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Trainer profile

Patrick Martin

410 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2025
from 1 Jan 2022
21–410
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=410
85 (21%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=410 · 0.68 incl. margin
−182.00
£1 level stake
n=410 at SP · −44.4%
£250k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 410 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Jack Kearney: 5.6% from 89
The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −127.00 to a £1 stake over 261 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jack Kearney rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (8.5%, n=71). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 32 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.52 across 50 runners (2% strike, −21.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Derrinstown Stud E.B.F. Birdcatcher Premier Nursery at Naas (Oct 2010, £45,500). The stable star of the record: Reckless Lad (IRE) — 10 wins from 78 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−2.3
n=71 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −39.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%+2.6
n=13 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −10.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+17.1
n=9 · A/E 2.56 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−0.5
n=261 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −127.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mikey Sheehy 12.2% vs 5.1% · n=41
At Gowran Park 0% vs 5.1% · n=34
On Heavy going 0% vs 5.1% · n=32
Off a 31-60-day break 8.5% vs 5.1% · n=71
Off a 8-14-day break 8% vs 5.1% · n=88
Off a 61-180-day break 2% vs 5.1% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 366 20 5.5% −167.00
Hurdle 36 1 2.8% −7.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 155 10 6.5% −59.00
Good 92 5 5.4% −57.00
Soft 89 4 4.5% −28.00
Good to Soft 39 2 5.1% −3.00
Heavy 32 0 0% −32.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 154 9 5.8% −79.00
Gowran Park 34 0 0% −34.00
Navan 26 2 7.7% +15.00
Cork 19 2 10.5% +3.00
Down Royal 17 2 11.8% +21.50
Roscommon 16 0 0% −16.00
Bellewstown 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Fairyhouse 15 2 13.3% +2.00
Killarney 14 0 0% −14.00
Sligo 13 0 0% −13.00
Downpatrick 12 0 0% −12.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Listowel 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 4 25% 1.36 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 51 4 7.8% 0.61 −25.00
4th–6th fav 95 9 9.5% 1.25 −4.00
7th+ in betting 248 4 1.6% 0.51 −154.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Designer Cailin (IRE) 34 0 8 29 Nov 24
Patrick Street (GB)then Andrew Kinirons 28 2 5 22 Oct 24
Indiana Grey (IRE) 27 2 8 15 Dec 23
Storm Steps (IRE)from Timothy Doyle 18 1 5 4 Oct 24
Gobi Star (IRE)from Edward Lynam · then Sean Davis 18 2 5 12 Jan 24
Pretty Smart (IRE) 18 3 3 15 Jul 23
Intend (IRE)from J F Levins 17 1 3 10 Sep 24
So Messi (IRE)then T G McCourt 16 0 4 21 Oct 24
Crystal Pool (IRE) 16 0 1 13 Dec 23
Bruce Lightning (IRE) 15 1 3 4 Dec 24
What Adaay (GB) 15 1 7 3 Jun 24
Wee Pablo (IRE)then H Rogers 12 0 2 9 Nov 22
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gavin Cromwell (3) and Ciaran Murphy (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Cian Collins (3) and Andrew Kinirons (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
41700213507560
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Kearney
22% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.85
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Kearney 89 5 5.6% −34.50
Dylan Browne McMonagle 52 4 7.7% −17.50
Mikey Sheehy 41 5 12.2% +16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
260
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£3.05m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 23 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Knock Stars (IRE) — Derrinstown Stud E.B.F. Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Naas · Oct 2010
£45,500
Indiana Gal (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Salsabil Stakes (listed Race) (listed) Dundalk (AW) · Apr 2009 · Listed
£42,315
Rathgowney Lad (IRE) — Boylesports.com Handicap Curragh · May 2005
£32,550

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zebedee (GB) 7.1% · 3–42
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Strath Burn (GB) 0% · 0–34
Progeny have won 6.5% of 124 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Heeraat (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 8% of 2,992 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 6.6% of 514 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.7% from 150.
Dandy Man (IRE) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,663 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,663 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 29 January 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Martin's strike rate?
Patrick Martin has won 21 of 410 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Martin do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 154 runners (5.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Martin?
Jack Kearney, with 89 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.6%).
What is Patrick Martin's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 410 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).