2:19 Fontwell
A small but select field of four lines up for the 2:19 at Fontwell in the BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase, a Class 3 contest over an extended two and a half miles. With every runner dropping in class and the majority carrying solid official ratings between 117 and 136, the KTB Fit Scores point to a competitive affair led by Double Powerful on 70, ahead of All The Glory on 60 and Inca de Lafayette on 58. Conditions are unproven for the entire field, adding an element of guesswork to how each will handle the ground at this venue.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical race in which being handy should pay dividends. With all four principals usually held up and producing their efforts late, the early fractions are likely to be modest, turning this into a test of timing and positioning off the final bend. The key question is whether any horse can quicken effectively off a slow gallop on ground that remains an unknown for the whole quartet.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Double Powerful KTB Selection70/100
Double Powerful is a high-class performer with strong course connections, having won here from two runs. His recent form of 2582-3 shows consistent placed efforts and he drops back in trip today having been placed at this distance. The seven-year-old is held up and usually produces his effort late. Neil Mulholland holds a 16% strike rate at Fontwell from 639 runs while Richie McLernon posts an 11% strike rate from 211 rides here, though the horse remains unproven on this ground. Dropping in class from an OR of 136, he arrives with the highest KTB Fit Score of 70 and looks to have the best blend of ability and venue knowledge.
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2All The Glory60/100
All The Glory is a high-class performer on the balance of his ratings and long race history. He arrives off the back of some solid placed efforts earlier in the season but has failed to complete on his last start and remains unproven on today's ground. The nine-year-old is held up and usually produces his effort late. Jonjo and A.J. O'Neill along with Jonjo O'Neill Jr. both hold strong 25% strike rates at Fontwell, the yard from 36 runs and the jockey from 60 rides. Dropping in class from an OR of 123 with a KTB Fit Score of 60, he has the figures to be a serious player if he can rediscover his completion rate.
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3Inca de Lafayette58/100
Inca de Lafayette is a smart performer with a solid recent record of 321-23 who looks sure to handle this step up in trip. The eight-year-old is held up and usually produces his effort late. Paul Nicholls has a strong 33% strike rate at Fontwell from 565 runs while Jay Tidball is operating at 19% from 16 rides. He remains unproven on this ground and makes his first visit to the track from an OR of 117. With a KTB Fit Score of 58 he brings progressive form and the powerful yard/jockey combination into the equation.
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4Glen To Glen55/100
Glen To Glen is a high-class performer on the figures with a solid recent record that includes a win and two places from his last four starts. He steps up in trip today having only raced at 2m so far, which asks a fresh question of him, while he makes his first appearance at Fontwell. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate here from 17 runs and the jockey is operating at 4% from 105 rides, with the horse unproven on this ground.
KTB verdict
Double Powerful stands out as the KTB Selection. He brings the highest Fit Score, proven course success, consistent recent placed form and the benefit of a drop in class, all of which align with the steadily-run shape that should suit his late effort. All The Glory and Inca de Lafayette are the main dangers, the former boasting strong yard and jockey figures at the track while the latter is in progressive order for a top stable. Glen To Glen cannot be entirely dismissed on his figures but the step up in trip and lack of course experience ask significant new questions.
KTB Selection Double Powerful
This is the narrative read of the 2:19 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Fontwell results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Fontwell racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has previous winning form at Fontwell?
Double Powerful has won here from two runs.
How does the pace shape influence the race?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Who holds the strongest trainer strike rate at the course?
Paul Nicholls with a 33% strike rate at Fontwell from 565 runs.
Which runners are proven on the ground?
None of the four runners; all are unproven on this ground.
What trip change faces the youngest horse in the field?
Glen To Glen steps up in trip today having only raced at 2m so far.
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