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Jockey profile

Paul Denis

36 rides in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2023 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–36
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=36
7 (19%)
Placed
0.38
Fair A/E
n=34 · 0.32 incl. margin
−31.20
£1 level stake
n=34 at SP · −91.8%
£63,002
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance First rides: 3.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.3%+0.5
n=30 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −25.20
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+30.5
n=3 · A/E 2.07 · £1 −0.20
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +0.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.4%+0.6
n=29 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −24.20
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 21 1 4.8% −17.20
Chase 15 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Heavy 10 1 10% −5.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 24 1 4.2% −21.20
Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 2 0 0% —
Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.99 +0.80
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
7th+ in betting 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72.2% completed · 36 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 15 73.3% 1 2 1 0 0
Hurdle 21 71.4% 0 0 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gunar (FR) 2 0 1 21 Feb 23
Iguane Des Ongrais (FR) 2 0 0 23 Nov 22
Jazzy Du Mestivel (FR) 2 0 1 4 Oct 22
Angel First (FR) 2 0 1 24 Sep 22
Goutte De Thaix (FR) 2 0 1 30 Apr 22
Jestin De Kervi (FR) 1 0 0 14 Mar 23
Marta Lady (FR) 1 0 0 11 Mar 23
Eau De Logres (FR) 1 0 0 5 Mar 23
Haluisin (FR) 1 0 0 21 Feb 23
Fausta Lauro (FR) 1 0 0 24 Dec 22
Blue Wind Tavel (FR) 1 0 0 24 Dec 22
Jospinet (FR) 1 0 0 23 Nov 22
All 31 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·000000·00250
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Patrice Quinton 7 0 0% −7.00
C Herpin 4 0 0% −2.00
Yannick Fouin 3 0 0% −3.00
P & C Peltier 3 0 0% −3.00
L Maceli 3 1 33.3% −0.20
E Lecoiffier 2 0 0% −2.00
L Viel 2 0 0% −2.00
Vincent Jouet 2 0 0% −2.00
Mme Sophie Geffriaud 1 0 0% −1.00
A Chaille-Chaille 1 0 0% −1.00
Claude Maynard 1 0 0% −1.00
J Jouin 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
5
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£253k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 2 wins
D'Jango (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2020 · Grade 3
£66,470
D'Jango (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase De La Solle (Prix Compagnie Les Arlequins) (Handicap Chase) (Turf) Fontainebleau (FR) · Nov 2019
£16,216
Happy Joy (FR) — Prix Bison Fute (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2021
£9,857
Notable horses
D'Jango (FR) Jim'Agime (FR) Happy Joy (FR) Itacare (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,551 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Ardad (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,546 runs since 2021 (352 horses).
Conillon (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.8% of 86 runs since 2013 (19 horses).
Diamond Green (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.4% of 2,572 runs since 2010 (261 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.9% from 286.
Magneticjim (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.3% of 258 runs since 2022 (51 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14% from 100.
Masked Marvel (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,637 runs since 2019 (266 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20.2% from 287.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 91 · newest first

The latest 50 of 91 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2019 to 14 March 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Mar 23 Compiegne (FR) Jestin De Kervi (FR)T: L Maceli Prix du Carrefour de l'Obelisque (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 37/1
11 Mar 23 Auteuil (FR) Marta Lady (FR)T: Claude Maynard Prix Caldarium (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 34/1
05 Mar 23 Auteuil (FR) Eau De Logres (FR)T: X-L Le Stang Prix Jean Doumen (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran PU 70/1
21 Feb 23 Fontainebleau (FR) Gunar (FR)T: Vincent Jouet Prix Anne Lise Reinbold (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 12 ran 3rd 18/1
21 Feb 23 Fontainebleau (FR) Haluisin (FR)T: J Jouin Prix Rotary Club de Fontainebleau (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 80/1
24 Dec 22 Pau (FR) Blue Wind Tavel (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Henri de Vaufreland (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+ Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 65/1
24 Dec 22 Pau (FR) Fausta Lauro (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix du Pau Hunt Races (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)20.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran UR 27/1
23 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Iguane Des Ongrais (FR)T: C Herpin Prix Sambristan (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 16/1
23 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Jospinet (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix Vertige (Chase) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 6 ran F 12/1
19 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Jim'Agime (FR)T: L Maceli Prix de Biarritz (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 9/5F
19 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Paint Prince (FR)T: L Maceli Prix Barcelonnette (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 19/10
16 Oct 22 Le Touquet (FR) Redkan (FR)T: C Herpin Prix Al Capone II (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)20f · Heavy · 6 ran UR —
16 Oct 22 Le Touquet (FR) Illico Des Bordes (FR)T: C Herpin Prix Or Noir Ac (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th —
04 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) Autorizia (FR)T: Yannick Fouin Prix Hipparque (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran 5th 17/1
04 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Yannick Fouin Prix Bison Fute (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 6 ran 3rd 7/2
04 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) Jazzy Du Mestivel (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix de Coye (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 7th 31/10F
29 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) The First Lady (FR)T: Mme Sophie Geffriaud Prix Marittimo (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 86/1
29 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) Jolly Pretender (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix Pride Of Kildare (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Unraced Over Obstacles) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran 9th 11/1
24 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) Angel First (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix le Gourzy (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 3rd 10/1
20 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) Gunar (FR)T: Vincent Jouet Prix Richard et Robert Hennessy (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 30/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Denis's strike rate?
Paul Denis has won 1 of 36 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Paul Denis's Fair A/E?
0.38, from 34 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).