No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–58
Wins / Runs
8.6%
Strike rate
n=58
19 (33%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=56 · 0.78 incl. margin
−21.50
£1 level stake
n=56 at SP · −38.4%
£24,722
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
50%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
20%+11.4
n=10 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +1.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−8.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going15.2% vs 8.6% · n=33
With Jack Mitchell12.5% vs 8.6% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat5459.3%−17.50
NH Flat300%−3.00
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)33515.2%+1.50
Good900%−8.00
Good to Firm700%−7.00
Good to Soft500%−4.00
Firm200%−2.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)17211.8%+0.50
Lingfield (AW)9222.2%+2.00
Chelmsford City (AW)5120%+1.00
Sandown400%−4.00
Salisbury300%−3.00
Windsor300%−3.00
Newbury200%−2.00
Leicester200%−2.00
Goodwood200%−2.00
Pontivy100%—
Chateau-Gontier100%—
Chepstow100%−1.00
Newmarket100%−1.00
Folkestone100%−1.00
Ascot100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 628414.3%−5.50
Class 52114.8%−9.00
Class 4400%−4.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite700%0.00−7.00
2nd–3rd fav14428.6%1.82+8.50
4th–6th fav1616.3%0.93−4.00
7th+ in betting1900%0.00−19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f20210%−3.00
1m – 1m1f20210%−7.00
6f – 7f1218.3%−6.50
1m5f – 2m500%−4.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2011100%−1.00
20131700%−15.00
20141400%−14.00
20151119.1%−5.50
201613323.1%+4.00
20172150%+10.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4648.7%−17.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners17423.5%+11.50
8-10 runners1500%−15.00
14-16 runners1100%−11.00
5-7 runners1119.1%−5.00
17+ runners200%−2.00
2-4 runners200%—
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 6 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5003309140002000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
41
Archived wins
£228k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Burgundy (GB) — Retail Answers Handicap Epsom Downs · Aug 2005 · Class 4
£6,776
Cape of Luck (IRE) — VC Casino.com Handicap Newmarket · Jun 2006 · Class 4
£6,477
Wild Pitch (GB) — Play Backgammon At willhill.com Handicap Lingfield (AW) · May 2007 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.
Galileo (IRE)0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,188 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.
Elusive City (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,418 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,121.
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,414 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Milan (GB)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Warcraft (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.1% of 99 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 473 · newest first
The latest 50 of 473 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 18 January 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Philip Mitchell's strike rate?
Philip Mitchell has won 5 of 58 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Philip Mitchell's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 56 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Philip Mitchell·SR 8.6%·A/E 0.93
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy