What is P Shanahan's strike rate?

P Shanahan has won 50 of 784 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P Shanahan do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 rides (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does P Shanahan ride most for?

Tracey Collins, with 369 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (10%).

What is P Shanahan's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 784 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

P Shanahan

784 rides in the lifetime window · 344 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2012 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

50–784

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=784

149 (19%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=784 · 0.79 incl. margin

−326.42

£1 level stake

n=784 at SP · −41.6%

£1.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (48 rides). Rode mostly for Tracey Collins — 47% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 784 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug Tracey Collins: 10% from 369 LTO winners: 22.9% Group/Graded: 9.3%

The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (0% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.9% (n=48, Fair A/E 2.14), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3% (n=303, Fair A/E 0.64). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −104.00 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Tracey Collins supplied 47% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (13%, n=46). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 1.2% over 81 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the King Of Beers Stakes at Curragh (Jul 2006, £65,100). The standout partner of the record was Redstone Dancer (IRE) — 5 wins from 8 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−3.4

n=303 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −226.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.9%+16.5

n=48 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +40.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.2%−3.2

n=186 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −104.00

When favourite

20.8%

n=24 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −10.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.8%−2.6

n=449 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −252.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%+2.9

n=107 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −26.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.9% vs 6.4% · n=48

Off a 0-7-day break 13% vs 6.4% · n=46

With first-time headgear 0% vs 6.4% · n=36

On Good to Soft going 1.2% vs 6.4% · n=81

At Gowran Park 0% vs 6.4% · n=33

With Tracey Collins 10% vs 6.4% · n=369

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 216 15 6.9% −86.05

Good 140 9 6.4% −35.00

Good to Firm 137 9 6.6% −25.50

Standard (AW) 99 6 6.1% −51.00

Heavy 87 8 9.2% −43.37

Good to Soft 81 1 1.2% −75.00

Firm 24 2 8.3% −10.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 169 9 5.3% −92.37

Leopardstown 102 2 2% −70.00

Dundalk (AW) 95 5 5.3% −60.00

Naas 54 3 5.6% −5.00

Navan 47 2 4.3% −13.00

Fairyhouse 38 3 7.9% −21.05

Cork 37 2 5.4% −18.25

Gowran Park 33 0 0% −33.00

Tipperary 27 2 7.4% +14.00

Down Royal 22 2 9.1% −10.50

Galway 22 1 4.5% −14.00

Limerick 22 1 4.5% −19.00

Sligo 18 5 27.8% +9.75

Wexford 17 1 5.9% −9.50

Roscommon 16 2 12.5% +4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 107 10 9.3% −26.87

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 34 8 23.5% 1.12 −8.25

2nd–3rd fav 97 15 15.5% 1.18 −23.17

4th–6th fav 195 16 8.2% 1.19 −14.00

7th+ in betting 458 11 2.4% 0.72 −281.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Across The Rhine (USA) 16 4 9 8 Oct 11

Rock Jock (IRE) 15 1 7 11 Sep 11

Jettymarc (IRE) 13 3 4 5 Aug 10

Prince Jock (USA) 12 3 4 22 Jun 11

Lough Mist (IRE) 12 4 5 18 Jun 11

Loch Long (IRE) 11 2 4 10 Sep 11

Kristal Komet (IRE) 11 0 3 8 Aug 11

Pencil Hill (IRE) 11 1 2 16 Apr 11

Lord Rathvinden (IRE) 10 0 4 3 May 10

The Tartan Army (IRE) 9 1 2 29 Jul 10

Girouette (IRE) 9 3 6 5 Nov 09

Orlando Dawn (GB) 9 1 4 12 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 344 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0·435411117390

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTracey Collins

47% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 1.39

TrainerRWSR£1

Tracey Collins 369 37 10% −50.92

D K Weld 104 3 2.9% −78.00

H Rogers 61 3 4.9% −32.50

Miss S Collins 32 1 3.1% −19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

107

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.83m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 28 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Dandy Man (IRE) — King Of Beers Stakes (listed) Curragh · Jul 2006 · Listed

£65,100

Redstone Dancer (IRE) — Jordan Estate Agents EBF (Fillies) Handicap Curragh · Jun 2007

£65,100

Redstone Dancer (IRE) — Unicorn Homes EBF Summer Fillies Handicap Curragh · Jul 2006

£58,590

Notable horses

Redstone Dancer (IRE) Across The Rhine (USA) Dandy Man (IRE) Lough Mist (IRE) King Jock (USA) Pencil Hill (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Rio (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Repent (USA) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 11.9% of 67 runs since 2008 (2 horses).

High Chaparral (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Acclamation (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,642 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,642 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 27 January 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Jan 12 Dundalk (AW) Baby Jock (USA)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Irish Stablestaff Association Awards March 3rd 2012 Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 10/1

20 Jan 12 Dundalk (AW) Acts Out Loud (USA)T: V C Ward Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 12/1

20 Jan 12 Dundalk (AW) Fleeting Moment (IRE)T: Patrick Martin Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 16/1

16 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Tara Fay (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 20/1

18 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Tara Fay (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 20/1

18 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Gaiety Theatre (USA)T: James M Ryan Bookings At dundalkstadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 33/1

18 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Knock Stars (IRE)T: Patrick Martin www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 16/1

11 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Banner Road (IRE)T: Edward Lynam www.dundalkstadium.com Nursery Handicap (50-70)6f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 2/1F

06 Nov 11 Leopardstown Enchanted Evening (IRE)T: D K Weld Knockaire Stakes (Listed)7f · Yielding · 9 ran 1st 16/1

06 Nov 11 Leopardstown Loopdeloo (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (c & G) Maiden7f · Yielding · 18 ran 16th 33/1

30 Oct 11 Leopardstown Fibril (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary www.leopardstown.com Nursery (50-80)7f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 20/1

19 Oct 11 Navan New Phase (IRE)T: D K Weld www.thetote.com/mobile Handicap (60-90)13f · Soft · 18 ran 6th 25/1

19 Oct 11 Navan Bobskier (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary www.thetote.com/mobile Handicap (50-80)8f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 33/1

19 Oct 11 Navan Don Long (IRE)T: Tracey Collins Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 10/1

19 Oct 11 Navan Fibril (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary www.thetote.com/mobile Nursery Handicap (50-80)8f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 11 Navan Lady Jock (IRE)T: Tracey Collins www.thetote.com/mobile Maiden8f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 16/1

16 Oct 11 Naas Malayan Mist (IRE)T: D K Weld Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Garnet Stakes (Listed)8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 6th 14/1

16 Oct 11 Naas Daigreen (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Tifrums E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 12th 50/1

15 Oct 11 Cork Scarlett Papava (IRE)T: Gerard O'Leary Coolmore Rip Van Winkle Maiden8.5f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 33/1

15 Oct 11 Cork Enchanted Evening (IRE)T: D K Weld www.corkracecourse.ie Navigation Stakes (Listed)8.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Shanahan's strike rate?: P Shanahan has won 50 of 784 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Shanahan do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 rides (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does P Shanahan ride most for?: Tracey Collins, with 369 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (10%).
What is P Shanahan's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 784 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.