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Trainer profile

Donal Kinsella

223 runners in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–223
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=223
23 (10%)
Placed
0.77
Fair A/E
n=223 · 0.60 incl. margin
−52.00
£1 level stake
n=223 at SP · −23.3%
£78,793
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 223 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.9%−0.8
n=52 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%−0.2
n=81 · A/E 0.79 · £1 +19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Robbie Colgan 0% vs 2.7% · n=35
Off a 31-60-day break 5.1% vs 2.7% · n=39
On Soft going 4.7% vs 2.7% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 196 5 2.6% −44.00
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −7.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 90 2 2.2% −57.00
Standard (AW) 48 2 4.2% +45.00
Soft 43 2 4.7% +2.00
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 48 2 4.2% +45.00
Curragh 42 1 2.4% −32.00
Leopardstown 27 0 0% −27.00
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Bellewstown 10 1 10% +13.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Sligo 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Naas 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 36 2 5.6% 0.77 −14.00
7th+ in betting 176 4 2.3% 1.14 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wayne R Walker (GB) 32 0 3 24 Aug 25
High Honour (GB)from Charlie Appleby 25 1 3 23 Oct 26
Zabeir (IRE)from Andrew Balding 25 1 6 12 Dec 25
Albion Princess (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 22 1 2 13 Mar 26
Micasso (IRE) 18 1 3 21 Oct 26
Lily Like (GB)from Andrew Balding 12 0 1 15 Nov 23
The Riastrad (IRE)from Ms M Dowdall Blake 11 0 0 24 May 24
Tullyesker (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Oct 26
Najat (GB)from Simon & Ed Crisford 8 0 0 1 Dec 23
Mullacurry Maid (IRE) 7 0 0 15 Sep 26
Sub Rosa (GB)from Roger Varian 7 0 0 13 Mar 26
Dunleer Dancer (IRE) 6 0 0 14 Nov 25
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000600464300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
16% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 35 0 0% −35.00
Rory Cleary 35 1 2.9% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
40
Archived wins
£715k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Maudlin Magdalen (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap Curragh · Sep 2016
£88,500
Vivacious Vivienne (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Autumn Fillies Handicap Leopardstown · Sep 2010
£58,500
Vivacious Vivienne (IRE) — United Arab Emirates Handicap Curragh · May 2010
£42,250
Notable horses
Ducky Mallon (IRE) Maudlin Magdalen (IRE) King Of Oriel (IRE) Lonesome Maverick (IRE) Vivacious Vivienne (IRE) Arbitrageur (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Outstrip (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,276 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 632. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,376 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
El Kabeir (USA) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.
Frankel (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 18% of 7,513 runs since 2008 (877 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 268.
Kingman (GB) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,482 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,554 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 914 · newest first

The latest 50 of 914 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) High Honour (GB)J: P J O'Hanlon Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 17/2
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Micasso (IRE)J: Ben Coen Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 6th 9/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Tullyesker (IRE)J: Jessica O'Gorman DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 19th 66/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Tullyesker (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 50/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Micasso (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) High Honour (GB)J: Miss M Walsh Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap12f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 33/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Mullacurry Maid (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div II)9f · Good · 13 ran 10th 100/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Tullyesker (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 8th 33/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Micasso (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Follow Us On X Handicap7f · Good · 22 ran 10th 6/1F
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Micasso (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Navan Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 16 ran 4th 15/2
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Stabannon (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap14f · Good · 18 ran 14th 100/1
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Tullyesker (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div I)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 33/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) High Honour (GB)J: P J O'Hanlon Aidan Moffitt Memorial Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1
15 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Mullacurry Maid (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Strand Inn Dunmore East Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 66/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Micasso (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 11th 33/1
20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Stabannon (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 125/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Micasso (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan QuinnBet Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Mullacurry Maid (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)9f · Good · 22 ran 17th 50/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Micasso (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Ploughman Bar And Grill Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 1st 22/1
01 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Tullyesker (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Early Bird Winter Festival Tickets At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap (0-60)8.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Donal Kinsella's strike rate?
Donal Kinsella has won 6 of 223 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donal Kinsella do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 48 runners (4.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Donal Kinsella in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Donal Kinsella's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 223 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).