike at 9.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.04). The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (8.1%, n=135). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.38 across 79 runners (2.5% strike, −70.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the ITBA Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Flat Race at Navan (Nov 2010, £26,000). The stable star of the record was Public Reaction (GB) — 5 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−0.7
n=47 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −36.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+3.3
n=12 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +3.00
Debutants · first career start
9.8%+4.8
n=51 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −8.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%−0.7
n=93 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −68.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.1%+2.1
n=14 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −9.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 9.8% vs 5% · n=51
With John Cullen 0% vs 5% · n=33
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.1% vs 5% · n=135
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.5% vs 5% · n=79
Off a 8-14-day break 2.3% vs 5% · n=43
In NH Flat races 7.3% vs 5% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 111 5 4.5% −69.00
NH Flat 82 6 7.3% −47.67
Flat 43 2 4.7% −19.50
Chase 23 0 0% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 87 4 4.6% −57.00
Soft 74 5 6.8% −48.17
Good 50 2 4% −27.00
Good to Firm 21 1 4.8% −8.00
Good to Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 1 1 100% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 29 2 6.9% −18.00
Punchestown 24 2 8.3% +8.00
Fairyhouse 21 1 4.8% −16.50
Cork 21 2 9.5% −10.00
Naas 17 0 0% −17.00
Clonmel 16 0 0% −16.00
Thurles 15 1 6.7% −9.00
Navan 13 2 15.4% −2.17
Leopardstown 13 0 0% −13.00
Tipperary 12 2 16.7% +7.00
Gowran Park 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 0 0% −9.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 1 6.7% −10.67
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
2nd–3rd fav 49 9 18.4% 1.41 −2.17
4th–6th fav 87 3 3.4% 0.58 −49.00
7th+ in betting 111 1 0.9% 0.29 −96.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.6% completed · 134 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 23 82.6% 0 3 1 0 0
Hurdle 111 87.4% 4 2 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ted Dolly (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan · then Tom Symonds 26 2 5 27 Oct 13
Hard Fought (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell 21 1 7 1 Oct 15
Makethedifference (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 18 1 5 19 Feb 15
Hidden Lite (IRE) 14 1 2 21 Nov 13
Polymnia (GB)from Richard Hannon 11 0 0 15 Apr 18
Jocular (GB)from J P Murtagh 11 0 1 8 Jan 17
Rough Night (IRE)then Alex Hales 10 0 3 4 May 18
Warofthegiants (GB) 10 0 0 24 Jul 14
Dynamic Approach (IRE) 9 1 3 26 Nov 11
Koshere King (IRE)from Ms M M Gannon 8 1 1 10 Nov 11
You Got Heart (IRE)from C F Swan 7 0 0 12 Oct 13
The 60 most-raced of 64 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Wachman (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Alex Hales (2) and Conor O'Dwyer (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
06156470110064
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJohn Cullen
13% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
John Cullen 33 0 0% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
23
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£337k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Catcherinscratcher (IRE) — ITBA Fillies Scheme E.B.F. (Pro/Am) Mares Flat Race (Listed) Navan · Nov 2010 · Listed
£26,000
Public Reaction (GB) — Opera Hat Novice Chase Naas · Feb 2006
£14,973
Public Reaction (GB) — Thurles Chase Thurles · Nov 2006
£13,020

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Bob's Return (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Shantou (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,816 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Stowaway (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,115 runs since 2008 (520 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 358 · newest first

The latest 50 of 358 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 6 May 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 17 Leopardstown Soqrat (GB)J: Killian Leonard Tote Maiden8f · Yielding · 17 ran 15th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Edward U Hales's strike rate?
Edward U Hales has won 13 of 259 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Edward U Hales's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 259 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).