What is Ed Walker's strike rate?

Ed Walker has won 342 of 2,404 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ed Walker do best at?

Newmarket by strike rate: 16 wins from 74 runners (21.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ed Walker?

Kieran Shoemark, with 497 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (15.9%).

Is Ed Walker in form?

In the last 14 days: 36 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is below the baseline of 14.2% since 2022.

What is Ed Walker's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 2,386 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ed Walker

2,404 runners in the last 5 seasons · 345 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.6% of 713 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

342–2,404

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=2,404

816 (34%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=2,386 · 0.92 incl. margin

−298.48

£1 level stake

n=2,404 at SP · −12.4%

£10.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 480 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 20% (189 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,404 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 37.5% when favourite Kieran Shoemark: 15.9% from 497 Claiming riders: 20.1% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Nottingham (25.4%, n=67), clear of the yard's 14.2% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 20.1% (n=189, Fair A/E 1.44), but debutants struggle at 5.3% (n=283, Fair A/E 0.68). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 14.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +30.43 to a £1 stake over 345 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 4 from 36 runners in the last 14 days (11.1%, 3.1pts below the 14.2% baseline). Kieran Shoemark rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.9%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (23.3%, n=73). 64 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2026, £453,680). The stable star of the record: Mountain Peak (GB) — 10 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.2%+0.0

n=345 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +30.43

New recruits · first run for the yard

23.8%+9.6

n=21 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +0.95

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−8.9

n=283 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −176.06

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.2%−4.0

n=88 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −37.72

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.4%+1.2

n=13 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +3.25

When favourite

37.5%

n=323 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −11.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

20.1%+5.9

n=189 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +0.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.7%−4.5

n=359 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −31.32

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 5.3% vs 14.2% · n=283

At Nottingham 25.4% vs 14.2% · n=67

With Paul Mulrennan 25.4% vs 14.2% · n=67

With Oisin Murphy 25% vs 14.2% · n=60

On Heavy going 23.3% vs 14.2% · n=73

With Richard Kingscote 6% vs 14.2% · n=67

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,400 342 14.3% −294.48

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 662 93 14% −96.79

Standard (AW) 643 79 12.3% −232.10

Good to Firm 537 80 14.9% +37.39

Good to Soft 274 41 15% −22.39

Soft 210 32 15.2% −20.02

Heavy 73 17 23.3% +40.43

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 245 30 12.2% −77.95

Newbury 187 23 12.3% −64.72

Ascot 157 20 12.7% +45.91

Haydock 145 30 20.7% +87.36

Newmarket 128 15 11.7% +8.70

Lingfield (AW) 122 14 11.5% −58.80

Goodwood 112 10 8.9% −60.59

Salisbury 111 17 15.3% −6.07

York 99 8 8.1% −33.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 82 14 17.1% −12.47

Southwell (AW) 75 8 10.7% −21.42

Doncaster 75 7 9.3% −43.35

Newmarket 74 16 21.6% +23.60

Newcastle (AW) 73 7 9.6% −51.43

Yarmouth 72 10 13.9% −22.80

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 717 107 14.9% −84.99

Class 5 664 125 18.8% −30.65

Class 1 359 35 9.7% −31.32

Class 2 305 26 8.5% −109.39

Class 3 247 33 13.4% −10.13

Class 6 107 15 14% −31.40

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 368 129 35.1% 1.08 −31.40

2nd–3rd fav 671 123 18.3% 1.06 −52.28

4th–6th fav 814 68 8.4% 1.06 −95.20

7th+ in betting 551 22 4% 1.15 −119.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Popmaster (IRE) 49 3 17 5 Sep 26

Fantasy Believer (IRE)from Charles Hills 40 7 13 30 Sep 26

Hafeet Alain (IRE)from Adrian Nicholls 28 5 9 18 Oct 25

Makarova (GB) 27 5 15 6 Oct 24

Canoodled (IRE) 25 3 6 9 Nov 24

Ten Bob Tony (IRE) 21 5 9 17 Oct 26

Rose Prick (IRE) 19 1 5 21 Aug 25

Queen's Reign (GB) 18 2 7 11 Oct 26

Happy Banner (IRE) 18 1 7 9 Oct 26

Miss Alpilles (GB) 18 3 6 28 Jul 26

Balmoral Lady (IRE) 18 5 9 8 Nov 25

English Oak (GB)then Hamad Al Jehani 18 3 8 29 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 345 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Loughnane (4); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

4 from 36 11.1% · −3.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.1%

5-season base14.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1116615181714151114914

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKieran Shoemark

21% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Kieran Shoemark 497 79 15.9% +44.54

Tom Marquand 357 49 13.7% −17.12

Saffie Osborne 310 49 15.8% −32.03

George Downing 234 20 8.5% −114.40

Ross Coakley 125 17 13.6% +3.01

Ashley Lewis 96 18 18.8% −20.22

Hector Crouch 81 11 13.6% −33.29

Billy Loughnane 69 10 14.5% +3.40

Paul Mulrennan 67 17 25.4% +54.78

Richard Kingscote 67 4 6% −38.75

Oisin Murphy 60 15 25% +7.19

William Buick 39 9 23.1% +10.96

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

789

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.9m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 84 wins

Ten Bob Tony (IRE) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2026 · Group 1

£453,680

Almaqam (GB) — Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1) Curragh · May 2026 · Group 1

£294,500

Starman (GB) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2021 · Group 1

£289,646

Notable horses

Mountain Peak (GB) Desert Doctor (IRE) Popmaster (IRE) Fantasy Believer (IRE) Assimilation (IRE) Stormy Antarctic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 18.6% · 22–118

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,155 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Mehmas (IRE) 13% · 12–92

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,114 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 15.4% · 14–91

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,072 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Dark Angel (IRE) 16.5% · 14–85

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,881 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Starman (GB) 16.3% · 13–80

Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,121 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 166.

Showcasing (GB) 12.3% · 9–73

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,591 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,670 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,670 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 November 2010 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Brave Country (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 4/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Grinanbearit (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Copybet Back Again At Newmarket Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 8/13F

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Miss Tonnerre (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Passing Thought (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 14/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Electrifarhh (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 100/30F

19 Oct 26 Bath Radio Bar (USA)J: Kieran Shoemark Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Pulse Of Fire (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 10/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Torito (GB)J: James Doyle Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 13th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Almaqam (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 4th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Ten Bob Tony (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 7/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Faith In Florence (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Jill Wilcox Jones Memorial EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 3 ran 1st 1/1F

16 Oct 26 Haydock Crazy Cubana (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Vantage Consulting Powered By Requidex Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 6/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Quai Louis (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Remember The Show (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 250/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Space Bob (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Astrazar (IRE)J: George Downing Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 9th 18/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Ata Rangi (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 8th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Comrade Alexi (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/4J

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Frantic (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 9/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Willow Wood (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ed Walker's strike rate?: Ed Walker has won 342 of 2,404 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed Walker do best at?: Newmarket by strike rate: 16 wins from 74 runners (21.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed Walker?: Kieran Shoemark, with 497 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (15.9%).
Is Ed Walker in form?: In the last 14 days: 36 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is below the baseline of 14.2% since 2022.
What is Ed Walker's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 2,386 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.