1:44 Fontwell
This Class 4 conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle over 2m3f29y at Fontwell features a small but competitive field of five runners. The KTB Fit ratings identify a clear trio of principals, with Goodwin heading the list on 63, followed by Moab on 59 and Motazzen on 57, suggesting the race will revolve around these three established performers at the track. All five have questions to answer regarding the unknown ground, while recent form and course records will be key on a day when one horse is expected to dominate the pace.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as a lone leader with medium confidence, and Goodwin's high-confidence front-running style means he is likely to bowl along in an uncontested lead from the outset. The other four runners are all held-up types who will be content to settle towards the rear and produce their efforts from off the pace. The key question is whether the clear advantage of an uncontested lead on this track will prove too much for the closers to overcome in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Goodwin KTB Selection63/100
Goodwin is a high-class performer with a solid record at Fontwell, where he has won two of his four starts. He drops back in trip today having previously won at this distance, though his most recent effort came over further. The Chris Gordon yard posts a 14% strike rate at the track from an impressive 890 runs with an A/E of 0.96, giving every reason to expect another bold showing. Fern O'Brien takes the ride but is still seeking a first Fontwell winner from nine rides. Goodwin tends to make the running or race prominently with high confidence in his run-style, which aligns perfectly with the race's lone-leader pace shape. His official rating stands at 122 and recent form reads 0481-3.
-
2Moab59/100
Moab is a smart performer who has already shown he handles Fontwell by winning here from just two visits. He won over this trip earlier in his career and his recent form of 2243-1 confirms he remains competitive at this level, although he now steps back up markedly in distance from his latest 1m5f run. Henrietta C Knight has a solid 15% strike rate at the track from 222 runs with an A/E of 1.02. H. J. Horgan is on board and has no recorded rides at Fontwell, making his contribution neutral. Moab is a high-confidence held-up performer who will be produced late, raising the question of whether he can close the expected gap to the uncontested leader. His official rating is 110.
-
3Motazzen57/100
Motazzen is a smart performer who knows his way around this track, having won five times from ten runs at Fontwell. He drops back to a trip he has won at twice from nine attempts and arrives in solid recent form after two wins at longer distances, with figures of -84311. Henrietta C Knight again supplies the 15% strike rate at the venue from 222 runs with an A/E of 1.02. Richard Upton claims 7lb but is 0% from a single ride at the track. Like his stablemate, Motazzen is a held-up type with high confidence who will be waited with, needing to bridge the gap to the expected lone leader. He carries an official rating of 112.
-
4Crooked Path53/100
Crooked Path is a smart performer with a solid recent record of 2331-3 and has won on this ground from his one attempt. He steps up in trip today having never tried beyond 2m, which asks a fresh question. James Owen and Callum Pritchard combine with a 3/16 (19%) record and A/E of 0.67 at the track, while the yard itself has a 23% strike rate from 44 runs here. He is a held-up performer with medium confidence in his run-style.
-
5Maillot Vert42/100
Maillot Vert is a useful performer who has shown enough on his one previous visit to Fontwell to finish second. He is 1-2 at this trip and returns in first-time headgear after a break. Sophie Leech has a modest 10% strike rate at the track from 62 runs with an A/E of 0.7, while Roisin Leech is 0% from two rides here. He is a held-up type with limited evidence and low confidence in his run-style.
KTB verdict
Goodwin looks to hold all the aces in a race where the pace shape strongly favours the front-runner. His high-class ability, proven record at Fontwell and front-running style that should secure an uncontested lead make him the KTB Selection. He is closely matched on figures with Moab and Motazzen, both of whom boast strong course records and recent winning form but must overcome being held up behind the likely clear leader. Crooked Path and Maillot Vert add depth but face stiffer tasks on balance.
KTB Selection Goodwin
This is the narrative read of the 1:44 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Fontwell results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Fontwell racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is expected to take the uncontested lead?
Goodwin, whose high-confidence front-running style aligns with the lone-leader pace shape.
How many course wins does Motazzen have at Fontwell?
Five wins from ten runs.
What is the trip concern for Crooked Path?
He steps up in trip today having never tried beyond 2m.
Which runner returns in first-time headgear?
Maillot Vert.
What are the respective strike rates at Fontwell for the two trainers involved?
Chris Gordon has a 14% strike rate from 890 runs; Henrietta C Knight has a 15% strike rate from 222 runs.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies