Alexandre Roussel
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.74).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (2.7% over 73 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.37). The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.5%, n=57). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.4% over 41 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.44 across 93 rides (3.2% strike, −44.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Paul De Moussac at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2010, £35,398).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,475 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,475 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 April 2005 to 26 March 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Alexandre Roussel's strike rate?
- Alexandre Roussel has won 11 of 158 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Alexandre Roussel do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 rides (5.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Alexandre Roussel's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 155 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.