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Trainer profile

Paul Swaffield

7 runners in the lifetime window · 3 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2014 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–7
Wins / Runs
14.3%
Strike rate
n=7
3 (43%)
Placed
1.66
Fair A/E
n=7 · 1.47 incl. margin
−4.50
£1 level stake
n=7 at SP · −64.3%
£2,064
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−14.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−14.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−14.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 2.77 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 1 100% +1.50
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 1 100% +1.50
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 4 1 25% −1.50
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 2.77 +1.50
4th–6th fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
7th+ in betting 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 7 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 85.7% 0 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
McCauley (IRE)from Nick Mitchell · then Philip Hobbs 5 1 2 27 May 11
Rock Of Fife (GB)from Oliver Sherwood · then Nick Mitchell 1 0 0 30 Apr 14
Sandyzar (IRE)from C J Dore · then Nick Mitchell 1 0 1 25 Mar 10
All 3 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 3 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Nick Mitchell (2).

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Matthew Hampton 5 1 20% −2.50
Mr R G Henderson 1 0 0% −1.00
Ciaran Gethings 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
1
Archived wins
£2,064
Prize money
2011
Best season · 1 win
McCauley (IRE) — Play Poker At tspoker.com Hunters' Chase Towcester · Apr 2011 · Class 6
£989
Notable horses
McCauley (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vettori (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Erhaab (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8% of 1,060 runs since 2008 (86 horses).
Shernazar (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 7 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Paul Swaffield's 7 archived runners, from 25 March 2010 to 30 April 2014, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Rock Of Fife (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Shloer Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 66/1
27 May 11 Stratford McCauley (IRE)J: Mr Matthew Hampton Apex Working In The Community Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 9th 10/1
24 Apr 11 Towcester McCauley (IRE)J: Mr Matthew Hampton Play Poker At tspoker.com Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 6/4F
31 Mar 11 Ludlow McCauley (IRE)J: Mr Matthew Hampton Bitterley Point To Point Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 20/1
23 Mar 11 Hereford McCauley (IRE)J: Mr Matthew Hampton 'mr Dow Jones' Memorial Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 4th 33/1
07 Mar 11 Ffos Las McCauley (IRE)J: Mr Matthew Hampton Llewellyn Humphreys Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 33/1
25 Mar 10 Chepstow Sandyzar (IRE)J: Mr R G Henderson Eight Bells Chipping Campden Supports Paul's Place Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 29f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Swaffield's strike rate?
Paul Swaffield has won 1 of 7 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).