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Trainer profile

Julien Morel

35 runners in the lifetime window · 12 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2022 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–35
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=35
11 (31%)
Placed
0.56
Fair A/E
n=33 · 0.47 incl. margin
+33.00
£1 level stake
n=33 at SP · +100.0%
£32,546
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+3.0
n=17 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +49.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 21.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 23 1 4.3% +43.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −2.00
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 3 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 19 1 5.3% +47.00
Chantilly (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Machecoul (FR) 1 0 0% —
Morlaix (FR) 1 0 0% —
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 20 1 5% 2.25 +46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ares Black (FR) 15 0 7 20 Dec 22
Viny (FR)from D Lemesle 6 1 2 12 May 20
Carambole (GER)from F Hayeres 3 0 1 5 Jun 20
Princess Soleil (FR) 2 0 0 9 Jun 20
Cloonage (FR) 2 0 0 5 May 18
Chrisiisim (FR)from J-M Lefebvre 1 0 0 10 Dec 21
Queen's Band (FR) 1 0 1 13 Jun 21
Hag Pembo (FR) 1 0 0 14 Mar 21
American Style (FR)from Pascal Confrere 1 0 0 11 Jun 20
Speed Shift (FR)from Christian Le Galliard 1 0 0 12 Dec 19
Turretot (FR)from E Lellouche 1 0 0 25 Oct 18
Super Magic (FR)from C Lotoux 1 0 0 28 Jul 17
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 12 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
03300000·0000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Christopher Grosbois 9 0 0% −9.00
Yoann Rousset 8 1 12.5% +58.00
Benjamin Hubert 5 0 0% −5.00
Alexandre Roussel 3 0 0% −3.00
Williams Saraiva 2 0 0% −2.00
Morgan Delalande 2 0 0% −2.00
Mathieu Androuin 1 0 0% −1.00
Jeremie Monteiro 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludovic Boisseau 1 0 0% —
Mme Cecilia Poirier 1 0 0% −1.00
Hugo Lebouc 1 0 0% −1.00
Arthur Vilchien 1 0 0% —
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
1
Archived wins
£32,546
Prize money
2020
Best season · 1 win
Viny (FR) — Prix de l'Operation Gambit (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Feb 2020
£7,627
Notable horses
Viny (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Meshaheer (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 6.5% of 706 runs since 2009 (82 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.5% from 260. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.1% from 191.
Turtle Bowl (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,307 runs since 2011 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14% from 136. Weakest on Good going: 6.1% from 293. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.4% from 146.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
American Post (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Alexandros (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 6.3% of 272 runs since 2014 (43 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 35 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Julien Morel's 35 archived runners, from 28 July 2017 to 20 December 2022, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Dec 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Alexandre Roussel Prix de la Maison de l'Artichaut (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 53/10
30 Nov 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix du Grand Hotel d'Argouges (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 32/5
05 Nov 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix des Pruniers (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 78/10
04 Mar 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix du Cap de la Hague (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 9/1
04 Feb 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Alexandre Roussel Prix du Pont des Vaux (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 16/1
12 Jan 22 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Alexandre Roussel Prix de Rugles (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 7/1
20 Dec 21 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix de l'Enceinte des Fusils (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 67/10
10 Dec 21 Deauville (FR) Chrisiisim (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix des Vagues (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 61/1
17 Nov 21 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix des Cognassiers (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 32/5
13 Jun 21 Morlaix (FR) Queen's Band (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Jacques Crenn (Maiden) (3yo) (Turf)9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd —
14 Mar 21 Machecoul (FR) Hag Pembo (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Pierre De Lorgeril (Conditions) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 14 ran 7th —
28 Dec 20 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix de Basly (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 56/10
11 Dec 20 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix du Manoir du Lieu Calice (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 8/1
24 Nov 20 Deauville (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix des Cognassiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 11/1
17 Jun 20 Angers (FR) Ares Black (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix d'Etrepagny (Claimer) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (4yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 40/1
11 Jun 20 Compiegne (FR) American Style (FR)J: Yoann Rousset Prix des Cordeliers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)14f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 52/1
09 Jun 20 Nantes (FR) Princess Soleil (FR)J: Mathieu Androuin Prix Bellamy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 20/1
05 Jun 20 Angers (FR) Carambole (GER)J: Yoann Rousset Prix des Futaies (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)8f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 41/1
12 May 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Viny (FR)J: Yoann Rousset Prix de Buc (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 42/1
29 Feb 20 Deauville (FR) Viny (FR)J: Yoann Rousset Prix de l'Operation Gambit (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 65/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Julien Morel's strike rate?
Julien Morel has won 1 of 35 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Julien Morel's Fair A/E?
0.56, from 33 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).