Chance It (IRE)
Chance It (IRE) is 1 from 37, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Oct 2019. The win came on good or faster ground (0 from 10 on softer). Last raced off 73, 31lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–37Wins / Runs
- 2.7%Strike rate
- 5 (13.5%)Placed
- −29.50£1 level staken=37 at SP
- 0.40Fair A/E n=37 · 0.32 incl. margin
- 104Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 85
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 128B | 104 | — |
| Soft | 5 | 100A | 31 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 93B | 87 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 85A | 83 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 108B | 69.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 128B | 100 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 127B | 84 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 31 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 31 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 329 runs since Jan 2008 (19 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.9% from 103.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | +4.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 163 | 16 | 9.8% | +1 | 1 from 24 |
| Good to Soft | 36 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 78 | 8 | 10.3% | +1.5 | 0 from 6 |
| Heavy | 27 | 1 | 3.7% | −5.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +41.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 103 | 2 | 1.9% | −6.9 | 0 from 18 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 102 | 7 | 6.9% | −1.9 | 1 from 17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 88 | 16 | 18.2% | +9.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | +3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mastermacblack (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Feather Your Nest (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 24 | 1 | 4% | −16.50 |
| Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 15 | 1 | 7% | −7.50 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Abbot | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Exeter | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.50 |
| Plumpton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wexford | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tramore | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clonmel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 18 | 0 | 0% | −18.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 1 | 6% | −9.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Harrison | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| Pierce Gallagher | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Adam Short | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Paddy Kennedy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Alexander Thorne | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| B J Foley | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Alain Cawley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Scott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Houlihan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Buckley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Noonan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nick Scholfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ian McCarthy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Martin Burke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mikey Hamill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew J McNamara | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| Tongue tie | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.50 |
| Hood | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2019 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.50 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2017 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2016 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 34 | 1 | 3% | −26.50 |
| Chase | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Chance It (IRE) won?
- Chance It (IRE) won 1 of 37 archived starts between 2015 and 2020, a strike rate of 2.7%. Placed 5 times in total (13.5% of starts).
- Who trained Chance It (IRE)?
- Chance It (IRE) was trained by Johnny Farrelly on the most recent run on record, at Plumpton on 16 November 2020.
- Who is Chance It (IRE)'s sire?
- Chance It (IRE) is by Tajraasi (USA) out of Lafanta (IRE), whose sire is Oscar.
- What going does Chance It (IRE) prefer?
- Chance It (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 24 starts (4.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chance It (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 16 November 2020. The highest on record is 104.
- What is Chance It (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Tajraasi (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 329 runs since Jan 2008 (19 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.9% from 103.
- Who are Chance It (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Lafanta (IRE), Chance It (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.