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Trainer profile

Fred Timmis

16 runners in the last 5 seasons · 5 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 167 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–16
Wins / Runs
25%
Strike rate
n=16
6 (38%)
Placed
2.54
Fair A/E
n=16 · 2.26 incl. margin
+28.75
£1 level stake
n=16 at SP · +179.7%
£17,310
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 25% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
40%+15.0
n=5 · A/E 11.39 · £1 +29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 6.15 · £1 +17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−25.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−25.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−25.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
26.7%+1.7
n=15 · A/E 2.57 · £1 +29.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 25% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 6 2 33.3% +10.75
Soft 6 2 33.3% +22.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 7 3 42.9% +24.75
Cheltenham 2 0 0% −2.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 1 100% +12.00
Hexham 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 11 3 27.3% +20.75
Class 5 4 1 25% +9.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 2 33.3% 2.23 +4.75
4th–6th fav 5 2 40% 5.65 +29.00
7th+ in betting 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.3% completed · 16 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 81.3% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Captain Tommy (IRE)from Ian Williams 9 4 5 30 May 25
For One Night Only (IRE) 3 0 0 2 May 25
Rewritetherules (IRE)from Miss Hannah Roach 2 0 0 19 Mar 26
Peaceinthevalley (FR)from Henry De Bromhead 1 0 1 9 May 26
Frontal Assault (IRE)from Miss P Wynne 1 0 0 15 Jan 26
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Huw Edwards 9 3 33.3% +28.75
Toby McCain-Mitchell 2 1 50% +5.00
Mr Henry Bailey 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Henry Crow 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr David O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Harvey Barfoot-Saunt 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
4
Archived wins
£17,310
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Captain Tommy (IRE) — Ludlow Racecourse Supports RABI Open Hunters' Chase Ludlow · Mar 2025 · Class 4
£3,388
Captain Tommy (IRE) — Samco And PRB Horseboxes Open Hunters' Chase Ludlow · Mar 2024 · Class 4
£3,388
Captain Tommy (IRE) — Jumping For Fun Chase Meredith Memorial Open Hunters' Chase Ludlow · Feb 2024 · Class 4
£3,388
Notable horses
Captain Tommy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 44.4% · 4–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,840 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,343 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 16 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Fred Timmis's 16 archived runners, from 7 February 2024 to 9 May 2026, newest first — 4 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 May 26 Hexham Peaceinthevalley (FR)J: Mr Henry Bailey Paxtons Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/1
19 Mar 26 Ludlow Rewritetherules (IRE)J: Mr David O'Brien EFG Harris Allday Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
04 Feb 26 Ludlow Rewritetherules (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Plyvine Catering Chase Meredith Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 50/1
15 Jan 26 Ludlow Frontal Assault (IRE)J: Mr Henry Bailey Pointing Pointers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
30 May 25 Stratford Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Free Horse Racing Tips At tipsterreviews.co.uk Handicap Hunters' Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 4th 9/2
02 May 25 Cheltenham For One Night Only (IRE)J: Mr Harvey Barfoot-Saunt Venatour Sports Travel Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
23 Apr 25 Ludlow Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Henry Crow Rees Jones,1619 Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 11/4J
01 Apr 25 Kempton Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Nick Luck Daily Podcast 'Pointing Pointers' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 10/3
20 Mar 25 Ludlow Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Ludlow Racecourse Supports RABI Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/4
05 Mar 25 Catterick Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Nick Luck Daily Podcast Pointing Pointers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 1st 12/1
25 Feb 25 Leicester For One Night Only (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Quorn Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 8/1
07 Feb 25 Bangor-on-Dee For One Night Only (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards John Hewitt Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/2
03 May 24 Cheltenham Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Midlands Air Ambulance Mixed Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 14/1
11 Apr 24 Aintree Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Heavy · 22 ran 9th 33/1
21 Mar 24 Ludlow Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Samco And PRB Horseboxes Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/1
07 Feb 24 Ludlow Captain Tommy (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Jumping For Fun Chase Meredith Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Fred Timmis's strike rate?
Fred Timmis has won 4 of 16 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 25% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).