What is Neil Mulholland's strike rate?

Neil Mulholland has won 289 of 2,364 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Neil Mulholland do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 61 runners (24.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Neil Mulholland?

Conor O'Farrell, with 329 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (14.6%).

Is Neil Mulholland in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Neil Mulholland's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,358 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Neil Mulholland

2,364 runners in the last 5 seasons · 280 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.3% of 551 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 2 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

289–2,364

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=2,364

687 (29%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,358 · 0.87 incl. margin

−457.26

£1 level stake

n=2,363 at SP · −19.4%

£3.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 470 runners a season, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,364 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 37.4% when favourite Conor O'Farrell: 14.6% from 329 Claiming riders: 12.6% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (24.6%, n=61), clear of the yard's 12.2% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.56). Conor O'Farrell rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.6% vs 12.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (40.5%, n=37). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Gold Cup Chase at Sandown (Apr 2016, £84,405). The stable star of the record: The Young Master (GB) — 12 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.1%−3.1

n=572 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −161.92

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.1%−6.1

n=99 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −69.57

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−8.0

n=96 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −69.33

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.9%−4.3

n=127 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −25.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+0.3

n=40 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +6.00

When favourite

37.4%

n=270 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −6.65

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.6%+0.4

n=491 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −84.24

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.8%−9.4

n=36 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −31.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 40.5% vs 12.2% · n=37

With Dylan Johnston 25% vs 12.2% · n=60

At Hereford 24.6% vs 12.2% · n=61

With James Best 0% vs 12.2% · n=57

On last-time-out winners 20.7% vs 12.2% · n=305

With Harry Reed 1.5% vs 12.2% · n=68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,453 182 12.5% −212.38

Chase 544 76 14% −131.26

Flat 264 19 7.2% −98.69

NH Flat 103 12 11.7% −14.93

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,059 147 13.9% −37.39

Good to Soft 664 75 11.3% −188.58

Soft 330 38 11.5% −94.56

Heavy 119 16 13.4% −63.79

Standard (AW) 113 7 6.2% −37.17

Good to Firm 69 5 7.2% −33.27

Firm 10 1 10% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 247 38 15.4% −77.81

Worcester 221 32 14.5% +167.20

Wincanton 152 14 9.2% −49.29

Uttoxeter 146 18 12.3% −22.44

Taunton 121 12 9.9% −38.07

Plumpton 110 20 18.2% −7.69

Chepstow 98 9 9.2% −47.40

Ffos Las 93 10 10.8% −20.53

Southwell 72 10 13.9% −29.96

Bath 70 5 7.1% −31.25

Hereford 61 15 24.6% +1.83

Doncaster 59 11 18.6% +3.78

Huntingdon 59 4 6.8% −23.17

Newton Abbot 57 9 15.8% −19.37

Wolverhampton (AW) 54 3 5.6% −36.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 899 114 12.7% −119.59

Class 4 868 110 12.7% −169.37

Class 3 244 39 16% −33.96

Class 6 160 14 8.8% −47.92

Class 2 133 11 8.3% −30.75

Class 1 60 1 1.7% −55.67

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 318 116 36.5% 1.14 −0.75

2nd–3rd fav 561 88 15.7% 0.86 −130.01

4th–6th fav 731 63 8.6% 1.05 −163.50

7th+ in betting 753 21 2.8% 0.96 −163.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.7% completed · 1,997 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 544 79% 17 18 79 0 0

Hurdle 1,453 86.9% 25 21 136 4 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Masterdream (FR)from Tim Vaughan 38 7 11 7 Sep 26

Ike Sport (FR) 33 5 14 10 Oct 26

Atreides (IRE)from C A Murphy 30 2 12 15 Oct 26

Lord Accord (IRE) 30 4 11 24 Sep 26

Man Of The Sea (IRE)from K J Condon 29 3 10 8 Aug 26

The Bold Thady (IRE) 27 2 13 20 Aug 25

Watergrange Jack (IRE)from Patrick Joseph Hayes 27 5 10 1 Apr 25

Guinness Lad (IRE) 24 1 5 19 Oct 26

Double Powerful (IRE) 24 7 14 15 Oct 26

Shuil Ceoil (IRE) 24 2 7 4 Feb 26

Of Corse I Can (FR) 23 3 4 3 Oct 26

Bucephalus (GER)from Laura Young 23 5 13 9 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 280 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C A Murphy (5); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

14131413111313141313711

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderConor O'Farrell

14% of all rides
14.6% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Conor O'Farrell 329 48 14.6% −31.53

Richie McLernon 319 38 11.9% −63.59

Sam Twiston-Davies 290 38 13.1% −10.96

Bradley Harris 115 15 13% −14.89

James Bowen 71 12 16.9% −16.30

Harry Reed 68 1 1.5% −34.00

Tom Scudamore 67 10 14.9% −8.13

Harry Cobden 63 11 17.5% +1.50

Harriet Tucker 60 3 5% −45.80

Dylan Johnston 60 15 25% +20.53

James Best 57 0 0% −57.00

Joe Anderson 53 10 18.9% +12.95

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

988

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.89m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 102 wins

The Young Master (GB) — bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Sandown · Apr 2016 · Grade 3

£84,405

Walt (IRE) — 888Sport Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Kempton · Feb 2019 · Grade 3

£56,950

Pilgrims Bay (IRE) — BetBright Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Kempton · Feb 2017 · Grade 3

£56,950

Notable horses

The Young Master (GB) Midnight Chase (GB) Pass The Time (GB) Hidden Depths (IRE) Lord Accord (IRE) Fingerontheswitch (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 8.1% · 9–111

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 10.3% · 9–87

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,833 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Shirocco (GER) 16.3% · 13–80

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,179 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

No Risk At All (FR) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,142 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 949.

Getaway (GER) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Doyen (IRE) 25.5% · 13–51

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,372 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,920 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,920 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2008 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Worcester Five Bar Gate (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Transmission (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Blue Las (GB)J: Dylan Johnston United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 13/2

29 Oct 26 Bath Look Back Smiling (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 13/2

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Badbury Rings (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Sky Sports Racing Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 15/8F

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Alright Dai (IRE)J: Harriet Tucker Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 13/2

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Moonset (FR)J: Harry Cobden bettingsites.co.uk Same Day Payouts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 16/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mystic Moment (GB)J: Ashley Lewis CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 50/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Walkinthepresent (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran PU 9/2

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Grand Conqueror (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 5/6F

21 Oct 26 Worcester No Airs Or Graces (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 33/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Tide Is Turning (GB)J: Bradley Harris Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts National Hunt Flat Race (conditional & Amateur Jockey's Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 4/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Reinado (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Guinness Lad (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Mild Magic (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Aldaniti Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Transmission (IRE)J: James Bowen Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 5th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Scorsese (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 5/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Atreides (IRE)J: Bradley Harris tigerbet.co.uk Lucky Odds Boost Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mystic Moment (GB)J: Luke Morris Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 80/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell For Old Times Sake (IRE)J: Harry Cobden tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 2) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Neil Mulholland's strike rate?: Neil Mulholland has won 289 of 2,364 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neil Mulholland do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 61 runners (24.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Neil Mulholland?: Conor O'Farrell, with 329 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (14.6%).
Is Neil Mulholland in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Neil Mulholland's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,358 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.