Hugo Lebouc
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (59 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.9% (n=59, Fair A/E 1.22). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −128.50 to a £1 stake over 273 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. J Boisnard supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.5% vs 6%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 0% over 45 rides, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.22 across 62 rides (1.6% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix de Beauvais at Chantilly (FR) (Nov 2024, £23,043). The standout partner of the record: Etel Du Ninian (FR) — 5 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,070 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,070 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 March 2019 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Hugo Lebouc's strike rate?
- Hugo Lebouc has won 60 of 994 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Hugo Lebouc do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 111 rides (7.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Hugo Lebouc ride most for?
- J Boisnard, with 190 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.5%).
- Is Hugo Lebouc in form?
- In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 3.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 6% since 2022.
- What is Hugo Lebouc's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 988 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.