What is John Joseph Hanlon's strike rate?

John Joseph Hanlon has won 63 of 1,686 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Joseph Hanlon do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 5 wins from 55 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Joseph Hanlon?

Mr Paddy Hanlon, with 439 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (5.7%).

Is John Joseph Hanlon in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Joseph Hanlon's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 1,686 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Joseph Hanlon

1,686 runners in the last 5 seasons · 261 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.6% of 423 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 26 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

63–1,686

Wins / Runs

3.7%

Strike rate

n=1,686

247 (15%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=1,686 · 0.57 incl. margin

−924.41

£1 level stake

n=1,686 at SP · −54.8%

£1.66m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 340 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.70). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (50 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,686 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 3.8% 26.8% when favourite Mr Paddy Hanlon: 5.7% from 439 Claiming riders: 3.9% Group/Graded: 12% Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (9.1%, n=55) and Downpatrick (8.3%, n=96) — all clear of the yard's 3.7% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 12% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.87). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 1.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −85.50 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr Paddy Hanlon rides 26% of the entries and edges the yard's average (5.7% vs 3.7%, A/E 0.73). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (11.5%, n=52) and in Class 5 (8.5%, n=59). 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tote Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2022, £159,300). The stable star of the record: Hidden Cyclone (IRE) — 17 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%+0.1

n=319 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −153.47

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.5%−0.2

n=113 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −47.62

Debutants · first career start

1.6%−2.1

n=122 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −85.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.3%−2.4

n=77 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −36.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

1.4%−2.3

n=70 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −62.50

When favourite

26.8%

n=41 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.9%+0.2

n=951 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −496.36

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12%+8.3

n=50 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +25.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Group / Graded races 12% vs 3.7% · n=50

In Class 1 11.5% vs 3.7% · n=52

At Down Royal 9.1% vs 3.7% · n=55

At Downpatrick 8.3% vs 3.7% · n=96

In Class 5 8.5% vs 3.7% · n=59

In Chase races 6.7% vs 3.7% · n=297

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,044 35 3.4% −605.13

Chase 297 20 6.7% −128.95

Flat 216 3 1.4% −148.00

NH Flat 129 5 3.9% −42.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 654 30 4.6% −314.82

Soft 437 10 2.3% −298.42

Good to Soft 317 12 3.8% −192.27

Heavy 179 6 3.4% −90.50

Standard (AW) 70 1 1.4% −36.00

Good to Firm 29 4 13.8% +7.60

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 103 2 1.9% −79.50

Limerick 100 5 5% −33.50

Downpatrick 96 8 8.3% −35.00

Tramore 91 1 1.1% −57.00

Wexford 90 3 3.3% −46.50

Galway 86 5 5.8% −11.92

Kilbeggan 80 2 2.5% −67.00

Fairyhouse 75 2 2.7% −52.50

Clonmel 74 1 1.4% −63.00

Listowel 66 1 1.5% −25.00

Dundalk (AW) 64 1 1.6% −30.00

Gowran Park 63 2 3.2% −37.50

Cork 61 3 4.9% −32.00

Killarney 58 2 3.4% −39.00

Down Royal 55 5 9.1% −9.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 94 7 7.4% +10.88

Class 5 59 5 8.5% −36.83

Class 1 52 6 11.5% +23.20

Class 3 14 1 7.1% −11.90

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 11 22.9% 0.78 −19.99

2nd–3rd fav 156 11 7.1% 0.49 −99.92

4th–6th fav 437 25 5.7% 0.87 −176.50

7th+ in betting 1,045 16 1.5% 0.64 −628.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.7% completed · 1,341 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 297 66.7% 24 18 53 2 2

Hurdle 1,044 86% 21 14 103 2 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

A Mere Bagatelle (IRE)from Jonathan Fogarty · then James Owen 36 4 14 17 May 25

Pahlavi (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 34 2 9 22 Oct 26

Fascinating Shadow (IRE)from Richard Hannon · then James Owen 29 2 3 30 Aug 25

Mother Ship (IRE) 26 2 6 22 Oct 26

Lakefield Flyer (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 25 3 9 26 Jul 26

Hewick (IRE) 25 6 11 10 Jul 26

Quest With Speed (IRE)from John O Clifford 24 3 6 31 Mar 26

Teescomponentsyess (IRE)from Gillian Boanas 23 1 8 20 Apr 26

Miss Oreo (IRE) 22 1 3 30 Jun 26

Seasett (GB)from Charlie Fellowes · then Mickey Bowen 20 2 5 17 Jul 25

Grizabella (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then Paul W Flynn 20 1 1 10 Oct 24

Roxboro River (IRE)from Miss Tara Lee Cogan 19 1 3 22 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 261 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (2) and Mrs John Harrington (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (3) and Noel C Kelly (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

126255442524

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr Paddy Hanlon

26% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.73

RiderRWSR£1

Mr Paddy Hanlon 439 25 5.7% −201.69

Shane Fenelon 203 5 2.5% −109.00

Jody McGarvey 136 4 2.9% −99.00

Harry Sexton 78 3 3.8% −51.00

Jordan Gainford 68 3 4.4% −23.00

Danny Mullins 53 4 7.5% −22.75

Gavin Ryan 37 2 5.4% −3.00

Adam Leahy 36 0 0% −36.00

Gavin Brouder 31 1 3.2% +10.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

318

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.38m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 39 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hewick (IRE) — Tote Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2022 · Grade A

£159,300

Hewick (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2023 · Grade 1

£143,045

Alfa Beat (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade A) Listowel · Sep 2011 · Grade A

£96,400

Notable horses

Hidden Cyclone (IRE) Hewick (IRE) Luska Lad (IRE) Darenjan (IRE) Camlann (IRE) Shaimaa (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Affinisea (IRE) 5.6% · 5–89

Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,264 runs since 2008 (198 horses).

Valirann (FR) 1.3% · 1–78

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,439 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 342.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,653 runs since 2008 (789 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 4.4% · 2–45

Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,967 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 2.5% · 1–40

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,171 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,947 runs since 2008 (1,112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 455. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,630 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,630 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2007 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Qaasid (IRE)J: Josh Younge Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 40/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Two Mary's (IRE)J: Harry Sexton COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Torque De Lune (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 12/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Heroes Of Renown (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 10th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mother Ship (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 10/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Pahlavi (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 10/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Hello Garda (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 8th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) My Cullen (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) River Ore (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 125/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Mount Hotham (IRE)J: Josh Williamson William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 12th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Portetta (IRE)J: Josh Younge William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 6th 40/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Fairy Meadow (IRE)J: Dylan O'Connor Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 13th 80/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) The Chancie Grey (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 13th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Pahlavi (IRE)J: Harry Sexton CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Ahellofaman (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Ardmore Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 7/2

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Heroes Of Renown (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Mongey Communications Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 50/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) My Cullen (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 16/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Hello Garda (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Victoria Kesia (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Joseph Hanlon's strike rate?: John Joseph Hanlon has won 63 of 1,686 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Joseph Hanlon do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 5 wins from 55 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Joseph Hanlon?: Mr Paddy Hanlon, with 439 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (5.7%).
Is John Joseph Hanlon in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Joseph Hanlon's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 1,686 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.