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Jockey profile

Mr J T Carroll

582 rides in the lifetime window · 458 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
36–582
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=582
142 (24%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=582 · 0.62 incl. margin
−355.62
£1 level stake
n=582 at SP · −61.1%
£447k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 70 times a season, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 582 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 43.3% when favourite John Joseph Hanlon: 2% from 51 Rode the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (1.4% over 70 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −83.62 to a £1 stake over 127 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John Joseph Hanlon supplied 9% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (2% vs 6.2%, A/E 0.30). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (11.7%, n=60). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.7% over 60 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.6%−1.6
n=454 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −300.85
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
19.2%+13.0
n=26 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −1.34
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.9%−2.3
n=127 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −83.62
When favourite
43.3%
n=30 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +8.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%−0.1
n=561 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −349.62
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.8%−2.4
n=342 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −239.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With E J O'Grady 25% vs 6.2% · n=32
On Good to Firm going 11.7% vs 6.2% · n=60
With horses switching code 10.6% vs 6.2% · n=104
At Punchestown 1.4% vs 6.2% · n=70
Off a break of 180+ days 1.7% vs 6.2% · n=60
With John Joseph Hanlon 2% vs 6.2% · n=51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 379 24 6.3% −236.81
Chase 82 4 4.9% −56.75
Flat 76 6 7.9% −26.81
Hurdle 45 2 4.4% −35.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 177 10 5.6% −123.97
Good 151 7 4.6% −94.09
Heavy 136 9 6.6% −92.00
Good to Firm 60 7 11.7% −21.56
Good to Soft 45 2 4.4% −16.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 6 1 16.7% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 70 1 1.4% −62.00
Cork 61 6 9.8% −14.22
Limerick 50 3 6% −36.00
Tipperary 31 2 6.5% −28.09
Gowran Park 29 1 3.4% −26.25
Wexford 28 2 7.1% −5.56
Listowel 28 2 7.1% −12.00
Fairyhouse 28 3 10.7% −10.25
Thurles 27 2 7.4% −14.75
Galway 27 1 3.7% −23.25
Clonmel 25 1 4% −21.00
Killarney 22 0 0% −22.00
Downpatrick 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Leopardstown 16 1 6.3% −12.25
Down Royal 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 6 2 33.3% +9.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 1 50% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 13 37.1% 1.26 +3.38
2nd–3rd fav 113 17 15% 1.12 −4.00
4th–6th fav 162 5 3.1% 0.48 −104.00
7th+ in betting 272 1 0.4% 0.12 −251.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.7% completed · 127 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 82 70.7% 6 4 14 0 0
Hurdle 45 93.3% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Real Article (IRE) 5 4 4 22 Jun 12
Old Charm (GB) 5 1 3 21 Apr 10
Minella Reception (IRE) 4 1 2 16 Sep 12
Stormy Oscar (IRE) 4 0 3 15 Apr 12
Flycorn (IRE) 4 0 3 6 Aug 11
Sunshine Haven (IRE) 4 1 2 27 Oct 10
Rosygo (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Oct 14
Minella Tweet (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Sep 14
Fennis Moll (IRE) 3 0 1 2 Oct 13
Giantofaman (IRE) 3 0 1 1 Aug 13
Final Gift (IRE) 3 1 2 6 May 13
After Dark (IRE) 3 0 0 6 Apr 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 458 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
31374785105765
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn Joseph Hanlon
9% of all rides
2% SR · A/E 0.30
TrainerRWSR£1
John Joseph Hanlon 51 1 2% −42.00
E J O'Grady 32 8 25% −2.65
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
39
Archived wins
£493k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Last Instalment (IRE) — Gigginstown House Stud Point To Point Championship Flat Race Fairyhouse · Apr 2010
£32,500
Dancin' Glory (IRE) — Archie Watson Memorial Flat Race Down Royal · Nov 2011
£8,970
Kalellshan (IRE) — Guinness (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (88-109) Galway · Jul 2010
£8,970
Notable horses
The Real Article (IRE) Mumbo Jumbo (IRE) Old Charm (GB) Sunshine Haven (IRE) Minella Reception (IRE) Iheardu (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Definite Article (GB) 25% · 7–28
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Presenting (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 742 · newest first

The latest 50 of 742 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 29 October 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 15 Clonmel Omega Springs (IRE)T: Liam Casey Powerstown Demesne (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 4/1
10 Sep 15 Laytown (AW) Water Sprite (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy O'neills Sports (Q.R.) Handicap (50-80)7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 25/1
01 Aug 15 Galway Eyes Of A Tiger (IRE)T: P A Fahy Ladbrokes 'your Sport Your Way' Flat Race16f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 14/1
30 Jul 15 Galway (IRE) Blueberry Flavour (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Guinness West Indies Porter INH Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 8th 50/1
23 Jul 15 Limerick Dom Lukka (FR)T: Liz Doyle Ladbrokes Munster National 11th October (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
10 Jul 15 Cork Peaderkearneyspub (IRE)T: J T R Dreaper Charity Race Meeting August 4th Flat Race16f · Good · 17 ran 16th 33/1
18 May 15 Roscommon Pushouttheboat (IRE)T: Cecil Ross Kepak Flat Race20f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 66/1
14 May 15 Tipperary Floral Fantasy (IRE)T: J G Bennett P2p.ie Mares Point-to-point Flat Race18f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 10th 7/1
14 May 15 Tipperary Fly West (IRE)T: A J Kennedy Glenview And Rathbarry Stud Novice Hunters Chase23f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1
10 May 15 Killarney Madfuninthewest (IRE)T: Robert Tyner Cancer Clinical Research Trust (pro/am) Flat Race17f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 11/4
02 May 15 Punchestown Lake View Lad (IRE)T: Ms Margaret Mullins K Club Hotel, Spa & Ryder Cup Venue (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
28 Apr 15 Punchestown Moon Over Germany (IRE)T: Edward P Harty JLT Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 8th 33/1
28 Apr 15 Punchestown Solid Strike (GB)T: A J Kennedy Kildare Hunt Club Fr Sean Breen Memorial Chase24f · Good · 11 ran 9th 25/1
15 Apr 15 Limerick Minella Charmer (IRE)T: John J Nallen Racing Again Tomorrow At Limerick Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 11/4
13 Apr 15 Tramore Asithappens (IRE)T: Liam Casey International Betting Available At Thetote.com Hunters Chase22f · Good · 8 ran 4th 12/1
07 Apr 15 Fairyhouse Legal Summit (IRE)T: John G Carr Bet Online At Thetote.com Flat Race16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 66/1
07 Apr 15 Fairyhouse Corskeagh Royale (IRE)T: A J Kennedy Emerald Contract Cleaning Hunters Chase25f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 40/1
06 Apr 15 Cork Pay The Bounty (GB)T: Robert Tyner Jack Tyner Memorial Hunters Chase20f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 10/1
06 Apr 15 Cork Island Master (IRE)T: W J Burke Coolmore N.h. Sires Leading Light & Ocovango Maiden Hunters Chase24f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 25/1
12 Mar 15 Cheltenham Clondaw Knight (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amateur Riders)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 24 ran 12th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J T Carroll's strike rate?
Mr J T Carroll has won 36 of 582 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr J T Carroll do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 6 wins from 61 rides (9.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr J T Carroll ride most for?
John Joseph Hanlon, with 51 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).
What is Mr J T Carroll's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 582 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).