What is Mme S Gavilan's strike rate?

Mme S Gavilan has won 14 of 241 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme S Gavilan do best at?

La Teste De Buch (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Mme S Gavilan in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 5.8% since 2022.

What is Mme S Gavilan's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 240 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme S Gavilan

241 runners in the last 5 seasons · 83 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

14–241

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=241

39 (16%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=240 · 0.67 incl. margin

−153.63

£1 level stake

n=240 at SP · −64.0%

£301k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). New recruits from other yards win at 11% first time out (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 241 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug New recruits: 10.8%

The read

It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 10.8% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.46), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.34). The yard also reads well on Good going (14.9%, n=47) and off a 31-60-day break (12.8%, n=39). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 1.4% over 72 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−2.8

n=67 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −60.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.8%+5.0

n=37 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −16.04

Debutants · first career start

6.8%+1.0

n=44 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −30.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.4%+4.6

n=48 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −18.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.8

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

50%

n=8 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +3.74

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

2.6%−3.2

n=38 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −31.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.8

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 14.9% vs 5.8% · n=47

Off a 31-60-day break 12.8% vs 5.8% · n=39

With G Guedj-gay 11.4% vs 5.8% · n=44

Over 6f – 7f 10.7% vs 5.8% · n=75

At Longchamp (FR) 0% vs 5.8% · n=30

On Good to Soft going 1.4% vs 5.8% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 240 14 5.8% −153.63

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 72 1 1.4% −66.00

Soft 55 2 3.6% −43.17

Good 47 7 14.9% −18.59

Standard (AW) 44 3 6.8% −8.20

Heavy 19 1 5.3% −14.67

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 37 2 5.4% −9.20

La Teste De Buch (FR) 32 3 9.4% −21.34

Longchamp (FR) 30 0 0% −30.00

Saint-Cloud 28 0 0% −28.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 20 1 5% −15.67

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 19 2 10.5% −9.25

Dax (FR) 17 4 23.5% +4.50

Toulouse (FR) 16 1 6.3% −11.67

Chantilly (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00

Vichy (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Tarbes (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Pau (FR) 4 1 25% +4.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Mans (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 38 3 7.9% −24.92

Class 3 24 3 12.5% −8.00

Class 1 21 0 0% −21.00

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 4 50% 1.81 +3.74

2nd–3rd fav 39 7 17.9% 1.25 −0.37

4th–6th fav 58 2 3.4% 0.46 −43.00

7th+ in betting 135 1 0.7% 0.22 −114.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Eclaire La Vie (FR) 17 0 2 9 Oct 26

Ready To Go (FR) 9 1 1 20 Oct 26

Aquitain (FR) 8 1 3 29 Oct 26

Nolito (GB)from M Boutin 8 0 2 19 Oct 26

Reve De Vallarsa (FR)from Tiago Martins · then Leonardo D Racco 8 1 2 4 Oct 26

Plateado (FR)from Y Barberot 8 0 1 11 Dec 25

La Portugaise (FR)from Tiago Martins 7 0 1 21 Oct 26

Violin (GB)from Xavier Blanchet 6 0 1 26 Oct 26

Otomai (IRE)from J-C Rouget 6 0 0 26 Oct 26

Garmi (FR) 6 0 1 23 Sep 26

Zoffwaltz (FR)from Tiago Martins 5 0 0 21 Oct 26

Heaven City (FR)from Roberto-Carlos Montenegro 5 0 1 20 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tiago Martins (3) and J-C Rouget (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 17 5.9% · +0.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

5-season base5.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0·00001490706

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderThomas Blanchouin

18% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 0.75

RiderRWSR£1

Thomas Blanchouin 44 2 4.5% −32.25

G Guedj-gay 44 5 11.4% −25.68

Delphine Santiago 42 4 9.5% −2.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£334k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 13 wins

Reve De Vallarsa (FR) — Prix Du Cheval De Loisir (Prix Du Havre) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 2

£25,450

Canncity (FR) — Prix D'arudy Pau (FR) · Oct 2026

£10,500

Space'x (FR) — Prix Baron De Montesquieu Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2026

£10,500

Notable horses

Kohakou (FR) Mana Maha (FR) Ready To Go (FR) Reve De Vallarsa (FR) Aquitain (FR) Night Del Rais (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Trade Storm (GB) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 0% of 21 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.

City Light (FR) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 13.7% of 967 runs since 2008 (158 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.5% from 320. Weakest on Soft going: 10.6% from 217. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 16.7% from 424. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.8% from 180.

Muhaarar (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,810 runs since 2008 (414 horses).

Persian King (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.5% of 932 runs since 2008 (165 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.3% from 279.

Birchwood (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 4.8% of 967 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 365.

Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,287 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 970. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 867. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 273 · newest first

The latest 50 of 273 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 June 2018 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sir Crater (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Philippe MartinClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Aquitain (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Chapeau RougeClass 1 · 7f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Ma Tornade (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Ketch10f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Violin (GB)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Dax10f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Otomai (IRE)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De La Cite De L'espace6f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Godessa (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Zoffwaltz (FR)J: Samy Le Quilleuc Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 18/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) La Portugaise (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Lons8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Canncity (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix D'arudy10f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Heaven City (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Jean-claude Guerin12f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Long Ke Wan (FR)J: Timothe Brebion Prix Jean-claude Guerin12f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Manly (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Du Commandant Bacque12f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Ready To Go (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Philippe Du Vivier12f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Soul Gate (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Floirac9.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 18/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Graglia (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De Floirac9.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Persis (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Villa Les Abeilles9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Nolito (GB)J: Tony Piccone Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 40/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Scaty Chop (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Laharie6f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/2

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Pasand (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De La Societe Des Courses De CraonClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 20/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sir Crater (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De La Ville De BlagnacClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme S Gavilan's strike rate?: Mme S Gavilan has won 14 of 241 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme S Gavilan do best at?: La Teste De Buch (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mme S Gavilan in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 5.8% since 2022.
What is Mme S Gavilan's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 240 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.