Alistair Rawlinson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 310 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (150 rides). Rides mostly for Michael Appleby — 55% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (22.2%, n=63), clear of the rider's 9.4% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (3.1% over 64 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18% (n=150, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=130, Fair A/E 0.80). Michael Appleby supplies 55% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (15.4%, n=254). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 59th John Smith's Cup Handicap at York (Jul 2018, £124,500). The standout partner of the record: Call Out Loud (GB) — 6 wins from 32 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,715 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,715 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2010 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Alistair Rawlinson's strike rate?
- Alistair Rawlinson has won 144 of 1,528 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Alistair Rawlinson do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 14 wins from 63 rides (22.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Alistair Rawlinson ride most for?
- Michael Appleby, with 835 rides since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (10.7%).
- Is Alistair Rawlinson in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Alistair Rawlinson's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 1,524 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.