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Trainer profile

Dominic Ffrench Davis

772 runners in the last 5 seasons · 125 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 91% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
69–772
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=772
184 (24%)
Placed
1.04
n=768 · 0.90 incl. margin
−73.57
£1 level stake
n=772 at SP · −9.5%
£1.17m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Debutants are a strength: 14% on first career starts (74 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 772 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun Fresh horses: 11.6% 25% when favourite Ben Ffrench Davis: 8% from 100 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

Debutants strike at 13.5% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.58), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.3% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.90). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.76 and +172.30 to a £1 stake over 147 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ben Ffrench Davis rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (18.1%, n=72) and in Class 3 (18.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 1.9% over 105 runners, 7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster (Mar 2024, £77,310). The stable star of the record: Justcallmehandsome (GB) — 14 wins from 126 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.6%+2.7
n=147 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +172.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.5%−2.4
n=46 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +101.00
Debutants · first career start
13.5%+4.6
n=74 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +10.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.7%−5.2
n=27 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.9
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
When favourite
25%
n=44 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −17.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%−2.1
n=220 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +10.55
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.3%−3.6
n=38 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kevin Stott 21.6% vs 8.9% · n=51
On last-time-out winners 19.7% vs 8.9% · n=66
At trips under 6f 18.1% vs 8.9% · n=72
Off a 8-14-day break 1.9% vs 8.9% · n=105
In Class 3 18.2% vs 8.9% · n=33
Off a break of 180+ days 17% vs 8.9% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 699 63 9% −51.87
Hurdle 55 4 7.3% −13.00
NH Flat 11 1 9.1% −3.50
Chase 7 1 14.3% −5.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 263 13 4.9% −22.25
Good 175 18 10.3% +22.13
Soft 99 15 15.2% +11.88
Good to Firm 97 7 7.2% −70.58
Good to Soft 97 10 10.3% −18.75
Heavy 39 6 15.4% +6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 89 4 4.5% −59.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 73 3 4.1% −48.50
Lingfield (AW) 53 5 9.4% +114.50
Newbury 46 7 15.2% +37.83
Bath 46 4 8.7% +1.00
Windsor 42 4 9.5% −18.75
Brighton 31 4 12.9% +9.00
Chepstow 28 5 17.9% +4.00
Goodwood 27 3 11.1% −11.63
Ascot 26 1 3.8% −19.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00
Newmarket 18 3 16.7% +2.75
Salisbury 16 0 0% −16.00
Leicester 15 4 26.7% +15.00
Ffos Las 15 0 0% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 272 18 6.6% −117.25
Class 5 227 23 10.1% +82.68
Class 4 137 11 8% −64.88
Class 2 64 9 14.1% +16.75
Class 1 38 2 5.3% −27.00
Class 3 33 6 18.2% +37.13

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 51 13 25.5% 0.88 −16.90
2nd–3rd fav 147 28 19% 1.12 +15.83
4th–6th fav 241 20 8.3% 1.11 −0.50
7th+ in betting 333 8 2.4% 0.91 −72.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bramble Jelly (IRE) 28 2 7 3 Jan 26
Boy George (GB) 26 7 11 8 Oct 26
Destiny's Spirit (GB) 26 3 5 24 Jul 24
Ashford Hill (GB)from Geoffrey Deacon 24 2 4 5 Oct 26
Dayman (GER)from David Loughnane 23 0 4 14 Jul 26
Cherry Hill (GB) 23 1 5 8 Jul 26
Capone (GER)from Charlie Mann 23 1 7 18 May 26
Guiteau (IRE)from David Loughnane · then Faye Bramley 20 2 5 20 Jan 25
Ithaca's Arrow (GB) 20 3 10 25 Oct 24
Mirabeau (GB) 19 3 5 29 Oct 26
Call My Bluff (IRE) 17 1 6 19 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Loughnane (3) and Ali Stronge (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Raphael E Freire (5) and Adrian Murray (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
30716111284118160
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
13% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.20
RiderRWSR£1
Ben Ffrench Davis 100 8 8% −56.20
J F Egan 60 3 5% −1.00
Kevin Stott 51 11 21.6% +2.50
David Egan 49 7 14.3% +25.50
Owen Lewis 31 1 3.2% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
204
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£2.14m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 26 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mr Professor (IRE) — William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2024 · Class 2
£77,310
Persian Dreamer (USA) — Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By bet365) (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2023 · Group 2
£56,710
Mirabeau (GB) — British EBF 100,000 Final (Colts And Geldings) York · Oct 2024 · Class 2
£50,960

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Ulysses (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,993 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Profitable (IRE) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,437 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Territories (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,625 runs since 2020 (349 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.7% from 540.
Australia (GB) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,669 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Nathaniel (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,098 runs since 2016 (639 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Soldier's Call (GB) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,117 runs since 2023 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 199. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 246.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,760 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,760 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Havana Halo (GB)J: Rob Hornby Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 40/1
29 Sep 26 Bath It's A Dream (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 28/1
29 Sep 26 Bath Man From Havana (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Ael Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's strike rate?
Dominic Ffrench Davis has won 69 of 772 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dominic Ffrench Davis do best at?
Newbury by strike rate: 7 wins from 46 runners (15.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dominic Ffrench Davis?
Ben Ffrench Davis, with 100 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8%).
Is Dominic Ffrench Davis in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).