What is Raphael Mayeur's strike rate?

Raphael Mayeur has won 14 of 266 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Raphael Mayeur do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 52 rides (9.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Raphael Mayeur ride most for?

Erwan Grall, with 89 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.1%).

Is Raphael Mayeur in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Raphael Mayeur's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 264 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Raphael Mayeur

266 rides in the last 5 seasons · 161 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

14–266

Wins / Runs

5.3%

Strike rate

n=266

58 (22%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=264 · 0.73 incl. margin

−111.20

£1 level stake

n=264 at SP · −42.1%

£859k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). When claiming the record reads 10% (94 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 266 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8% Erwan Grall: 10.1% from 89 Claiming: 9.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Compiegne (FR) (9.6%, n=52), clear of the rider's 5.3% baseline. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 9.6% (n=94, Fair A/E 1.62). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −56.00 to a £1 stake over 156 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Erwan Grall supplies 33% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.1% vs 5.3%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (17.1%, n=35). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 40 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Beugnot at Auteuil (FR) (Feb 2025, £40,909).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.2%−2.1

n=156 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −56.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

6.3%+1.0

n=16 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −11.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8%+2.7

n=75 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +29.20

When favourite

35.7%

n=14 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +7.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.6%+4.3

n=94 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +36.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.5%+3.2

n=94 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +6.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−2.7

n=38 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −32.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 17.1% vs 5.3% · n=35

With Erwan Grall 10.1% vs 5.3% · n=89

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.3% · n=40

When claiming 9.6% vs 5.3% · n=94

At Compiegne (FR) 9.6% vs 5.3% · n=52

With horses switching code 2.4% vs 5.3% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 202 11 5.4% −60.90

Chase 64 3 4.7% −50.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 141 7 5% −62.70

Heavy 125 7 5.6% −48.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 167 6 3.6% −127.30

Compiegne (FR) 52 5 9.6% +46.60

Fontainebleau (FR) 8 1 12.5% −3.50

Dieppe (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Pau (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Craon (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Nantes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 1 50% +3.50

Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 1 1 100% +3.50

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 38 1 2.6% −32.50

Class 3 4 2 50% +6.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 5 35.7% 1.60 +7.00

2nd–3rd fav 28 4 14.3% 1.00 −8.60

4th–6th fav 52 1 1.9% 0.24 −45.80

7th+ in betting 170 4 2.4% 0.86 −63.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.1% completed · 266 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 64 76.6% 4 3 8 0 0

Hurdle 202 81.2% 4 3 30 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hupeca De Thaix (FR) 8 2 5 17 Nov 24

Just In Time Blue (FR) 7 1 4 15 Feb 25

Jasmine De Corton (FR) 7 1 3 19 May 24

Melle April (FR) 6 2 2 4 Mar 25

The Robbers (FR) 5 0 1 22 Sep 26

Chardasso (FR) 5 0 2 9 Apr 26

Iyengar De Pail (FR) 5 1 1 27 Sep 25

Matnight (FR) 5 0 1 5 Mar 23

Maestranzo (FR) 4 0 3 14 Oct 26

Saint Bath (FR) 4 1 2 15 Nov 25

Hatinka (FR) 4 0 1 27 Nov 22

Let Us Breathe (FR) 3 1 1 4 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 161 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

09812300041000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardErwan Grall

33% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.35

TrainerRWSR£1

Erwan Grall 89 9 10.1% +16.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.37m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 5 wins

Just In Time Blue (FR) — Prix Beugnot (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Feb 2025 · Listed

£40,909

Hupeca De Thaix (FR) — Prix Soulange-Bodin (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023

£25,089

Iyengar De Pail (FR) — Prix Hipparque (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023

£24,690

Notable horses

Ptiturf (FR) Quick Beauty (FR) Hupeca De Thaix (FR) Melle April (FR) Just In Time Blue (FR) Jasmine De Corton (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cokoriko (FR) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,303 runs since 2017 (379 horses).

Gemix (FR) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.3% of 728 runs since 2019 (124 horses).

Martinborough (JPN) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 12.1% of 663 runs since 2020 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.7% from 162.

Lord Du Sud (FR) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,025 runs since 2011 (115 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.8% from 146.

Bathyrhon (GER) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,190 runs since 2019 (188 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,631 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 564 · newest first

The latest 50 of 564 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 May 2013 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Let Us Breathe (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Haras Du Reuilly17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 9/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Ever Faster (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Www.courseschevaux.frClass 3 · 23f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 7/2

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lily Des Champs (FR)T: B Gourdon Prix FrascatiClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louise Lambern (FR)T: W Menuet Prix ElisaClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran F 9/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Martin (FR)T: S Gouyette Prix Petit FontaineClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 6 ran 3rd 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Maestranzo (FR)T: N Paysan Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Zen Dream (FR)T: N Paysan Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 10/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Nomade (FR)T: E Leray Prix Des Societaires19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 13/2

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pas De Quartier (FR)T: J-M Baudrelle Prix Jack Barbe18f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Let Us Breathe (FR)T: W Menuet Prix De SauternesClass 3 · 19f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 9/2

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Bubble Stock (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Leognan19f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louise Lambern (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Sapin17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Wal Cassandre (FR)T: W Menuet Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitationClass 3 · 23f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Martin (FR)T: S Gouyette Prix MarittimoClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 40/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Maestranzo (FR)T: N Paysan Prix Go Interim (Prix De L'oudon)17f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Jazz Festival (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Du Journal Du Haut Anjou (Prix Olivier D'andigne)18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 4th 4/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Martinello (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Asselco (Prix Docteur Guy Jallot)20.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 33/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) The Robbers (FR)T: W Menuet Prix The Fellow - Marquise De Moratalla (Grade 3)22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 66/1

13 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Maestranzo (FR)T: N Paysan Osarus - Prix Olivier D'andigne18.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Raphael Mayeur's strike rate?: Raphael Mayeur has won 14 of 266 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Raphael Mayeur do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 52 rides (9.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Raphael Mayeur ride most for?: Erwan Grall, with 89 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.1%).
Is Raphael Mayeur in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Raphael Mayeur's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 264 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.