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Jockey profile

Timothe Brebion

39 rides in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–39
Wins / Runs
15.4%
Strike rate
n=39
14 (36%)
Placed
2.29
Fair A/E
n=37 · 1.73 incl. margin
+21.33
£1 level stake
n=39 at SP · +54.7%
£83,445
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17.1%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.5%−2.9
n=32 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +15.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+34.6
n=4 · A/E 4.39 · £1 +11.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
11.1%−4.3
n=9 · A/E 2.13 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−15.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−15.4
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 12.5% vs 15.4% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Good to Soft 10 3 30% +12.33
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Good 4 2 50% +13.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 10 1 10% +1.00
Chantilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Deauville (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Toulouse (FR) 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Longchamp (FR) 1 1 100% +3.33
Angers (FR) 1 1 100% +8.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 2.18 +4.33
4th–6th fav 14 3 21.4% 3.13 +14.00
7th+ in betting 17 1 5.9% 1.92 +4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Get Set (IRE) 3 3 3 13 Oct 26
Encore Ridge (FR) 2 0 0 15 Sep 26
Anna Renzi (GB) 2 1 1 11 Sep 26
Balina Gary (FR) 2 0 1 5 Sep 26
Nicastro (FR) 2 0 0 2 Aug 26
Fazayah (FR) 2 0 0 1 Aug 26
Lisan Al Gaib (FR) 1 0 0 16 Oct 26
Suleo (FR) 1 1 1 16 Oct 26
Horage (FR) 1 0 0 16 Oct 26
Rush To Wait (IRE) 1 0 0 14 Oct 26
Golfeur (GB) 1 0 1 5 Oct 26
Rue Recamier (FR) 1 0 1 5 Oct 26
All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0·····0251125·0
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
L Gadbin 21 6 28.6% +39.33
H-A Pantall 3 0 0% −3.00
D Cadot 3 0 0% −3.00
J Merienne 3 0 0% −3.00
S Gouyette 2 0 0% −2.00
J Delaunay 2 0 0% −2.00
Gianluca Bietolini 1 0 0% −1.00
D Windrif 1 0 0% −1.00
Mlle J Mercier 1 0 0% −1.00
Mathieu Pitart 1 0 0% −1.00
E Michot 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
6
Archived wins
£83,445
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
Get Set (IRE) — Prix D'argentine Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026
£12,501
Suleo (FR) — Prix Des Briques Du Capitole Toulouse (FR) · Oct 2026
£10,500
Get Set (IRE) — Prix Du Bois Montbourcher Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£9,600
Notable horses
Get Set (IRE) Anna Renzi (GB) Fromontine (FR) Suleo (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Waldgeist (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 916 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.2% from 229.
Ballingarry (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,430 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
French Navy (GB) 100% · 3–3
Progeny have won 10.4% of 770 runs since 2008 (68 horses).
Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,079 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 206.
Cable Bay (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Cloth Of Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,201 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 178.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Timothe Brebion's 39 archived rides, from 31 October 2025 to 16 October 2026, newest first — 6 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Horage (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Lisan Al Gaib (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix De Laharie6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 10/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Suleo (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Des Briques Du Capitole8f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 20/1
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Rush To Wait (IRE)T: L Gadbin Prix Maurice Larraun12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/2
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Get Set (IRE)T: L Gadbin Prix D'argentine9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Golfeur (GB)T: L Gadbin Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 13/2
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rue Recamier (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Du Plouich9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 17/2
28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Everstar (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Dimitri LegrandClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F
28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Histori Chope (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Des Grands Crus7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 11/4
21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Get Set (IRE)T: L Gadbin Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne)10.5f · Good · 13 ran 1st 8/1
15 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Encore Ridge (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Top World11f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 7/1
11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Anna Renzi (GB)T: L Gadbin Prix Du Lieu Feral7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 18/1
05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Balina Gary (FR)T: D Cadot Prix # Race And CareClass 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 18/1
04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Self Control (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix De Cloture De La Saison 2026 (Prix Des Espoirs)7f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 8/1
04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Galiway D'ange (FR)T: J Merienne Prix De La Cote D'amourClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 20/1
04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Nova Scotia (FR)T: D Windrif Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel 2026 (Prix De L'Arc Atlantique)Class 4 · 15f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 33/1
28 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Fromontine (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Georges CreisClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 6/1
20 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Oasis Call (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix De Sautre10f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 20/1
09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Encore Ridge (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Pmu Partenaire N°1 Des Hippodromes (Prix Du Moulin De Varennes)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 11/1
09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Get Set (IRE)T: L Gadbin Prix Du Bois MontbourcherClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Timothe Brebion's strike rate?
Timothe Brebion has won 6 of 39 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Timothe Brebion in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Timothe Brebion's Fair A/E?
2.29, from 37 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).