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Trainer profile

J-P Carnel

37 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2024 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
0–37
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=37
3 (8%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=36 · 0.00 incl. margin
−37.00
£1 level stake
n=37 at SP · −100.0%
£20,885
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 22 0 0% −22.00
Chase 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00
Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00
Compiegne 13 0 0% −13.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Enghien (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Strasbourg (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
7th+ in betting 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.3% completed · 37 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 15 66.7% 1 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 22 72.7% 0 0 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dill Des Fresnes (FR)from S Couvreur 17 0 3 2 May 24
P'Tit Pote (FR) 8 0 0 16 Oct 18
As Des Fresnes (FR) 5 0 0 16 May 20
Balistix (FR) 4 0 0 18 Sep 12
Princesse Lou (FR) 2 0 0 25 Sep 13
Deanmarine (FR) 1 0 0 29 Jun 10
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Thomas Blainville 13 0 0% −13.00
Eric Michel 5 0 0% −5.00
Jean-Philippe Priol 3 0 0% −3.00
Alexis Mercurol 3 0 0% −3.00
Samuel Dauve 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Jean-Christophe Bertin 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Ouvrier 2 0 0% −2.00
Marc Lamazou-Laresse 1 0 0% −1.00
Damien Mescam 1 0 0% −1.00
Hakim Tabet 1 0 0% −1.00
Maxime Govaerts 1 0 0% −1.00
Raphael Mayeur 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 11.9% of 2,296 runs since 2016 (288 horses).
Libourne (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 0% of 28 runs since 2011 (4 horses). A small sample.
Michel Georges (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.4% of 266 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Manninamix (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 18 runs since 2008 (6 horses). A small sample.
Freedom Cry (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.1% of 116 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Martaline (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,348 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 40 archived runs · newest first

Every one of J-P Carnel's 40 archived runners, from 26 June 2005 to 2 May 2024, newest first — no winners among them.

Best finish: 2nd of 8 — Dulcigris (FR), Le Touquet (FR), 26 Jun 2005.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 May 24 Dieppe (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Kevin Ouvrier Prix de la Ville de Rouxmesnil Bouteilles (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 64/1
30 Nov 23 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Hakim Tabet Prix Hamilton (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 116/1
10 Nov 23 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Kevin Ouvrier Prix de la Hague (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 38/1
08 Jun 23 Dieppe (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix de la Societe des Courses du Touquet (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 20/1
10 May 23 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 41/1
30 Mar 23 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix de Barbizon (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 108/1
07 Mar 23 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix de la Somme (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 13th 78/1
30 Nov 22 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix Hamilton (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 51/1
06 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix Marly River (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 14/1
14 Jul 22 Dieppe (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix Ligny Gaspary Immo (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 26/1
28 Jun 22 Auteuil (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix d'Acheres (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran 11th 55/1
16 May 22 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix La Bate (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 17 ran 10th 51/1
11 Apr 22 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix d'Aumale (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 64/1
08 Mar 22 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix de La Somme (Handicap Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 15 ran 3rd 64/1
02 Dec 21 Auteuil (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix Dandolo (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 72/1
25 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix Hamilton (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 36/1
13 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Dill Des Fresnes (FR)J: Thomas Blainville Prix de la Hague (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 62/1
16 May 20 Strasbourg (FR) As Des Fresnes (FR)J: Michel-Ange Mermel Prix Ucello du Lac (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)26f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 57/1
16 Oct 18 Fontainebleau (FR) P'Tit Pote (FR)J: Tomas Vodrazka Prix de l'ecole Militaire d'equitation (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)23f · Very Soft · 7 ran PU 37/1
23 Mar 16 Enghien (FR) As Des Fresnes (FR)J: Maxime Govaerts Prix d'Abbeville (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 9th 129/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J-P Carnel's strike rate?
J-P Carnel has won 0 of 37 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J-P Carnel's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 36 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).