What is Nick Mitchell's strike rate?

Nick Mitchell has won 48 of 660 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nick Mitchell do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nick Mitchell?

Daryl Jacob, with 110 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.1%).

What is Nick Mitchell's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 660 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nick Mitchell

660 runners in the lifetime window · 105 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2021 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

48–660

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=660

142 (22%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=660 · 0.81 incl. margin

−136.93

£1 level stake

n=660 at SP · −20.7%

£500k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (55 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 660 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Daryl Jacob: 9.1% from 110 New recruits: 9.1% Claiming riders: 7.7%

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (14.3%, n=49), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.53). Daryl Jacob rode 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Chase races (11.2%, n=241). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.7% over 112 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Jnwine.com Champion Chase at Down Royal (Nov 2009, £84,000). The stable star of the record was Dance Floor King (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−0.2

n=127 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +32.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.1%+1.8

n=55 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +36.50

Debutants · first career start

2%−5.3

n=51 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −40.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−1.4

n=34 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.3

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

24%

n=25 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −9.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%+0.4

n=220 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −49.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%+1.8

n=22 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Gavin Sheehan 16.2% vs 7.3% · n=37

At Newton Abbot 14.3% vs 7.3% · n=49

At Chepstow 0% vs 7.3% · n=40

Off a 31-60-day break 2.7% vs 7.3% · n=112

In Chase races 11.2% vs 7.3% · n=241

On last-time-out winners 12.8% vs 7.3% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 360 20 5.6% −113.07

Chase 241 27 11.2% +24.14

NH Flat 46 1 2.2% −35.00

Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 223 15 6.7% −79.24

Soft 148 11 7.4% −10.92

Good to Soft 140 9 6.4% −50.08

Heavy 73 5 6.8% −24.92

Good to Firm 66 8 12.1% +38.23

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 93 4 4.3% −59.25

Exeter 75 5 6.7% −31.25

Newton Abbot 49 7 14.3% +12.37

Fontwell 46 2 4.3% −29.00

Taunton 41 4 9.8% −25.27

Chepstow 40 0 0% −40.00

Worcester 40 4 10% +38.50

Plumpton 34 3 8.8% +5.50

Newbury 24 2 8.3% +14.00

Warwick 22 4 18.2% +11.38

Stratford 18 2 11.1% +4.50

Uttoxeter 18 0 0% −18.00

Kempton 13 0 0% −13.00

Cheltenham 12 0 0% −12.00

Ffos Las 12 3 25% +0.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 316 20 6.3% −132.16

Class 5 161 16 9.9% +47.73

Class 3 87 8 9.2% +7.83

Class 6 47 2 4.3% −34.33

Class 1 26 2 7.7% −3.00

Class 2 21 0 0% −21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 36 9 25% 0.94 −10.39

2nd–3rd fav 108 13 12% 0.76 −43.04

4th–6th fav 239 16 6.7% 0.93 −50.50

7th+ in betting 277 10 3.6% 1.32 −33.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.7% completed · 601 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 241 71.4% 9 12 45 3 0

Hurdle 360 80.3% 8 3 57 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Phone Home (IRE) 28 2 8 28 Nov 15

Miss Fleur (GB)from Bill Turner 24 2 5 11 Mar 13

Dance Floor King (IRE)from C A Murphy 23 5 9 9 Apr 18

Plug In Baby (GB) 21 0 1 22 Sep 13

Misstree Dancer (GB)then Nick Williams 20 3 8 7 Jan 12

Coach Lane (GB)from Venetia Williams 16 1 3 18 Mar 12

Kayfrou (GB)from Jonjo O'Neill · then Brian Ellison 15 1 4 29 Aug 13

Newbay Bob (GB)from B R Hamilton 15 1 7 18 Nov 10

This Is It (IRE) 13 1 5 5 Mar 19

Glanvilles Guest (GB)then Keiran Burke 13 2 4 19 Oct 18

Badgers Retreat (GB)from Ferdy Murphy 13 1 3 29 Sep 16

Band Of Thunder (GB)from Andrew Balding · then Mark H Tompkins 13 1 2 27 Dec 14

The 60 most-raced of 105 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bill Turner (2) and Colin Tizzard (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Keiran Burke (4) and Ralph J Smith (4); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

