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Jockey profile

Timothe Brebion

64 rides in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Rides today 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–64
Wins / Runs
12.5%
Strike rate
n=64
22 (34%)
Placed
1.60
Fair A/E
n=62 · 1.22 incl. margin
+22.83
£1 level stake
n=64 at SP · +35.7%
£129k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.4%−2.1
n=48 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +20.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
40%+27.5
n=5 · A/E 2.74 · £1 +10.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
15.4%+2.9
n=13 · A/E 3.01 · £1 +16.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−12.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.8%−7.7
n=21 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With L Gadbin 21.9% vs 12.5% · n=32
On first rides for the horse 10.4% vs 12.5% · n=48
In Flat races 12.5% vs 12.5% · n=64 · A/E 1.60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Standard (AW) 17 1 5.9% +4.00
Good to Soft 10 3 30% +12.33
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Good 4 2 50% +13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Chantilly (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Toulouse (FR) 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Nantes (FR) 5 1 20% +0.50
Angers (FR) 4 1 25% +5.00
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Pornichet-La Baule (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Longchamp (FR) 1 1 100% +3.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Class 3 6 2 33.3% +26.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 3 27.3% 1.84 +5.83
4th–6th fav 20 3 15% 1.98 +8.00
7th+ in betting 30 2 6.7% 2.02 +12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Get Set (IRE) 3 3 3 13 Oct 26
Prince Des Ducs (FR) 2 0 2 13 Nov 26
Golfeur (GB) 2 0 1 12 Nov 26
Rush To Wait (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Nov 26
Horage (FR) 2 1 1 9 Nov 26
Zolia D'oroux (FR) 2 0 1 7 Nov 26
Rue Recamier (FR) 2 0 2 3 Nov 26
Suleo (FR) 2 1 2 2 Nov 26
Cazadero (FR) 2 0 0 2 Nov 26
Everstar (FR) 2 0 1 29 Oct 26
Encore Ridge (FR) 2 0 0 15 Sep 26
Anna Renzi (GB) 2 1 1 11 Sep 26
All 48 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 13
Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·····0271110150
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardL Gadbin
50% of all rides
21.9% SR · A/E 1.84
TrainerRWSR£1
L Gadbin 32 7 21.9% +33.83
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
8
Archived wins
£129k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Get Set (IRE) — Prix D'argentine Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026
£12,501
Suleo (FR) — Prix Des Briques Du Capitole Toulouse (FR) · Oct 2026
£10,500
Rhipper (FR) — Prix De Braudiere Deauville (FR) · Nov 2026 · Class 3
£10,100
Notable horses
Get Set (IRE) Anna Renzi (GB) Suleo (FR) Horage (FR) Fromontine (FR) Rhipper (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Le Brivido (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8% of 477 runs since 2023 (64 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 149.
Waldgeist (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.8% of 954 runs since 2023 (128 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.1% from 234.
French Navy (GB) 100% · 3–3
Progeny have won 10.3% of 778 runs since 2019 (68 horses).
Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,111 runs since 2021 (159 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 213.
Ballingarry (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,431 runs since 2008 (308 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Cable Bay (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,728 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 64 · newest first

The latest 50 of 64 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 October 2025 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Nov 26 Pornichet-La Baule (FR) Cirque Etoile (GB)T: L Gadbin Prix Madame Francois Andre10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 28/1
14 Nov 26 Pornichet-La Baule (FR) Keanu (FR)T: Kevin Plisson Prix Conseil Des Equides Pays De LoireClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 14/1
13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Prince Des Ducs (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Kantar10f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 9/1
12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Golfeur (GB)T: L Gadbin Prix De La Remise Des LilasClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 13/2
12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Rush To Wait (IRE)T: L Gadbin Prix De L'epars14f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 1/1F
09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Horage (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix De l'Automne12f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 9/2
09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Rue Daguerre (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Du Chateau des ducs de Bretagne12f · Heavy · 13 ran 12th 20/1
07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Zolia D'oroux (FR)T: Edouard Monfort Prix De Bricquebec-en-cotentin12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/1
06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Rhipper (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix De BraudiereClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 20/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Rue Recamier (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Suleo (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Des SablonnetsClass 2 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 2/1
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Cazadero (FR)T: T Mercier Prix Madame Claude RougetClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 16 ran 15th 22/1
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Cap Skirring (FR)T: B Le Regent Prix Go InterimClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 25/1
31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Prince Des Ducs (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Tello10f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/2
31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Jack's Son (FR)T: B Le Regent Prix EcouflantClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 16/1
31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Delta Spirit (FR)T: F Hayeres Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 20/1
29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Everstar (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Philippe MartinClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 9/4F
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Dschingis Heights (FR)T: Mathieu Pelletan Prix De Dax10f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 8/1
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) The Best Glory (FR)T: Allan Estrabol Prix De La Cite De L'espace6f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 33/1
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Rose Du Champ (FR)T: Mathieu Pelletan Prix De La Croix Occitane8f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Timothe Brebion's strike rate?
Timothe Brebion has won 8 of 64 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Timothe Brebion in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Timothe Brebion's Fair A/E?
1.60, from 62 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).