Dominic Ffrench Davis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Debutants are a strength: 14% on first career starts (74 runs).
Debutants strike at 13.5% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.58), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.3% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.90). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.76 and +172.30 to a £1 stake over 147 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ben Ffrench Davis rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (18.1%, n=72) and in Class 3 (18.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 1.9% over 105 runners, 7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster (Mar 2024, £77,310). The stable star of the record: Justcallmehandsome (GB) — 14 wins from 126 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,760 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,760 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's strike rate?
- Dominic Ffrench Davis has won 69 of 772 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Dominic Ffrench Davis do best at?
- Newbury by strike rate: 7 wins from 46 runners (15.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Dominic Ffrench Davis?
- Ben Ffrench Davis, with 100 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8%).
- Is Dominic Ffrench Davis in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.