757125811014486

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaryl Jacob

17% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.17

RiderRWSR£1

Daryl Jacob 110 10 9.1% −11.79

Mr R G Henderson 59 6 10.2% −13.70

Nick Scholfield 54 3 5.6% −7.75

Tom Scudamore 39 4 10.3% +5.73

Gavin Sheehan 37 6 16.2% +30.38

Harry Skelton 33 3 9.1% −9.80

Mr S Clements 32 2 6.3% −18.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£500k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 6 wins

The Listener (IRE) — Jnwine.com Champion Chase (grade 1) Down Royal · Nov 2009 · Grade 1

£84,000

Ellerslie George (IRE) — Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase (Listed) Wincanton · Nov 2009 · Listed

£39,907

Drybrook Bedouin (GB) — Axminster Carpets Devon Marathon Handicap Chase Exeter · Dec 2011 · Class 3

£10,128

Notable horses

Dance Floor King (IRE) Misstree Dancer (GB) Phone Home (IRE) Miss Fleur (GB) Glanvilles Guest (GB) Drybrook Bedouin (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bandmaster (USA) 11.4% · 5–44

Progeny have won 5.5% of 274 runs since 2008 (35 horses).

Heron Island (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.

Generous (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Milan (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Xaar (GB) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 660 · newest first

The latest 50 of 660 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 September 2008 to 27 June 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Jun 21 Uttoxeter Coup De Pinceau (FR)J: Harry Cobden bet365 Summer Cup (Open Handicap Chase) (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 26f · Good · 16 ran 10th 25/1

22 Jun 21 Newton Abbot Mystic Court (IRE)J: Tristan Durrell Janet Denning Fifehead Farms Memorial Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/4F

09 Jun 21 Fontwell Mystic Court (IRE)J: Fergus Gillard whichbookie.co.uk Free Racing Tips Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran UR 11/4

05 Jun 21 Worcester Monete (GER)J: Mr Jason Dixon Rainbow Human Therapy Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 8th 7/1

05 Jun 21 Worcester Ar Mest (FR)J: Daryl Jacob Equine And Canine Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 7th 10/1

29 May 21 Cartmel Coup De Pinceau (FR)J: Daryl Jacob Oakmere Homes Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 14/1

16 May 21 Stratford Ar Mest (FR)J: Tom Scudamore Visit racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 2/1F

06 May 21 Worcester Monete (GER)J: Robert Dunne Life Is Tough So Are You Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/2

05 May 21 Fontwell Mystic Court (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor Paul Mant 40 Years At Fontwell Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 9/4F

03 May 21 Warwick Trump Lady (IRE)J: Robert Dunne racingtv.com Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 7/1

23 Apr 21 Chepstow Danny Park (IRE)J: Tristan Durrell Award Winning Burnham Plastering Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

22 Apr 21 Exeter Coal Stock (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor Take A Tenancy With heavitreebrewery.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 5/1

22 Apr 21 Exeter Trump Lady (IRE)J: Tom Scudamore Final Furlough At Heavitree Brewery PLC Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

21 Apr 21 Taunton Mystic Court (IRE)J: Tom Scudamore Porter Dodson Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 8/11F

21 Apr 21 Taunton Monete (GER)J: Tom Scudamore Summerfield Developments Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

18 Apr 21 Ayr Coup De Pinceau (FR)J: Angus Cheleda Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 32f · Good · 22 ran 8th 12/1

13 Apr 21 Newton Abbot Mystic Court (IRE)J: Angus Cheleda Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 4/1F

08 Apr 21 Taunton Monete (GER)J: Robert Dunne Invest Southwest Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 33/1

03 Apr 21 Newton Abbot Siempre Rapido (GB)J: Robert Dunne Racing Partnership Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 9th 33/1

31 Mar 21 Ludlow Monete (GER)J: Harry Cobden Join RacingTV Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Mitchell's strike rate?: Nick Mitchell has won 48 of 660 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nick Mitchell do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nick Mitchell?: Daryl Jacob, with 110 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.1%).
What is Nick Mitchell's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 660 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.