4:02 Haydock
This Class 4 EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes over six furlongs at Haydock on heavy ground brings together four two-year-old fillies in a small but competitive field. Asheyra arrives with the highest KTB Fit Score of 54 and holds an official rating of 80 after three placed efforts, while the other three runners sit between 44 and 48 on the Fit scale. The KTB numbers point to a race where light-racing potential and yard form at the track will matter, with the heavy surface adding an extra layer of uncertainty for all four runners who are unproven on it.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, suggesting a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy will pay dividends. With Asheyra and Show And Tell both tending to be held up and Faith In Florence settling in mid-division, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace rather than a dash for the line. The key question is whether any of the fillies can produce the necessary acceleration on the testing ground when the tempo lifts inside the final two furlongs.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Asheyra KTB Selection54/100
Asheyra has shown fair form across her three starts and has already been placed at this trip on one of her two attempts over six furlongs. Lightly raced, she remains open to further improvement though she is still seeking her first win. Roger Varian’s yard posts a 19% strike rate at Haydock from a large sample and the trainer-jockey combination shows a 21% record overall. Jack Mitchell has a 17% strike rate at the track himself. Asheyra is usually held up and produces her effort late, which should suit a race run at a steady gallop. She holds an official rating of 80 and is the clear KTB selection.
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2Grateful Spirit48/100
Grateful Spirit is a newcomer from the K. R. Burke yard, which operates at a steady 12% strike rate at Haydock from a big sample of runners. With no racecourse form to go on, pedigree and sales background are the only guides and the heavy ground represents another unknown at this stage. Clifford Lee takes the ride on a horse whose ability remains entirely untested. The trainer-jockey partnership shows a 16% strike rate overall. In a steadily-run race she will need to show considerable natural ability to make an immediate impact.
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3Show And Tell47/100
Show And Tell displayed some promise when finishing third on her debut over five furlongs. Stepping up to six furlongs today poses a fresh question for a filly with only one run in the book, and data confidence remains low so that debut form must be treated with caution. The Ismail Mohammed and Jose Santos stable has an overall 7% strike rate at Haydock from a small sample. Billy Loughnane has a 17% strike rate at the track. Show And Tell is usually held up and produces her effort late, fitting the shape of a tactical, steadily-run contest on heavy ground.
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4Faith In Florence44/100
Faith In Florence is a fair performer who has shown consistent form, finishing in the first three in three of her four starts including two placings at this trip. Stall two looks a help on heavy ground and Ed Walker’s yard has a solid 19% strike-rate at Haydock. She is typically settled in midfield. Going suitability remains unknown with only four runs on the board and she holds an official rating of 78.
KTB verdict
Asheyra stands out as the KTB Selection. She has the best Fit Score, an official rating of 80, placed form at the trip and the benefit of a yard that strikes at 19% at Haydock. Her held-up style should be suited by the expected steady pace, and she is open to further progress. The main dangers are Faith In Florence, who brings the most experience and consistent placings, and the two less-exposed fillies Grateful Spirit and Show And Tell, though both have significant unknowns on heavy ground and limited or no racecourse evidence.
KTB Selection Asheyra
This is the narrative read of the 4:02 Haydock. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Haydock racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Haydock results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Haydock racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score?
Asheyra with 54/100.
How many of these fillies have raced on heavy ground before?
None – all four are unproven on the surface.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Lacks a leader – likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Haydock among those represented?
Both Roger Varian and Ed Walker record 19% at the track.
Which horse is the KTB Selection?
Asheyra.
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