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Trainer profile

Gavin Dower

31 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2021 97% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–31
Wins / Runs
3.2%
Strike rate
n=31
7 (23%)
Placed
0.69
n=31 · 0.54 incl. margin
−18.00
£1 level stake
n=31 at SP · −58.1%
£56,420
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%+2.7
n=17 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.5%+9.3
n=8 · A/E 2.56 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 25 1 4% −12.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Good 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 1 50% +11.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 8 1 12.5% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
7th+ in betting 23 1 4.3% 1.34 −10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
92% completed · 25 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 25 92% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mrs Mac Veale (IRE)from Robert Murphy 17 1 7 27 Dec 15
We've That Option (IRE) 5 0 0 19 Apr 21
Off The Hoof (IRE)then P Corkery 5 0 0 27 Mar 16
Chance It (IRE)then P Corkery 1 0 0 20 Jun 15
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for P Corkery (2) and Shane Patrick O'Brien (2); 2 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·000000·00330
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hayes 7 0 0% −7.00
Andrew J McNamara 5 0 0% −5.00
Ian Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Donagh Meyler 4 1 25% +9.00
Mr E P O'Brien 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J T Carroll 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr J J King 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr D M Spillane 1 0 0% −1.00
Sean Flanagan 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr J C Barry 1 0 0% −1.00
Andrew Ring 1 0 0% −1.00
Jonathan Moore 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
1
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£56,420
Prize money
2015
Best season · 1 win
Mrs Mac Veale (IRE) — Tegral Supporting Kildare GAA Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Grade C) Naas · Nov 2015 · Grade C
£19,500
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Karinga Bay (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Carlo Bank (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9% of 144 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Double Eclipse (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.1% of 616 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 229.
Tajraasi (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.8% of 329 runs since 2008 (19 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.9% from 103.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 31 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Gavin Dower's 31 archived runners, from 21 December 2014 to 7 June 2021, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 May 21 Killarney My Design (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien KillarneyRaces.ie Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 5th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Dower's strike rate?
Gavin Dower has won 1 of 31 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Gavin Dower's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 31 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).