Jockey profile
Thomas Gueguen
306 rides
in the lifetime window · 157 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2018
99% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
71–306
Wins / Runs
23.2%
Strike rate
n=306
152 (50%)
Placed
+62.09
£1 level stake
n=303 at SP · +20.5%
£3.65m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
29.8%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 23% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 35% (49 rides). Rode mostly for Francois Nicolle — 95% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 306 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Fresh horses: 26%
39% when favourite
Francois Nicolle: 23.4% from 291
LTO winners: 34.7%
Rode the favourite in 27% of races
The read
The record is strongest at Compiegne (FR) (35.3%, n=51), clear of the rider's 23.2% baseline. It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (19.1% over 173 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 34.7% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.17), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 11.9% (n=59, Fair A/E 1.06). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 20.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.16 and +49.90 to a £1 stake over 157 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Francois Nicolle supplied 95% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (23.4%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (32.7%, n=49) and off a 61-180-day break (29.2%, n=65). 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix La Haye Jousselin at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2017, £211,538). The standout partner of the record was Bipolaire (FR) — 7 wins from 16 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 23.2% baselineFirst ride on the horse · first captured pairing
20.4%−2.8
n=157 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +49.90
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
34.7%+11.5
n=49 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +9.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
26%+2.8
n=104 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
39%
n=82 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +8.59
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−23.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.9%−11.3
n=59 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −13.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
21.9%−1.3
n=96 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −6.10
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 23.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Compiegne (FR)
35.3% vs 23.2% · n=51
On last-time-out winners
34.7% vs 23.2% · n=49
Off a 31-60-day break
32.7% vs 23.2% · n=49
Off a 61-180-day break
29.2% vs 23.2% · n=65
With debutants
17.9% vs 23.2% · n=67
At Auteuil (FR)
19.1% vs 23.2% · n=173
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as headerRace type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle
182
41
22.5%
+59.50
Chase
122
30
24.6%
+4.59
Flat
2
0
0%
−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft
194
47
24.2%
+31.19
Heavy
94
20
21.3%
+30.70
Good to Soft
13
3
23.1%
+2.50
Good
5
1
20%
−2.30
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)
173
33
19.1%
−20.70
Compiegne (FR)
51
18
35.3%
+45.50
Enghien (FR)
29
7
24.1%
+24.20
Pau
9
1
11.1%
−6.40
Clairefontaine
7
2
28.6%
+2.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat
5
2
40%
+0.00
Toulouse
5
1
20%
+2.10
La Teste De Buch
4
1
25%
+4.40
Fontainebleau
4
1
25%
−2.71
Nantes
3
1
33.3%
+13.00
Dax
2
0
0%
−2.00
Cholet
2
0
0%
−2.00
Angers
2
0
0%
−2.00
Dieppe
2
2
100%
+7.30
Craon
1
1
100%
+1.70
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1
96
21
21.9%
−6.10
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite
84
33
39.3%
1.05 +10.69
2nd–3rd fav
137
22
16.1%
0.98 −11.60
4th–6th fav
60
14
23.3%
2.63 +65.10
7th+ in betting
22
1
4.5%
1.18 −2.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f
216
46
21.3%
+12.39
2m5f – 3m
61
15
24.6%
+11.90
1m5f – 2m
24
9
37.5%
+39.00
Over 3m
5
1
20%
−1.20
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2011
3
1
33.3%
−2.00
2012
3
0
0%
−3.00
2013
23
5
21.7%
+11.90
2014
9
1
11.1%
−1.90
2015
35
4
11.4%
−20.20
2016
46
10
21.7%
+26.30
2017
63
13
20.6%
+1.60
2018
124
37
29.8%
+49.39
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps
39
5
12.8%
−15.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners
95
30
31.6%
+53.50
5-7 runners
64
15
23.4%
+4.90
11-13 runners
47
6
12.8%
−3.80
14-16 runners
44
5
11.4%
−12.30
2-4 runners
41
13
31.7%
+21.09
17+ runners
15
2
13.3%
−1.30
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.1%
completed · 304 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase
122
86.1%
12
1
4
0
0
Hurdle
182
91.2%
5
0
10
0
1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeJFMAMJJASOND
0501829253760172219220
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Riding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→71
Archived wins
21
Pattern / graded wins
£3.65m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 37 wins
Bipolaire (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2017 · Grade 1
£211,538
Roi Mage (FR) — Prix Georges Courtois (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2017 · Grade 2
£92,308
Bipolaire (FR) — Prix Heros XII Dinarobin Beachcomber (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2017 · Grade 3
£61,538
Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Poliglote (GB)
20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Network (GER)
23.8% · 5–21
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,768 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.
Martaline (GB)
15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Fragrant Mix (IRE)
38.9% · 7–18
Progeny have won 11.3% of 1,084 runs since 2008 (149 horses).
Vision D'Etat (FR)
33.3% · 4–12
Progeny have won 12.1% of 970 runs since 2008 (150 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8.5% from 106.
Coastal Path (GB)
20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 12.9% of 2,208 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 499. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 306 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 306 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 March 2011 to 30 November 2018.
DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Flying Startandco (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Chalet (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran
3rd
17/10F
30 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Lady De Roche (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix le Pontet (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 5 ran
3rd
29/10
25 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Staunton Street (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix d'Amiens (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 17 ran
1st
18/5F
25 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Roi Mage (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Georges Courtois (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 9 ran
3rd
39/10
25 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Eddy De Balme (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Morgex (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 9 ran
6th
11/2
23 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
The Stomp (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Leopold d'orsetti - Grande Course de Haies de Compiegne (Hurdle) (4yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 8 ran
2nd
9/2
23 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Guaduloup (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Hamilton (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 8 ran
1st
7/10F
23 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Powder Path (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Roger de Minvielle (Chase) () (3yo) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 6 ran
5th
5/2
17 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Grand Trianon (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Francois de Ganay (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran
4th
13/2
17 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Pretender Alana (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Leopold Bara (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 6 ran
4th
2/1F
11 Nov 18
Auteuil (FR)
Utah De Roche (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Sytaj (Chase) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 9 ran
5th
2/1F
09 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Ephedrine (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Speranza (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 13 ran
F
2/1F
09 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Equemauville (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Roger Saint (Chase) () (4yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran
1st
3/1
09 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Firework (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Lycoming (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 11 ran
8th
26/1
09 Nov 18
Compiegne (FR)
Sagaline (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Daniel Merle (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 5 ran
2nd
23/10
05 Nov 18
Fontainebleau (FR)
Dogon (GB)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Henry Maze-Sencier (Chase)18f · Very Soft · 4 ran
1st
2/7F
20 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Decret (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran
F
16/5
20 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Firework (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Emilius (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings Unraced over hurdles/fences) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran
PU
66/10
14 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Staunton Street (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Orcada (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 12 ran
F
21/1
14 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
The Stomp (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Carmarthen (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran
6th
9/2
14 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Defi Des Mottes (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Andre Adele (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran
F
6/1
14 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Pic D'Orhy (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Georges de Talhouet-Roy (Hurdle) (3yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 7 ran
2nd
23/10
14 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Polirico (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Noiro (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran
F
23/5
10 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Quevillon (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Petit Fontaine (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran
2nd
13/5
10 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Bipolaire (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Claude le Lorrain - Joseph Audon (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran
3rd
4/5F
10 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
L'Autonomie (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Magne (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 7 ran
1st
23/10
04 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Eddy De Balme (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Bayonnet (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 9 ran
1st
6/4F
04 Oct 18
Auteuil (FR)
Figuero (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Isopani (Hurdle) (AQPS Conditions) (3yo unraced over hurdles/fences) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran
8th
69/10
02 Oct 18
Compiegne (FR)
Elia D'Airy (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Bay Archer (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 6 ran
6th
5/2
02 Oct 18
Compiegne (FR)
Hot Motive (GB)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Dominique Sartini (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 4 ran
2nd
12/5
02 Oct 18
Compiegne (FR)
Roi Mage (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix de la Gascogne (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)22.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran
1st
13/5F
29 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
King Goubert (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Grandlieu (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran
2nd
13/10F
29 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Ma Turgeon (FR)T: D Bressou
Prix de Nantes (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran
4th
17/10F
29 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Decret (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Violon II (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 14 ran
4th
13/1
29 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Festival Bleu (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Pride Of Kildare (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran
3rd
2/1F
24 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Divine D'Alene (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders
Prix Calabrais (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran
F
74/10
24 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Polirico (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Robert Lejeune (Hurdle) () (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 5 ran
4th
21/10
24 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Pic D'Orhy (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Kargal (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran
UR
3/5F
19 Sep 18
Clairefontaine
Fair Play Sivola (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Felicitations a P Quinton 8eme Roi des Belges-Waregem (Prix Offemont) (Fillies) (Hurdle)17f · Very Soft · 4 ran
3rd
13/10F
18 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Bipolaire (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix d'Angers (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran
1st
4/5F
18 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Femme D'Action (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix de Chambly (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 8 ran
2nd
14/5
13 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
The Stomp (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix de Compiegne (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran
3rd
13/5
13 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Faro (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Finot (Hurdle) () (3yo Colts & Geldings unraced hurdles & chases) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran
5th
42/10
12 Sep 18
Compiegne (FR)
Powder Path (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Maurice d'Okhuysen (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 6 ran
1st
11/10F
12 Sep 18
Compiegne (FR)
Elixir Du Gouet (FR)T: T Fourcy
Prix Aston Blount (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 7 ran
4th
7/5F
12 Sep 18
Compiegne (FR)
Sagaline (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Roman Oak (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 11 ran
8th
42/10
12 Sep 18
Compiegne (FR)
A Mi Manera (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Jim Crow (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran
3rd
9/10F
12 Sep 18
Compiegne (FR)
Royal Et Tic (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Nuage (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 12 ran
3rd
61/10
06 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Utah De Roche (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix Jean Bart (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran
1st
68/10
06 Sep 18
Auteuil (FR)
Pic D'Orhy (FR)T: Francois Nicolle
Prix des Platanes (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 5 ran
1st
3/5F
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Thomas Gueguen's strike rate?
- Thomas Gueguen has won 71 of 306 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 23.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Thomas Gueguen do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 18 wins from 51 rides (35.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Thomas Gueguen ride most for?
- Francois Nicolle, with 291 rides since 2008 — 95% of the total. That pairing has won 68 (23.4%).
- What is Thomas Gueguen's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 263 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.