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Jockey profile

H. J. Horgan

382 rides in the last 5 seasons · 260 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 94% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
34–382
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=382
88 (23%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=381 · 0.80 incl. margin
+44.91
£1 level stake
n=382 at SP · +11.8%
£754k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 15% off breaks of two months or more (69 runs). Rides mostly for Joseph Patrick O'Brien — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 382 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.5% 29.4% when favourite Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 11.7% from 171 First rides: 9.3% Claiming: 9.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (14.3%, n=126), clear of the rider's 8.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 14.5% (n=69, Fair A/E 1.74), but rides on last-time-out winners have been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.35). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 8.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.64 and +153.00 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 45% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.7% vs 8.9%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (14.3%, n=126) and off a 61-180-day break (14.9%, n=47). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 3.7% over 82 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.3%+0.4
n=257 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +104.68
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
5.6%−3.3
n=36 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −31.45
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.5%+5.6
n=69 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +31.05
When favourite
29.4%
n=34 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −5.59
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.2%+0.3
n=348 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +62.91
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.6%−0.3
n=186 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +153.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With John James Feane 16.2% vs 8.9% · n=37
At Dundalk (AW) 14.3% vs 8.9% · n=126
On Standard (AW) going 14.3% vs 8.9% · n=126
Off a 61-180-day break 14.9% vs 8.9% · n=47
On Soft going 3.7% vs 8.9% · n=82
Over 6f – 7f 12.2% vs 8.9% · n=98
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 359 33 9.2% +41.91
Hurdle 22 1 4.5% +4.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 126 18 14.3% −26.22
Good 116 9 7.8% −22.87
Soft 82 3 3.7% +100.50
Heavy 24 2 8.3% +10.50
Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −14.50
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 126 18 14.3% −26.22
Curragh 38 2 5.3% +118.50
Gowran Park 24 0 0% −24.00
Leopardstown 23 2 8.7% +37.00
Naas 19 1 5.3% −11.50
Cork 18 4 22.2% +36.00
Navan 18 1 5.6% −14.75
Tipperary 16 2 12.5% +2.50
Fairyhouse 15 3 20% +4.88
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 11 26.8% 0.88 −7.59
2nd–3rd fav 64 8 12.5% 0.69 −17.50
4th–6th fav 88 9 10.2% 1.31 −13.00
7th+ in betting 189 6 3.2% 1.07 +83.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
San Andreas (IRE) 17 1 3 17 Jan 25
Havana Notion (GB) 15 3 4 18 Jul 25
Signor Ferrari (IRE) 6 2 3 29 Jul 24
Duke Silver (IRE) 5 1 2 30 Apr 26
Trishuli River (IRE) 5 1 3 16 Sep 25
Wild Wild Wind (IRE) 4 0 3 16 Apr 26
Sportingsilvermine (IRE) 4 0 1 18 Oct 24
Magellan Strait (IRE) 4 2 2 29 Sep 24
Indigo Five (IRE) 4 1 1 7 Oct 23
Capuchinero (GB) 4 1 2 30 Jun 23
Endless Season (IRE) 4 0 0 5 May 23
Hypernova (IRE) 4 1 1 4 Jan 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 260 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2317094811324135
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien
45% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 0.94
TrainerRWSR£1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 171 20 11.7% +119.53
John James Feane 37 6 16.2% +12.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
42
Archived wins
£883k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 14 wins
Magellan Strait (IRE) — Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2023
£324,000
Duke Silver (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) Leopardstown · Dec 2025
£17,700
Ma Belle Artiste (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Race Killarney · May 2023
£12,980
Notable horses
San Andreas (IRE) Havana Notion (GB) Signor Ferrari (IRE) Magellan Strait (IRE) Rockfish (IRE) Duke Silver (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Havana Grey (GB) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.
Australia (GB) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,636 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Caravaggio (USA) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,767 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.5% from 164.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 510 · newest first

The latest 50 of 510 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2018 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Fontwell Moab (IRE)T: Henrietta C Knight BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 11/8F
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Latin (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 15/2
07 Oct 26 Worcester Crystalate (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 11/4
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Tennessee Stud (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran 11th 50/1
09 Aug 26 Chepstow Dancingondiamonds (FR)T: Olly Murphy Capital Windscreens Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 25/1
23 Jul 26 Doncaster Dancingondiamonds (FR)T: Olly Murphy Doncaster Supports Autism In Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 150/1
18 Jul 26 Nottingham Caelan (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 33/1
14 Jul 26 Ffos Las Caelan (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Dandara, Find Your Perfect New Home Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 4 ran 4th 11/2
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Cobra Queen (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Paul & Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 15/2
08 Jun 26 Roscommon Mytommy (FR)T: S Slevin Garvey's Bar, Ballintubber Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 8th 40/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel It's Time To Leave (GB)T: Thomas R Hughes Talbot Hotel Clonmel (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 200/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Small Bucks (IRE)T: P E Collins Bulmers Berries Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 11/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Royal Sapphire (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien QuinnBet (C & G) Maiden9.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 10th 200/1
28 May 26 Fairyhouse Rising Sky (IRE)T: Anthony McCann Racing Again Next Friday Apprentice Handicap10f · Good · 16 ran 14th 14/1
15 May 26 Leopardstown Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Leopardstown Friday Night Social Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 15 ran 6th 20/1
14 May 26 Clonmel It's Time To Leave (GB)T: Thomas R Hughes Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP (C & G) Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 12th 200/1
08 May 26 Ballinrobe Glen To Glen (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Burleigh Accountancy Group Handicap9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 5/1
05 May 26 Gowran Park No Bother Aoife (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Follow Us On Instagram Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 28/1
05 May 26 Gowran Park Venerini (IRE)T: Michael Butler Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 100/1
04 May 26 Down Royal Small Fry (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Ballygowan Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 19 ran 4th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is H. J. Horgan's strike rate?
H. J. Horgan has won 34 of 382 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does H. J. Horgan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 126 rides (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does H. J. Horgan ride most for?
Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 171 rides since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (11.7%).
Is H. J. Horgan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is H. J. Horgan's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 381 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).