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Trainer profile

Philip Hobbs

485 runners in the last 5 seasons · 119 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2023 99% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
56–485
Wins / Runs
11.5%
Strike rate
n=485
149 (31%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=484 · 0.74 incl. margin
−163.60
£1 level stake
n=485 at SP · −33.7%
£1.11m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (77 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 485 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 31.3% when favourite Tom O'Brien: 11.4% from 236 Claiming riders: 15.6% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races
The read

It is weakest at Chepstow (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.12), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.3% (n=108, Fair A/E 0.66). Tom O'Brien rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.4%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well in Class 2 (19.6%, n=51). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 7% over 100 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. 95 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Cesarewitch at Newmarket (Oct 2014, £155,625). The stable star of the record: Menorah (IRE) — 14 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−3.2
n=108 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −49.22
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.1%−0.4
n=9 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −5.88
Debutants · first career start
7.4%−4.1
n=27 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16%+4.5
n=25 · A/E 1.99 · £1 −1.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
31.3%
n=64 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −11.76
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.6%+4.1
n=77 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +24.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.7%−0.8
n=28 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 2 19.6% vs 11.5% · n=51
At Chepstow 3.3% vs 11.5% · n=30
On last-time-out winners 18.3% vs 11.5% · n=60
With Micheal Nolan 5.4% vs 11.5% · n=74
With Ben Jones 17.4% vs 11.5% · n=46
In Class 3 7% vs 11.5% · n=100
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 264 28 10.6% −81.09
Chase 196 27 13.8% −62.01
NH Flat 20 1 5% −15.50
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 183 21 11.5% −71.97
Soft 138 18 13% −34.17
Good to Soft 132 13 9.8% −50.25
Heavy 29 4 13.8% −4.21
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 47 7 14.9% −14.37
Exeter 45 6 13.3% −13.50
Taunton 45 6 13.3% −24.38
Chepstow 30 1 3.3% −13.00
Sandown 28 5 17.9% +3.38
Warwick 27 4 14.8% −8.00
Newbury 25 2 8% −1.50
Ludlow 25 5 20% +1.60
Cheltenham 19 1 5.3% +10.00
Kempton 17 2 11.8% −8.67
Worcester 17 0 0% −17.00
Newton Abbot 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Ffos Las 15 2 13.3% −6.07
Uttoxeter 12 1 8.3% −8.00
Huntingdon 11 2 18.2% −2.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 205 23 11.2% −79.47
Class 3 100 7 7% −72.75
Class 5 87 11 12.6% −40.96
Class 2 51 10 19.6% +39.50
Class 1 37 3 8.1% −8.50
Class 6 5 2 40% −1.42

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 72 21 29.2% 0.90 −16.26
2nd–3rd fav 132 19 14.4% 0.82 −46.34
4th–6th fav 171 14 8.2% 0.95 −39.00
7th+ in betting 110 2 1.8% 0.52 −62.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85% completed · 460 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 196 79.1% 6 5 29 0 1
Hurdle 264 89.4% 7 2 18 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Guernesey (FR)then Joe Tizzard 9 1 2 13 Jan 23
Rolling Dylan (IRE) 8 2 4 7 Mar 23
Keep Rolling (IRE) 8 2 2 6 Mar 23
The 60 most-raced of 119 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Chris Down (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

49 have since run for another yard, most often for Philip Hobbs & Johnson White (37) and Christian Williams (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1016151071000207158
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom O'Brien
49% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
Tom O'Brien 236 27 11.4% −106.73
Micheal Nolan 74 4 5.4% −50.00
Ben Jones 46 8 17.4% +4.55
Mr David Maxwell 33 4 12.1% +18.58
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1,642
Archived wins
95
Pattern / graded wins
£23.1m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 114 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Big Easy (GER) — Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Oct 2014 · Class 2
£155,625
Planet of Sound (GB) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2010 · Grade 1
£135,000
Detroit City (USA) — boylesports.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Dec 2006 · Class 1
£114,040

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 16.3% · 7–43
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,898 runs since 2008 (1,025 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Kayf Tara (GB) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Martaline (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,339 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Mahler (GB) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,825 runs since 2008 (782 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Arcadio (GER) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,976 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,006 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,006 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 13 March 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Mar 23 Exeter Iberio (GER)J: Micheal Nolan Virgin Bet Fives Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1
06 Mar 23 Southwell Keep Rolling (IRE)J: Ben Jones Starsports.Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Philip Hobbs's strike rate?
Philip Hobbs has won 56 of 485 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Philip Hobbs do best at?
Wincanton by strike rate: 7 wins from 47 runners (14.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Philip Hobbs?
Tom O'Brien, with 236 runners since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (11.4%).
What is Philip Hobbs's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 484 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).