What is Nathan Kasztelan's strike rate?

Nathan Kasztelan has won 2 of 118 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nathan Kasztelan do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Nathan Kasztelan's Fair A/E?

0.59, from 117 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Nathan Kasztelan

118 rides in the lifetime window · 85 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

2–118

Wins / Runs

1.7%

Strike rate

n=118

10 (9%)

Placed

0.59

Fair A/E

n=117 · 0.49 incl. margin

−81.30

£1 level stake

n=117 at SP · −69.5%

£49,871

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.59).

Deterministic profile computed from 118 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.2% First rides: 2.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.4%+0.7

n=85 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −48.30

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−1.7

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.2%+0.5

n=45 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −25.50

When favourite

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

1.1%−0.6

n=93 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −73.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.6%−0.1

n=61 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −43.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 62 1 1.6% −44.80

Good 21 0 0% −21.00

Soft 15 1 6.7% +3.50

Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00

Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 39 0 0% −39.00

Chantilly (FR) 34 1 2.9% −16.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 24 1 4.2% −5.50

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Tours (FR) 1 0 0% —

Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00

2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00

4th–6th fav 13 1 7.7% 1.21 +4.20

7th+ in betting 98 1 1% 0.60 −79.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince D'Aumone (FR) 6 0 1 2 Jun 15

Colibri Cael (FR) 4 0 2 13 Aug 16

La Mere Beaude (FR) 3 0 0 5 Oct 16

Never Say Never (FR) 3 0 1 4 Jun 16

Match My Heart (FR) 3 0 0 9 Feb 16

Belle Aumone (FR) 3 0 0 9 Jan 16

Salut Fripouille (FR) 2 0 0 25 Nov 16

Passeport (IRE) 2 0 0 9 Sep 16

Enki Girl (FR) 2 0 0 18 Apr 16

Charly Green (FR) 2 0 0 28 Mar 16

Adona (FR) 2 1 1 20 Mar 16

Princess Emma (FR) 2 0 0 10 Mar 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 85 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0110000000600

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardS Jesus

31% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

TrainerRWSR£1

S Jesus 37 0 0% −37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

£49,871

Prize money

2016

Best season · 1 win

Adona (FR) — Prix de Fontenay (Claimer) (2yo Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2015

£7,364

Caesaria (IRE) — Prix du Carrefour Mira (Claimer) (5yo+) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2016

£5,515

Notable horses

Adona (FR) Caesaria (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Miesque's Son (USA) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 7.4% of 647 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.8% from 130.

Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,984 runs since 2014 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.3% from 266. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.

Fuisse (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.5% of 1,117 runs since 2014 (123 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 119.

Doctor Dino (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 16% of 3,224 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 562. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Heliostatic (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.7% of 423 runs since 2011 (44 horses).

Ski Chief (USA) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 6.1% of 605 runs since 2008 (69 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 118 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 July 2011 to 13 November 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Achki (FR)T: Jean-Raymond Breton Prix d'Ures (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 17 ran 15th 44/1

10 Nov 20 Chantilly (FR) Moving On (IRE)T: Jean-Raymond Breton Prix du Rond de Debourrage (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 91/1

08 Nov 18 Chantilly (FR) Djoko (FR)T: Hedi Ghabri Prix de l'Embarcadere (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1

15 Jun 17 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lucibell (FR)T: J C Napoli Prix de Beynes (Claimer) (2yo) (Young Jockeys & Apprentices) (Turf)7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 156/10

21 Mar 17 Chantilly (FR) Maireef (FR)T: J C Napoli Optional 2 (Handicap) (3yo) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1

17 Feb 17 Chantilly (FR) Puce Du Rheu (FR)T: J C Napoli Prix du Chemin Royal (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/1

06 Feb 17 Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) Issauroma (FR)T: C Escuder Prix De La Garrigue (Conditions) (4yo) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 35/1

28 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Aristote (GB)T: J C Napoli Prix de Moricaud (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 49/1

26 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Epitalon (FR)T: Mlle S Sine Prix de Cuigny (Claimer) (2yo) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 125/1

07 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Wallis (FR)T: Hedi Ghabri Prix De Mirande (Conditions) (3yo) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 64/1

28 Nov 16 Deauville (FR) Always Love (FR)T: S Jesus Prix du Bois de Lassay (Claimer) (3yo) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 224/1

25 Nov 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Salut Fripouille (FR)T: S Jesus Prix du Jardins des Tourneroches (Claimer) (2yo) (Turf)10f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 49/1

11 Oct 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Waldenon (FR)T: S Jesus Prix de Buzenval (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Good · 14 ran 7th 16/1

11 Oct 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Salut Fripouille (FR)T: S Jesus Prix de Saint-Lambert (Claimer) (2yo) (Turf)10f · Good · 12 ran 8th 42/1

05 Oct 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) La Mere Beaude (FR)T: S Jesus Prix du Perche (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Good · 15 ran 12th 26/1

26 Sep 16 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) My Secret (GB)T: P Leblanc Prix Tenebreuse (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Fillies) (Straight) (Turf)8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 91/1

22 Sep 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Singapore Post (FR)T: G Pannier Prix de Saint-Jean Ligoure (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)12f · Good · 18 ran 10th 48/1

17 Sep 16 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Saint Adrien (FR)T: S Jesus Prix des Jardins d'Eole (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)15f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 69/1

09 Sep 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Passeport (IRE)T: S Jesus Prix de Meudon (Claimer) (3yo) (Young Jockeys & Apprentices) (Turf)8f · Good · 8 ran 4th 87/10

13 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Colibri Cael (FR)T: P Leblanc Prix Mawatheeq au Haras du Thenney (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 72/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nathan Kasztelan's strike rate?: Nathan Kasztelan has won 2 of 118 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nathan Kasztelan do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Nathan Kasztelan's Fair A/E?: 0.59, from 117 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.