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Jockey profile

Toby Wheeler

75 rides in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Dec 2016 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–75
Wins / Runs
14.7%
Strike rate
n=75
21 (28%)
Placed
1.32
Fair A/E
n=75 · 1.16 incl. margin
+25.75
£1 level stake
n=75 at SP · +34.3%
£78,996
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20%
KTB at a glance First rides: 15.6% Claiming: 15.1%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
15.6%+0.9
n=32 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −3.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
23.1%+8.4
n=13 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −3.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.3%−0.4
n=14 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +42.00
When favourite
40%
n=10 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +3.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
15.1%+0.4
n=73 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +27.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−14.7
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Ian Williams 20.4% vs 14.7% · n=49
In Hurdle races 16.7% vs 14.7% · n=60
When claiming 15.1% vs 14.7% · n=73 · A/E 1.32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 60 10 16.7% +37.00
Chase 10 1 10% −6.25
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 4 16.7% +41.50
Soft 21 4 19% −7.25
Good to Soft 16 2 12.5% +0.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Warwick 11 3 27.3% +49.25
Ludlow 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 8 1 12.5% −4.25
Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 5 1 20% −1.00
Southwell 5 1 20% −2.75
Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00
Huntingdon 4 0 0% −4.00
Doncaster 4 2 50% +6.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Plumpton 2 1 50% +1.50
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 33 5 15.2% +33.25
Class 5 24 1 4.2% −20.00
Class 3 9 5 55.6% +21.50
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.23 +3.50
2nd–3rd fav 18 5 27.8% 1.66 +6.25
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 0.81 +34.00
7th+ in betting 30 1 3.3% 1.16 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 70 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 70% 1 0 0 2 0
Hurdle 60 81.7% 2 1 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Be My Witness (IRE) 6 1 1 10 Jan 15
Swinton Diamond (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Dec 16
Guns of Love (IRE) 5 0 0 31 Oct 13
Poker School (IRE) 4 2 3 6 Nov 16
No Ceiling (IRE) 4 1 1 14 Jun 16
Bodega (GB) 3 1 1 31 Dec 16
Byron Flyer (GB) 3 2 2 3 Dec 16
Cotillion (GB) 3 1 3 30 Sep 16
Perfect Summer (IRE) 3 1 2 27 Sep 16
Sonofagun (FR) 3 0 1 14 Jun 16
The Perfect Crime (IRE) 3 0 0 22 Apr 16
Leath Acra Mor (IRE) 3 0 1 21 Mar 16
All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0501803314000172211
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardIan Williams
65% of all rides
20.4% SR · A/E 1.36
TrainerRWSR£1
Ian Williams 49 10 20.4% +0.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
11
Archived wins
£78,996
Prize money
2016
Best season · 9 wins
Poker School (IRE) — Watch RacingUK With Free Trial Now Handicap Hurdle Sandown · Nov 2016 · Class 3
£12,512
Byron Flyer (GB) — 188bet Handicap Hurdle Doncaster · Nov 2016 · Class 3
£10,010
Bodega (GB) — Stratford Bookmakers Day Handicap Chase (Qualifier For The Challenger Staying Chase Series Final) Stratford · Mar 2016 · Class 4
£7,347
Notable horses
Poker School (IRE) Byron Flyer (GB) Be My Witness (IRE) No Ceiling (IRE) Bodega (GB) Cotillion (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Witness Box (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Lord of Appeal (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 599 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Alflora (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Gold Well (GB) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Kadastrof (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 423 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 75 · newest first

The latest 50 of 75 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 July 2013 to 31 December 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Dec 16 Warwick Bodega (GB)T: Ian Williams Lps Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 10/1
09 Dec 16 Doncaster Swinton Diamond (IRE)T: Ian Williams Mobile Casino At 188bet Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 6th 50/1
07 Dec 16 Leicester Orions Gold (GB)T: David Bridgwater Racing Excellence Training Series Conditional Jockeys' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
03 Dec 16 Aintree Byron Flyer (GB)T: Ian Williams Betfred 'home Of Goals Galore' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/2
26 Nov 16 Doncaster Byron Flyer (GB)T: Ian Williams 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 5/1
23 Nov 16 Wetherby Swinton Diamond (IRE)T: Ian Williams racinguk.com Novices' Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 7/1
06 Nov 16 Sandown Poker School (IRE)T: Ian Williams Watch RacingUK With Free Trial Now Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 4/1
28 Oct 16 Uttoxeter Guantoshol (IRE)T: Ian Williams Scropton Riding For The Disabled Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 11/2
30 Sep 16 Hexham Cotillion (GB)T: Ian Williams Hexham & Northern Rural Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 4/11F
27 Sep 16 Southwell Perfect Summer (IRE)T: Ian Williams At The Races Sky 415 Conditional Jockeys' Training Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2
10 Jul 16 Stratford Midtech Star (IRE)T: Ian Williams Brummies Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran F 9/1
10 Jul 16 Stratford Virgil Earp (GB)T: Ian Williams Brummies Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 11/2
29 Jun 16 Worcester Virgil Earp (GB)T: Ian Williams Bullring Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 8/1
22 Jun 16 Worcester Neck Or Nothing (GER)T: Neil Mulholland Nicklin Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/1
20 Jun 16 Southwell Perfect Summer (IRE)T: Ian Williams Bet On Russia Vs Wales At Ladbrokes Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 4 ran 1st 5/4F
14 Jun 16 Stratford No Ceiling (IRE)T: Ian Williams Bordeaux Undiscovered La Fleur Morange Mathilde Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 3rd 6/4
14 Jun 16 Stratford Sonofagun (FR)T: Ian Williams Bordeaux Undiscovered Wines Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran BD 7/1
09 Jun 16 Uttoxeter Etania (GB)T: Ian Williams Nancy Baskerville Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1
08 May 16 Plumpton Byron Flyer (GB)T: Ian Williams Totepool Racing Excellence Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Final Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2F
02 May 16 Warwick Sonofagun (FR)T: Ian Williams Join The David Dennis Racing Club Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 16 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Toby Wheeler's strike rate?
Toby Wheeler has won 11 of 75 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Toby Wheeler's Fair A/E?
1.32, from 75 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).